What New Power Technologies will change
the Markets and who will provide them?
Hot Topic Hour April 7, 2016
Utilities and suppliers from around the world participated in a discussion on
what new power technologies are going to be implemented and who will implement
them. We started with an analysis for the future markets segmented by fuel type.
The biggest investment in the next 25 years will be
in coal-fired boilers.
Power Plant Investment
2015-2040 |
|
Generator Type |
$ Trillions |
Coal-fired Power |
4.4 |
Gas Turbine Combined Cycle |
2.2 |
Nuclear |
2.0 |
Biomass |
0.6 |
Wind |
2.3 |
Solar |
2.8 |
Total |
14.3 |
The McIlvaine Company was tracking the technology and
markets in the 1970s when European precipitator technology usurped the throne
shared by Research Cottrell and Western Precipitation. Within a few years the
world’s largest precipitator companies were reduced to “also rans.” The
main reason was that the wire and weight design was inferior to the rigid frame.
So the power markets are “technology forcing” and there is lots of new
technology which could be a force. The conclusion is that success in the $4.4
trillion coal segment will be determined by developing superior technology.
Asia is where the action will be
•
There are 670
new generation high efficiency, low emissions (HELE) coal-fired power generation
units in operation in 10 Asian economies – Bangladesh, China, India, Japan,
Malaysia, Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam.
•
These units,
which represent 37 percent of electricity capacity, are producing affordable
energy with sharp reductions in CO2 and
other emissions.
–
The units emit
20-25 percent less CO2 than
the average of existing power stations and up to 40 percent less than the oldest
technology in place.
–
For each unit
of electricity generated, they consume less fuel and emit fewer local pollutants
and,
–
They typically
incorporate modern SO2,
NOx and
particulate control systems.
•
New HELE coal
technology in the 10 countries
is
already reducing CO2 emissions
by an estimated 479 million tonnes a year.
•
This low
emissions coal revolution is accelerating with an additional 1,066 HELE units
under construction or planned in these 10 economies alone (representing 672
gigawatts of capacity).
THE BIGGEST OPPORTUNITY FOR INTERNATIONAL SUPPLIERS
IS IN TECHNOLOGY WHICH MAKES COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS MORE EFFICIENT AND REDUCES
ALL ENVIRONMENTAL EMISSIONS NOT JUST CO2. INTERNATIONAL SUPPLIERS
WITH NEW SUPERIOR TECHNOLOGY CAN CAPITALIZE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY. BUT, WILL THESE
INNOVATORS BE AMERICAN, EUROPEAN, JAPANESE, CHINESE OR EVEN FROM SOME SURPRISING
LOCATIONS?
We are finding that China is already moving forward with some of the innovations
which McIlvaine believes could be winners. But there are even better
technologies available.
Are Chinese companies going to be the coal-fired power plant technology leaders
of the future? The Shenhua Shenwan Energy Company’s
Anqing Power Plant Phase II’s 2×1000 MW expansion project boasts the highest
steam parameters in China with extremely low emissions.
•
Eighty-five new
technologies were adopted at the Anqing power plant, raising the power plant
efficiency significantly and reducing coal consumption and emissions.
•
Ultra-supercritical
(USC) steam turbines, steam cycle pressure and temperatures of 28
MPa/600˚C/620˚C—the first time such high parameters were used in China on a
power plant of this size.
•
Compared to the steam
parameters used by conventional 1000-MW units, the Anqing steam turbines’ heat
consumption is 53 kJ/kWh lower and the standard coal consumption for power
generation was reduced by 1.94 g/kWh. The annual savings, based on standard coal
costs, are about 19.8 million yuan (US$3.10 million).
•
The cost for the two
units was less than $ 1 billion or just $ 500/kW.
HOW CAN SUCH LOW INVESTMENT COSTS BE ACHIEVED?
HOW COSTLY ARE CHINESE PLANTS WHEN EXPORTED TO
AFRICA /ASIA?
IS CHINESE USC TECHNOLOGY LEADING THE WORLD?
Some of the heat exchange innovations were
•
Extracting steam from nine different locations in
the turbine to optimize boiler feedwater heating. As compared to the typical
grade-8 regenerative extraction, heat consumption was reduced by 10 kJ/kWh and
standard coal consumption for power generation was reduced by 0.34 g/kWh.
•
A high-yield water cooling tower designed to save
energy compared to a conventional cooling tower was used for the first time at a
1000-MW unit in China, reducing the circulating pump lift by 10–11.5 m and
reducing noise by 8–10 dB. About 3790 kW/hr. of parasitic energy was saved,
reducing the plant’s power consumption by 0.38%, and the standard coal
consumption for power generation was reduced by about 1 g/kWh.
•
Another approach to saving energy was capturing
the waste heat in the flue gas and using it to preheat the boiler feedwater.
Operating at the designed full load, the flue gas heat exchanger recovers 44,000
kW of heat, which reduced heat consumption by 45 kJ/kWh, and reduced the plants’
standard coal consumption by 1.65 g/kWh.
•
Minimizing the backpressure on the steam turbines
is another approach to increasing the efficiency of the power plant. Thus, at
the Anqing units the backpressure for the units was optimized to improve overall
efficiency.
THERE IS LOTS OF HEAT RECOVERY RELATED ACTIVITY IN
CHINA .WE HAVE NOT IDENTIFIED THE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEM USED AT ANQING BUT HAVE
INITIATED RESEARCH AND FIND THAT ZHENGZHOU BOILER IS OFFERING TWO
STAGE CERAMIC MEMBRANE HEAT RECOVERY SYSTEMS. THIS SEEMS TO BE PARALLEL TO
WORK IN THE U.S. BY GTI WHICH IS ONLY IN THE PILOT PHASE. ARE THE
CHINESE AHEAD OF THE WORLD ON THIS?
Very low emissions are achieved: outlet dust
emissions of 3 mg/ Nm3 and 95% NOx removal
•
The efficient spin
exchange coupling wet FGD removes SO2 with an efficiency of 97.8 to
99.7%.
•
In the spin exchange
coupling efficient-FGD technology, a device termed a “turbulator” has been added
between the entering flue gas and first level of the FGD tower, which changes
the flow state of the incoming gas from laminar to turbulent and reduces the gas
film resistance, so as to increase the liquid-gas contact area, increase the
gas-liquid mass transfer rate, and thus increase FGD and PM removal efficiency.
•
This system also
requires less power consumption than other FGD systems. In the compulsory
168-hour unit test run, the FGD efficiency reached 99.7%.
THE
TURBULATOR IS A SCRUBBER INVENTED IN CHINA BY
SPC WHO HAS A NUMBER OF RECENT ORDERS FOR LARGE
FGD SYSTEMS AND REPORTED 2015 SALES OF 2400 MILLION CNY AND IS FORECASTING 6200
MILLON CNY FOR 2017. THIS INNOVATION NEEDS TO BE COMPARED TO THE B&W TRAY
SCRUBBER BECAUSE BOTH RELY ON TURBULENCE RATHER THAN LAMINAR FLOW.
MCILVAINE HAS BEEN PREACHING TURBULENCE AS THE ANSWER FOR DECADES.
An additional question is, how much competition will
Chinese companies pose in other countries of Asia and in Africa and Eastern
Europe?
There are a number of Chinese power plant equipment
suppliers who have the lion’s share of the experience on 1 million MW of new
coal fired plants installed in the last 20 years. In many cases the
installations were partnerships of licenses but the Chinese companies are
increasingly doing their own research.
Shanghai Electric is now aiming to become more competitive in the global market
and it has identified technological innovations as the key to doing so. A
spokesman recently stated that half of the company’s new technologies would be
invented through their own research by 2025.
The company owns a big chunk of Ansaldo and its gas turbine technology. It
has a joint venture with Alstom for coal-fired power plants. It acquired the
Manz solar technology recently. So this company, which is state owned and
primarily focused on coal-fired power, is now becoming a force in other power
plant technologies. It has also booked significant orders for its coal-fired
boiler plants in other countries.
There are a number of promising technologies which
were discussed. They included
·
Production of
hydrochloric acid, rare earths, and precious metals with minor increase in
capital investment compared to a conventional FGD system.
·
Use of the catalytic
filter with DSI to replace three individual devices and to create a clean hot
gas at 850°F from which the heat is extracted.
·
Gasification of
municipal solid waste and use as a reburn fuel above the primary firing zone.
The power point presentation is
found at
Power Generation Technologies Slides