Desalination Market Webinar Thursday 7/14/16 at 9:00 a.m.
We will conduct a webinar on desalination markets next week. The perspective
will be proactive with the ambitious belief that it is possible to shape the
future rather than be its victim. McIlvaine is heavily involved in
combustion, distillation, membrane technology, water use and treatment.
Further perspective is gained from the knowledge of regulations. For
example, coal-fired power and coal to chemicals plants in China have to use
desalinated water if they are near coasts and have to install zero liquid
discharge (ZLD) systems.
The rapid development of membranes for improved desalination economics needs to
be addressed in making any forecasts. Evoqua believes that alternatives and
variations to RO will be more cost effective. Since cost will be the driver, the
technology developments will be very important in determining the market.
All this seemingly unrelated knowledge allows us to recommend initiatives to
maximize the beneficial application of desalination. Let’s take one example
which we will explore on Thursday. Forward Osmosis. McIlvaine is
creating a decision guide on Forward Osmosis (FO) (see next article). One
of the most promising uses of FO is in power plant wastewater ZLD. FO
appears to be ideal for Chinese power plants who are both desalinating their
cooling and other water requirements and meeting ZLD. The problem with FO
is that you need to use a solute with higher salt content than the wastewater.
The brine from SWRO desalination can be used as the solute. The advantages
are that the energy consumption for ZLD is substantially reduced. At the
same time, the water content of the brine is increased. One of the
criticisms of desalination is the return of concentrated brine to the sea.
The major options for desalination are thermal or membrane. Alternatives
are use of fresh water which in many cases means transport from other locations.
In others, it means lowering the water table. There is also the cost
consideration. San Diego opted for desalination rather than importing
Colorado River water despite the high capital cost. The decision was based
on long-term costs and availability of the fresh water source. The
question is should the decision be based on cost over 20 years or 40 years or
some other time span? These options necessitate questions such as what is
the value of a ton of water in an arid area vs. an area with plentiful water?
What is the negative value to downstream Colorado River residents vs. the
benefits to San Diego residents?
More CO2 will be generated by desalination than by transport of fresh
water. So you have to ask what is the value of a ton of CO2 vs.
a ton of water in an arid region? McIlvaine has developed a metric to
measure the harm and good of every option. The tribal value assessment
allows one to gain perspective on issues such as consideration of Colorado
downstream residents interest. The present value assessment provides
perspective on the length of time to be used in the comparison of desalination
vs. fresh water. These three metrics will be briefly discussed.
The webinar will also address the long-term water needs by region and will
provide general forecasts for the investment in desalination with some
segmentation by thermal and membrane methods.
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Forward Osmosis Decision Guide in Preparation
The value of forward osmosis technology is being hotly debated as the interest
grows and new opportunities are uncovered. Unlike other membrane technologies,
forward osmosis is very seldom a stand-alone process. It can be used to
convert tomato juice to tomato paste but then you have a diluted salt solution
with which to contend. The energy savings comes from the creation of a
higher salinity draw solution. One approach is to create draw solutions
from which fresh water can be easily extracted. This requires energy.
Choosing the best draw solution to minimize the separation energy is the key to
the success of this approach.
Another approach involves using a draw solution which benefits from the
additional water. The perfect example is seawater RO brine. Water
can be extracted from high strength wastewaters to dilute the salinity of the
brine being returned to the ocean. This makes the brine return more
environmentally acceptable. Liquid fertilizers provide another interesting
option under the category of Fertigation.
A third approach is to utilize FO in a more complex series of treatment steps.
For example, if it can reduce the size and cost of an evaporator, the economics
could be attractive.
FO has been utilized or pilot tested in many different applications in power,
oil and gas, food, mining and other industries. Due to the complimentary
aspect of the technology there are many different uses to investigate. In
order to help the industry stay abreast of these developments, McIlvaine is
creating a Forward Osmosis Decision Guide. This effort should be complimentary
to the extensive efforts undertaken by the international Forward Osmosis
Association and others. In fact, links to the ongoing work by various
groups is provided in the decision guide.
The Forward Osmosis Decision Guide is displayed on a stand-alone website for
which a password is required. At this point in time it is free to all
prospective users. Ultimately, it will be free to FO system operators and would
be owners but others will pay a fee.
The guide is segmented into:
Overview-applications—systems—membranes—solutes—suppliers.
Each power point is displayed with an area for questions and comments.
Users are encouraged to send back their comments/questions to a particular
slide. These comments will then be posted on that power point (organized
version of a blog). Users are also encouraged to supply power points which
will be considered for inclusion but with some editing.
For more information and to receive your password click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=1137
Gas Turbine Plant Operators Will Spend $1.7 Billion for Water Treatment
Chemicals Next Year
The market for water treatment chemicals for gas turbine plants is growing at
rates considerably greater than GDP. This is the conclusion in the
continuously updated N026
Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
published by the McIlvaine Company. Sales in the Americas will top $670 million
in 2017.
Sales in EMEA will be $50 million less than in the Americas. Asia is still
primarily relying on coal. As a result, 2017 treatment chemical sales will be
$385 million.
The use of water treatment chemicals is primarily in the steam cycle loop.
However, in hot try climates, fogging nozzles are used to add mass to the intake
air. This water must be ultrapure to avoid damage to the turbines. The use of
fogging nozzles is widespread in some countries within EMEA. This large
region has areas where treatment chemicals markets will grow robustly and others
where growth will be low.
The energy mix for power generation in Europe varies greatly, from France with
76 percent nuclear power, to Norway with 97 percent hydropower, to Poland with
80 percent coal-fired generation. The drivers affecting future energy
mixes are very complex and often contradictory. Global warming and air
pollution concerns are driving power generation away from coal. The
Fukushima disaster in March 2011 is driving some countries (such as Germany)
away from nuclear power. High gas prices have led to an overcapacity of
gas-fired generation in Western Europe. The only clear winner appears to
be renewable energy.
Countries in the CIS region rely on a diverse mix of fuels for power generation.
For example, Belarus relies almost exclusively on natural gas, Kazakhstan
heavily on coal (81 percent) and Ukraine largely on nuclear power (45 percent).
In reality, however, Russia is the dominant force in the CIS. With huge
natural gas reserves, Russia uses natural gas to generate roughly half of its
electricity. Until very recently, however, gas-fired power plants in
Russia have been conventional steam plants rather than open-cycle or
combined-cycle gas turbines. The country previously emphasized
standardization in power plant design and foreign OEMs encountered difficulties
introducing new technologies due to Russia’s strict codes and standards.
Russia began to liberalize and privatize its power market around 2008. One
goal of the privatization program was to boost the installation of new, more
efficient power generation facilities so that more gas could be freed up for the
international market. Liberalization efforts have created a trend away
from highly standardized power generation toward more optimized and tailored
combined cycle solutions. Russia had only 3 GW of combined cycle capacity
at the end of 2008, but added another 13 GW over the following five years
(2009-2013). Continuing growth is expected.
Africa’s power sector is split into two distinct regions; northern
African nations rely almost exclusively on oil and natural gas, whereas South
Africa relies on coal for over 90 percent of its power generation.
·
Gas-fired power generation has more than doubled in the last five years in
Algeria, from 5,189 MW in 2008 to 10,521 MW in 2013. Algeria’s public
utility, Sonelgaz, is pursuing a large-scale investment program to add an
additional 12,000 MW of gas-fired generating capacity by 2019.
·
Nigeria’s National Integrated Power Project (NIPP) was initiated in 2004 to
build ten gas-fired power plants by 2010 (actually completed in 2012), totaling
4,250 MW. Nigeria introduced another major power sector reform package in
May 2010 to double power production from 24,000 GWh to 54,000 GWh by 2017.
The Middle East relies primarily on oil and gas for power generation, largely
because the region has ready access to significant oil and gas resources.
A sharply rising demand for power in the region is being
driven by population growth, a rapidly expanding industrial sector, the high
demand for air conditioning during the summer months, and heavily subsidized
electricity rates.
The market for treatment chemicals in power and other industries is analyzed in
in
N026
Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
New projects and existing plants are identified in
59EI Gas
Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program
Municipal Wastewater Treatment Plants will spend $1.3 billion for Odor Control
Scrubbers Next Year
Municipal wastewater plants invest heavily in odor control scrubbers. Worldwide
purchases next year will exceed $1.3 billion. The largest regional
purchaser will be East Asia followed by NAFTA.
In East Asia the biggest expenditures will be for odor control at new plants. In
Western Europe and NAFTA, the biggest expenses will be to upgrade and repair
odor control systems at existing plants. Here are some examples from
recent McIlvaine North American Wastewater Treatment plant updates.
·
In Bangor, Auburn-based T Buck Construction will begin a $2.3 million project to
replace the Bangor Wastewater Treatment Plant’s biofilter media system and
repair the tower that contains the system. The projected lifespan of the
biofilter is about 12 years, but most layers in the Bangor tower have been
working nearly around the clock for 23 years. Only the top layer has been
replaced — twice in the past two decades. That top layer suffers the most wear
and tear because it’s exposed to the sun and elements.
·
Ludington, Michigan is purchasing a vapor phase odor control system as a result
of odor complaints from neighbors.
·
Short Elliot Hendrickson is engineering the odor control project for the Osage
Pre-treatment facility in Mitchell County. Odor control equipment has been
installed and should be operational as of July 5, 2016.
·
The Fresno-Clovis plant in Fresno, California just issued bids for an odor
control upgrade.
·
Norwalk, Connecticut has a $4.5 million capital budget to solve the odor control
problems from its South Smith Street plant. ARCADIS is working on the
project.
For more information on
N008
Scrubber/Adsorber/Biofilter World Markets
For more information on
62EI
North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People Database
India Flow Control and Treatment Revenues will reach $12 billion in 2017
Flow control and treatment revenues in India will grow by more than 8 percent
this year and reach $12 billion in 2017. The Indian economy is now the
world’s 9th largest. GDP growth is forecast to exceed 7 percent.
In the air segment, revenues of $2.7 billion will be achieved in 2017. The
leading product will be fabric filters which are used in air pollution control
in many industries. Most of the revenues of $801 million for electrostatic
precipitators will be generated in the power industry. However, the power
sector will spend little on flue gas desulfurization (FGD) and NOx
reduction.
Industrial valve and pump revenues will be widely spread across industries such
as power, refining, municipal water and wastewater, chemicals, food, mining and
pharmaceuticals.
Liquid treatment revenues will reach $2.6 billion in 2017 with each of the four
segments sharing the market fairly equally. The big change over the last few
years has been the increased market share for cross-flow membranes.
For more information on the
Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei
For more information on the individual reports, click on:
|
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1279 – July 1, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – US
·
Three Webinars to assist PacificCorp in selection of NOx reduction
Technology
·
EthosEnergy uses Innovative Solution to complete Coal-Fired Plant Repairs in
North Dakota
·
Groundwater at Plant Yates contaminated
COAL – WORLD
·
Joint Venture SEPCO and Power Development Board of Bangladesh sign MoU for
Coal-fired Power Plant in Maheshkhali, Bangladesh
·
Egat reaffirms Coal-fired Power Plants for Thailand
·
Supporting renewables with Coal-fired Power Plants
·
GE agrees with Harbin to establish Coal-fired Power Station for $8 Billion in
Egypt
The
41F
Utility E-Alert
is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other
information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the
$3020
42EI
Utility Tracking System
which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and
many other features.
HOT
TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
DATE |
HOT TOPIC HOUR
AND DECISION
GUIDE SCHEDULE
The opportunity
to interact on
important issues |
July 14, 2016 |
Desalination
Thermal vs. Membrane; energy
recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals
options; power/desalination
combinations. |
July 14, 2016 |
NOx Control for PacifiCorp:
Overview and Summary of Low NOx
Options
Discussion of options for
PacifiCorp to comply with new
NOx removal requirements for
four 350 MW coal fired
generators operating in Utah.
The first webinar will consider
the range of both in-furnace and
back end options. |
July 19, 2016 |
NOx Control for PacifiCorp:
Combustion Modifications and
Neural Networks
Discussion of options for
PacifiCorp to comply with new
NOx removal requirements for
four 350 MW coal fired
generators operating in Utah.
This second webinar will
consider the range of both
in-furnace options to reduce NOx
to between 0.15- 0.22
lbs./MMBtu. |
August 2, 2016 |
NOx Control for PacifiCorp: Back
end NOx Control
Discussion of options for
PacifiCorp to comply with new
NOx removal requirements for
four 350 MW coal fired
generators operating in Utah.
This third webinar will consider
the range of options such as
peroxide, ozone, and catalysis
to reduce emissions to 0.06
lbs./MMBtu. |
August 25, 2016
Markets |
Oil, Gas, Refining
-
Supply and demand; impact on
flow control and treatment
products; regional impacts
e.g. subsea in North Atlantic
vs. shale in the US vs. Oil
Sands in Canada. |
TBA
Markets |
Food
- Analysis
of 12 separate
applications within food and
beverage with analysis of valve,
pump, compressor, filter,
analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such
as forward osmosis. |
TBA
Markets |
Municipal Wastewater
-
Quality of pumps, valves,
filters, and analyzers in
Chinese and Asian plants; new
pollutant challenges; water
purification for reuse. |
TBA
Markets |
Mobile Emissions
-Reduction
in CO, VOCs, and particulate in
fuels, oils, and air used in on
and off road vehicles; impact
of RDE and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe
created by the focus on clean
diesel. |
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Details on Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90-minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material.
The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is
required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
General overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the
issues and options relative to specific applications. Coal-fired power, cement,
steel, and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable Decision
System. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance
of the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be
considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries
in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered
in the slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly
newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking
directories.
44I Power
Plant Air Quality Decisions
includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with
multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this
combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot
Topic Hours** |
|||||||
Pollutant |
Industry |
Fabric Filter
(1ABC) |
Scrubber
(2ABC) |
Precipitator
(4ABC) |
FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) |
Air Pollution
(9ABC) |
Gas |
FGD and Acid Gas |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
Sewage |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
WTE |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Steel |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
*Included in custom system |
Sponsored Webinars
allow suppliers to take
advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point
presentations. Click
here for details |
Free Sponsored Webinars
·
Albemarle
- Cement MACT
·
Aquatech
·
NVISTA
·
Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance
Analyzer
·
Pavilion
·
Sick Maihak
- Cement MACT
·
Tekran Instruments
- Cement MACT |
----------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com