Many Variables Impact the Market for Industrial Pumps
Global, national, technology and regulatory factors are all shaping the future
of the industrial pump industry. The best forecast today may not be the
best forecast tomorrow based on some singular event. A case in point would
be the surprise decision by the U.S. Supreme Court to vacate the Clean Power
Plan. Because China accounts for more than 30 percent of pump purchases,
any economic change in that country will potentially have measureable impact on
global market forecasts. Pumps World Markets is updated continually
to take into account new developments.
At one time extraction of oil from onshore and offshore oil platforms was the
leading sector of the market. This application has seen substantial but
temporary decline. By 2018 this sector will rebound with likely
double-digit growth. Markets in municipal wastewater treatment, desalination,
pharmaceuticals and aquaculture are growing nicely.
The market for pumps in desalination has expanded faster than the overall
industry due to the gain in market share for membrane separation as opposed to
thermal desalination. The use of pumps for energy recovery provides
another big boost. The aquaculture market is booming as the technology is
replacing wild fish harvesting.
The biggest opportunity for pump suppliers is a pro-active strategy to boost
after-market sales. In many applications, it is better to buy more expensive
pumps and repair them as needed than to buy inexpensive pumps and replace them
frequently. This necessitates a program to prove the lower total cost of
ownership for this approach. The pump company has to understand the
application as well as the customer does in order to make a convincing case for
the more expensive initial purchase.
For more information on Pumps World Markets, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75
Fossil Fuel-fired Power Plants can be a Positive rather than A Negative
Contributor to Water Quality
Operators of coal-fired power plants and gas turbine combined cycle power plants
can utilize municipal wastewater for cooling and other needs. When they also
eliminate discharges through zero liquid discharge (ZLD) technology they become
positive rather than negative contributors to water quality. Water lost
through evaporation can be greatly reduced by heat extraction from the flue gas
before it reaches the scrubber. This also reduces total CO2/MW and
makes the plant greener in every sense.
The markets and technology for this approach will be discussed in a free webinar
on February 25th at 10:00 a.m. CST.
The various geographical markets will be analyzed. China is embracing ZLD in
its power plants as well as its coal-to-chemical facilities. Gas
turbine combined cycle power plant developers in the U.S. are selecting ZLD not
only in arid areas but generally to avoid the need to obtain water discharge
permits. ZLD is the preferred option in Saudi Arabia and surrounding
countries.
The availability and cost of treated municipal wastewater will be reviewed.
In general, power plants are near enough to municipal treatment plants to make
the use practical.
Technologies to minimize evaporation losses will also be discussed. The
potential is being increased by new developments such as catalytic filtration at
850oF.
China is making the largest investment in ZLD. Huaneng Group, China’s
largest power producer, has constructed a 1.3 GW state-of-the-art
ultra-supercritical coal-fired power plant at the Changxing Power Station in
Zhejiang Province.
•The plant uses Oasys’ technology to treat the wastewater from flue gas
desulfurization (FGD).
•The system treats up to 650 cubic meters of wastewater a day. Startup was early
2015. The system uses forward osmosis separation technology.
Aquatech has supplied ZLD systems for a number of power plants and
coal-to-chemicals plants. Enel has purchased several systems from Aquatech
for its Italian coal-fired power plants. Aquatech has a Zero Liquid Discharge
(ZLD) plant in a coal-to-chemicals facility in Inner Mongolia. The ZLD plant
incorporates HERO™ (High Efficiency Reverse Osmosis) and a Thermal Brine
Concentrator. The plant will treat 2400 m3/day of wastewater and
reuse 92.5 percent of it, producing 2000 m3/day of process water and
220 m3/day of distilled water for various end user applications.
China has some ZLD systems using evaporators but is leaning toward the cheaper
route of using flue gas to evaporate liquid in the sludge. The spray drier
approach is being offered by Mitsubishi, URS and other international companies.
The various approaches for evaporation of water from slurries will be analyzed.
One option is a falling film evaporator (inside the brine concentrator vessel)
that is seeded with calcium sulfate to minimize scale formation.
Mechanical vapor recompression (MVR) is the method by which a blower, compressor
or jet ejector is used to compress, and thus, increase the temperature of the
vapor produced. In this way, the vapor can serve as the heating medium for
the ZLD solution being concentrated. The efficiency and feasibility of this
process lies in the efficiency of the blower
or compressor and the heat transfer co-efficient attained in the heat exchanger
contacting the condensing vapor and the boiling ZLD liquid. Several different
blower and compressor options will be reviewed.
The discussion will also include the co-combustion of sewage sludge and the use
of gasified sludges as reburn fuels in coal-fired boilers.
A full review of the options for coal-fired power plants is provided in 44I
Power Plant Air Quality Decisions.
A full review of options for gas turbines is part of
Gas
Turbine and Combined Cycle Decisions. Both of these
services are free of charge to power plants and by subscription for others.
Gas Turbine after Market is both Substantial and Concentrated
As the U.S. switches from coal to gas a very large after market is developing
for intake filters, valves, pumps, turbine and HRSG components. McIlvaine
quantifies and tracks all the activity in
Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program.
Of the 440 GW of gas turbine-generated power operating in the U.S. as of the end
of 2015, 170 GW or over one-third is produced by the top ten producers.
Largest Gas-Turbine Power Producers in the U.S.
Based on Capacity as of the end of 2015
Rank |
Power Producer |
Gas-Turbine Power Production |
||
Total Capacity (MW) |
Number of Facilities |
Total Number of Units |
||
1 |
Calpine |
27,894 |
63 |
190 |
2 |
Duke Energy |
25,061 |
42 |
242 |
3 |
NextEra Energy |
20.735 |
18 |
132 |
4 |
Southern Co |
19,919 |
30 |
138 |
5 |
NRG Energy |
18,946 |
57 |
238 |
6 |
Dynegy |
14,022 |
23 |
96 |
7 |
TVA |
12,201 |
15 |
118 |
8 |
Berkshire Hathaway |
11,812 |
24 |
107 |
9 |
Engie |
10,260 |
19 |
57 |
10 |
LS Power |
9,492 |
17 |
70 |
Note: “Total Number of Units” includes both combustion and steam turbines.
Most of these producers are large, U.S.-based energy companies. However,
Engie (known as GDF Suez until April 2015) is a France-based multinational
energy company and one of the largest independent power producers in the world.
In 2011 and 2012, Engie doubled its U.S. power generation capacity through
acquisitions. Berkshire Hathaway is essentially a holding company with an
energy division which includes MidAmerican Energy (acquired in 1999), PacifiCorp
(2005) and NV Energy (2013).
Identifying key decision makers has become particularly difficult over the last
decade due to electricity restructuring in the U.S. The distinction between
regulated and deregulated companies has become blurred. Power plants are
bought and sold frequently as companies and utilities seek to make a profit in
the new market-oriented environment.
McIlvaine has been tracking ownership changes and reports on them
regularly along with identifying every new and existing power plant and project
worldwide. For more information on
59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei.
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1259 – February 12, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – US
·
TVA completes Scrubber installation at Gallatin, TN Power Plant
·
B&W awarded $18 Million Contract for Reheater Replacement at Coal-fired Pawnee
Generating Station
·
Regulator fines Duke Energy nearly $7 Million for Coal Ash Spill
COAL – WORLD
·
ICVL launches Tender for 200 MW Pit-head Power Project in Mozambique
·
SSE may close Three Units at Fiddler’s Ferry Coal-fired Power Plant
·
Coal-fired Power Station expansion in Jerada, Morocco
·
Safi 1,386 MW Coal-fired Power Station under Construction in Cap Ghir Safi,
Morocco
·
Dr. Narla Tata Rao 800 MW Power Plant Expansion in Andhra Pradesh, India
·
Proposed 552 MW Coal-fired Power Station in Lanao del Norte Province,
Philippines
·
Adani's Coal Mine clears Australia Environmental hurdle
The
41F
Utility E-Alert
is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other
information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the
$3020
42EI
Utility Tracking System
which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and
many other features.
McIlvaine
Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings
Explanation
Applicable
Services
Schedule
& Registration
Sponsored
Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material.
The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is
required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems
displaying the issues and options relative to a specific applications.
Coal-fired power, cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are
continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision
system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance
of the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be
considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries
in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered
in the slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly
newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking
directories.
44I Power
Plant Air Quality Decisions
includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with
multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this
combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot
Topic Hours** |
|||||||
Pollutant |
Industry |
Fabric Filter
(1ABC) |
Scrubber
(2ABC) |
Precipitator
(4ABC) |
FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) |
Air Pollution
(9ABC) |
Gas |
Mercury
February |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
WTE |
X |
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Sewage |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
X |
|
|
|
X |
|
|
Natural Gas* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DeNOx
March 24, 2016 |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
Incineration |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Steel |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Cement |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Diesel* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gas Turbine |
|
|
|
X |
|
X |
Hot Gas |
Coal |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
WTE |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Steel |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Incineration |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Coal Gas |
X |
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
GT Intake |
|
|
|
|
|
X |
|
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
Sewage |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
WTE |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Steel |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
*Included in custom system
|
Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at
approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate
the insertion of new subjects.
DATE |
SUBJECT |
February 25, 2016
Markets |
Zero Liquid Discharge
-
Regulatory status in US and ROW;
spray drier vs.. evaporation for
Chinese power plants; difference
in various system designs; total
cost of ownership; valve,
pump, evaporator, centrifuge,
instrumentation, materials and
compressor options.
Click Here to Register |
March 10, 2016
Markets |
Gas Turbine
-
Intake filter, SCR, NH3, HRSG,
valve, pump, instrumentation and
cooling options (dry vs. wet);
treatment chemicals; challenges
with FAC due to extensive
cycling.
Click Here to Register |
March 24, 2016
Decisions |
NOx Control
- Review
of the issues and options for
NOx control in coal fired power,
cement, steel, and waste to
energy plants as well as mobile
diesel vehicles.
Click Here to Register |
April 7, 2016
Markets |
Power Generation Technologies
-
Future of USC coal in India,
Vietnam and Indonesia;
natural gas prices; GHG
regulations; nuclear costs;
penetration for wind and solar.
Click Here to Register |
April 21, 2016
Decisions |
Hot Gas Filtration
-
Issue and Option for particulate
capture. in coal fired power,
cement, steel, and waste
incineration. Click
Here to Register |
June
16, 2016
Decisions |
FGD and Acid Gas Separation
- Issue
and options for SO2 and other
acid gas separation from coal
fired power, cement, steel, and
waste incineration plants.
Click
Here to Register |
TBA
Markets |
Desalination
-
Thermal vs. Membrane; energy
recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals
options; power/desalination
combinations. |
TBA
Markets |
Oil, Gas, Refining
-
Supply and demand; impact on
flow control and treatment
products; regional impacts
e.g. subsea in North Atlantic
vs. shale in the US vs. Oil
Sands in Canada. |
TBA
Markets |
Food
- Analysis
of 12 separate
applications within food and
beverage with analysis of valve,
pump, compressor, filter,
analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such
as forward osmosis. |
TBA
Markets |
Municipal Wastewater
-
Quality of pumps, valves,
filters, and analyzers in
Chinese and Asian plants; new
pollutant challenges; water
purification for reuse. |
TBA
Markets |
Mobile Emissions -
Reduction in CO, VOCs, and
particulate in fuels, oils, and
air used in on and off road
vehicles; impact of RDE
and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe
created by the focus on diesels. |
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Sponsored Webinars
allow suppliers to take
advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point
presentations. Click
here for details |
Free Sponsored Webinars
·
Albemarle
- Cement MACT
·
Aquatech
·
NVISTA
·
Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance
Analyzer
·
Pavilion
·
Sick Maihak
- Cement MACT
·
Tekran Instruments
- Cement MACT |
----------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com