Track All the Coal Activity In India, China, Vietnam and Indonesia
Here are some of the headlines from our Utility E-Alert last week:
§
60 GW of New Capacity in Indonesia over the 10 Years ending 2022
§
Precipitators and some FGD Systems are installed on Indonesian Coal-fired Power
Plants
§
PLN is among the Top 500 Flow Control and Treatment Purchasers
§
KEL, Chinese Firms sign Deal for 700 MW Coal-fired Power Plant
§
1,320-MW Coal-fired Power Plant underway in Karachi, Pakistan
§
Krabi Coal-fired Power Plant 'will have Little Environmental Impact'
§
Gayatri Projects JV TPCIL commissions 1320 MW Power Plant in Krishnapatnam
§
New Chinese Power Plant Projects
§
More than 1100 New Coal-fired Power Plants are in Planning or Construction
Four Asian countries will purchase more new coal-fired power plants than exist
in the U.S. and Europe combined over the next 10 years. The weekly
Utility E-Alert is only 950/yr. Check it out at: 41F
Utility E-Alert
Detailed Forecasting of Valves and Pumps Increases Accuracy and Facilitates
Precise Estimates of Individual Project Opportunities
The standard Pump and Valve World Market reports by McIlvaine Company include
40,000 quarterly forecasts with divisions by each country, industry and product
type. McIlvaine also offers more detailed options which provide many
additional revenue forecasts per quarter. There are three advantages to the
extended forecasts.
·
Strategic: detailed forecasts are more accurate and can be directly related to
the products offered by the valve or pump supplier
·
Sales: detailed forecasts make it possible to assign order values to all the
large projects and to prioritize them
·
Facilitates cooperation among management, sales and engineering
A good example is the LNG industry. Special pumps and valves are needed for
cryogenic applications. Centrifugal pumps and butterfly valves are widely
utilized. The standard forecasts split up a $6 billion market for
centrifugal pumps and a $700 million market for butterfly valves in oil and gas
by country. With a system which delivers one hundred times more detail, these
segments are further broken down into LNG vs. other oil and gas sectors and into
cryogenic vs. non-cryogenic. Furthermore, the forecasts are segmented by
the three types of operations: liquefaction, transport and regasification.
Oil and Gas Pump Forecast 2015
$ Millions |
|
Oil and Gas Valve Forecast 2015
$ Millions |
||||
|
All Oil and Gas Pumps
$11,000 |
|
|
|
All Oil and Gas Valves
$8,000 |
|
Centrifugal
$6,000 |
|
Butterfly
$700 |
||||
LNG Cryogenic
$200 |
|
LNG
Cryogenic
$70 |
||||
Liquefaction |
Regas
|
Transport
$50 |
|
Liquefaction |
Regas
$20 |
Transport |
|
New/AM
$40/$10 |
|
|
New/AM
$15/$5 |
|
|
Per Ship
$1 |
|
Per Terminal
$2 |
||||
Per Tank
$0.25 |
|
Number of BF Valves
/Terminal 61 |
||||
Per Pump
$0.12 |
|
Valve Price
$004 |
In each segment the actual number of pumps and valves can be determined for a
specific facility or tanker. With the price of each valve and pump, the
project order opportunity can be determined. With this detailed
forecasting it is possible to assign values to each project in the McIlvaine
71EI Oil,
Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert.
Here are three examples from the September 15 issue:
Petronas Selects Axens Technologies for Malaysia’s RAPID Project
Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS), has selected Axens as a technology
provider for PETRONAS’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development
(RAPID) project located in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. RAPID is part of
PETRONAS’ Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) development, which includes six
major associated facilities namely the Pengerang Co-generation Plant,
Re-gasification Terminal 2, Air Separation Unit, Raw Water Supply Project,
Liquid Bulk Terminal as well as central and shared utilities and facilities.
RAPID is estimated to cost US$16 billion while the associated facilities will
involve an investment of about US$11 billion. PIC is poised for its refinery
start-up by early 2019.
Regasification terminal will generate a cryogenic pump opportunity of $1
million and butterfly valve opportunity of $0.5 million. Total flow
control and treatment opportunities for the project are over $200 million.
Lloyds Energy awards KBR Eurasian FLNG FEED Contract
KBR, Inc. has been awarded a near-shore floating LNG Front End Engineering
Design (FEED) contract by Lloyds Energy Ltd. Under this contract, KBR will
provide integrated topsides and hull engineering design services for a nominal
2.5 million TPA floating natural gas liquefaction plant (FLNG). Start-up of the
project facilities is expected to take place in 2019.
This project will add about 1 percent to world LNG capacity and create a $1
million opportunity for cryogenic pumps and $400,000 opportunity for butterfly
valves.
Keppel contracts 3rd Floating Liquefaction Facility Conversion Worth $684
Million
Keppel Shipyard Limited (Keppel Shipyard), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel
Offshore & Marine Ltd (Keppel O&M), has signed a contract worth approximately
US$684 million with Golar Gandria N.V., a subsidiary of Golar LNG Limited (Golar
LNG), to perform the conversion of a Moss type Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
carrier, the GANDRIA, into a Golar Floating Liquefaction (GoFLNG) facility.
Keppel Shipyard will once again engage Black & Veatch to provide design,
procurement and commissioning support services for the topsides, as well as the
liquefaction process utilizing its established PRICO® technology. The
GANDRIA is a 126,000 cubic meter Moss LNG carrier.
Each ship is a $900,000 opportunity for cryogenic pumps and a $300,000
opportunity for butterfly valves.
For more information on:
Pumps World Markets,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75
N028 Industrial Valves: World Market,
click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028
Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/991-71ei
Detailed Forecasting Of Air and Water Monitoring Increases Accuracy and
Facilitates Precise Estimates of Individual Project Opportunities
The Air and Water Monitoring Market report by McIlvaine Company includes 40,000
quarterly forecasts with divisions by each country, industry and product type.
McIlvaine also offers more detailed options which provide many additional
revenue forecasts per quarter. There are three advantages to the extended
forecasts.
·
Strategic: detailed forecasts are more accurate and can be directly related to
the products offered by the monitoring supplier
·
Sales: detailed forecasts make it possible to assign values to all the large
projects and to prioritize them
·
Facilitates cooperation among management, sales and engineering
Air and water monitoring forecasts are segmented into a number of categories.
One is the medium. The standard forecasts provide a split between gases
and liquids. However, further splits can be made between ambient air,
stack gas, process gas and products of combustion. Liquids can be
segmented by water, oil, process liquids and slurries.
Another segmentation is by task including intermittent sampling and continuous
monitoring. Segmentation by function includes sensors, sample conditioning,
analysis and control.
A good example is the LNG industry. Special monitoring devices and control
systems are needed for gases and cryogenic liquids. With a system which delivers
more detail, LNG revenues can be extracted from the total oil and gas forecast
and control systems determined by country. Furthermore, the forecasts can
be segmented by the three types of operations: liquefaction, transport and
regasification.
Air and Water
Monitoring Detailed Forecasts In
Oil and Gas |
||||||
Air and Gases Forecast
2015
$ Millions |
|
Water and Liquids Forecast
$ Millions |
||||
|
All Oil and Gas
$1,000 |
|
|
|
All Oil and Gas
$3,000 |
|
Process Gases
$600 |
|
Process Liquids
$400 |
||||
LNG Cryogenic
$70 |
|
LNG
Cryogenic
$150 |
||||
Liquefaction |
Regas
|
Transport
$15 |
|
Liquefaction |
Regas
$30 |
Transport |
|
New/AM
$12/$3 |
|
|
New/AM
$25/$5 |
|
|
Per Ship
$.05 |
|
Per Terminal
$0.5 |
||||
Per Tank
$0.01 |
|
Number of Control Systems Per
Terminal 3 |
||||
Per Control System
$0.01 |
|
Control System Price
$0.17 |
In each segment the actual number of measurement and control systems can be
determined for a specific facility or tanker. With the price of each
control system, the project order opportunity can be determined. With this
detailed forecasting it is possible to assign values to each project in the
McIlvaine
71EI Oil,
Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert.
Here are three examples from the September 15 issue.
Petronas Selects Axens Technologies for Malaysia’s RAPID Project
Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS), has selected Axens as a technology
provider for PETRONAS’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development
(RAPID) project located in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. RAPID is part of
PETRONAS’ Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) development, which includes six
major associated facilities namely the Pengerang Co-generation Plant,
Re-gasification Terminal 2, Air Separation Unit, Raw Water Supply Project,
Liquid Bulk Terminal as well as central and shared utilities and facilities.
RAPID is estimated to cost US$16 billion while the associated facilities will
involve an investment of about US$11 billion. PIC is poised for its refinery
start-up by early 2019.
Regasification terminal will generate a cryogenic liquids control and
measurement opportunity of $0.5 million and $0.3 million opportunity for gas
measurement. Total flow control and treatment opportunities for the project are
over $200 million.
Lloyds Energy awards KBR Eurasian FLNG FEED Contract
KBR, Inc. has been awarded a near-shore floating LNG Front End Engineering
Design (FEED) contract by Lloyds Energy Ltd. Under this contract, KBR will
provide integrated topsides and hull engineering design services for a nominal
2.5 million TPA floating natural gas liquefaction plant (FLNG). Start-up of the
project facilities is expected to take place in 2019.
This project will add about one percent to world LNG capacity and create a $1
million opportunity for cryogenic liquid measurement and control and $1.5
million opportunity for gas measurement and control systems.
Keppel contracts 3rd Floating Liquefaction Facility Conversion Worth $684
Million
Keppel Shipyard Limited (Keppel Shipyard), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel
Offshore & Marine Ltd (Keppel O&M), has signed a contract worth approximately
US$684 million with Golar Gandria N.V., a subsidiary of Golar LNG Limited (Golar
LNG), to perform the conversion of a Moss type Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
carrier, the GANDRIA, into a Golar Floating Liquefaction (GoFLNG) facility.
Keppel Shipyard will once again engage Black & Veatch to provide design,
procurement and commissioning support services for the topsides, as well as the
liquefaction process utilizing its established PRICO® technology. The
GANDRIA is a 126,000 cubic meter Moss LNG carrier.
Each ship is a $500,000 opportunity for gas measurement and control and a $1
million opportunity for measurement and control software but not including
control valves for the cryogenic liquids.
For more information on
N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/106-n031
Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/991-71ei
InterWebviews™ In Other Languages
Recording you sales presentations is important.
InterWebviews
It is important to conduct InterWebviews™ (IWV)) in other languages. In
fact the value is counter-intuitive. The smaller the potential market in a
non-English speaking country, the more important it is to have InterWebviews™.
The reason is that the IWV is the most economical way to reach a small targeted
audience. It is also a very economical way to reach large audiences with
focused propositions. But there are other alternatives which become
economical as the size of the audience grows.
If a company is going to want to reach 10,000 people with a proposition, then
professional presentations can be economically justified. But for focused
messages or general messages to a small targeted non-English audience, the
InterWebview™ is your answer. For less than $1,000 your local salesman, or
someone selected by McIlvaine can utilize your English power point presentation
and provide a spoken version as McIlvaine hosts and indexes the slides in a
GoToMeeting session. McIlvaine took an English presentation by Wahlco and
used a Chinese air pollution expert to make a presentation in Mandarin.
This recording has received over 3,000 views on YouTube.
The CBI interview in Chinese was a big success.
Company
|
Language |
Subject (Click title to view
recording) |
CBI |
Chinese |
|
Wahlco |
Chinese |
These recordings demonstrate the high value for companies in the initial stages
of market penetration. Much of the interest was from potential partners and
important government institutes.
Indonesia, Vietnam and China will purchase more coal-fired power plant equipment
than Europe, Africa and Americas combined over the next ten years. They will
purchase more capacity than the peak U.S. installed base
of 310,000 MW. Much of the equipment in Vietnam and Indonesia will be sold
to offshore OEMs or engineered by offshore A/E firms. However, the big
purchasers such as PLN in Indonesia will be the most important decision makers.
So it is important to reach them.
Here are the number of native speakers in the three languages and the
proficiency in English.
Language |
Number of Native Speakers
(Millions) |
Proficiency
Ranking in English
63 Countries 1-63 |
Proficiency
Rating
in English
|
MW Of New Coal-Fired Boilers in
Next 10 Years (1000) |
Mandarin (China) |
1,000 |
41 |
low |
200 |
Indonesian/Malay |
77 |
28 |
moderate |
50 |
Vietnamese |
76 |
33 |
low |
80 |
Many of the engineers have taken courses in English and can extract much
information from a power point presentation in English. However, the most
important aspects of your proposition are likely to involve detailed
classifications which are not understood. So a verbal description in the native
language is the way to communicate this. For more information click on
InterWebviews
and/or contact Bob McIlvaine at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
New Bi Weekly Alert on Oil and Gas Covers Billions of Dollars in Flow Control
and Treatment Projects
Here is the current issue of Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Oil_Gas_Shale_Refining_Alert_Sample.htm.
As you can see the Alert covers the larger projects around the world and
provides the important information for sales management. The following projects
each will result in millions of dollars of orders for flow control and treatment
products. Each project has been rated. The opportunity size is rated from 1-10
with 1 being small and 10 being very large. The timing for flow and treatment
orders has been provided by year e.g., T16 = timing of order is 2016.
Project Title |
Application
Location |
Opportunity Size/Order Date |
Egypt plans $300 Million
Refinery Expansion in Gasoline
using UOP Technology |
Refinery
Egypt |
06
T16 |
Aquatech awarded Contract to
Supply Thermal Desalination
System for Orpic's Sohar
Refinery |
Refinery
Oman |
03
T15 |
Amec Foster Wheeler to work on
Vietnam’s Dung Quat Refinery
Expansion |
Refinery
Vietnam |
07
T16 |
Mega-project Expansion of
Petroperu’s Talara Refinery |
Refinery
Peru |
09
T15 |
New $161 Million South African
Crude Blending Terminal to
Start-up in 2017 |
Oil and gas
South Africa
|
01
T15 |
Jacobs receives EPCM Contract
for Expansion of ExxonMobil’s
Beaumont, TX Refinery |
Refinery
Texas |
04
T165 |
Technip, EGPC and ASORC
Agreement for the Assiut
Refinery |
Refinery
Assiut |
06
T16 |
KNPC awards Tecnicas Reunidas an
Engineering Contract for Al/Zour
Refinery |
Refinery
Middle East |
09
T17 |
CB&I awarded Equipment for
Afipsky Oil Refinery in Russia |
Refinery
Russia |
02
T16 |
Technip, SACE and Midor
Agreement for the Alexandria
Refinery |
Refinery
Egypt |
06
T17 |
CB&I awarded $100 Million
Contract for Louisiana Refinery |
Refinery
U.S. |
02
T16 |
Kuwait embarks $10 Billion
upgrade of 2 Refineries |
Refinery
Kuwait |
08
T17 |
For more information on the
N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/471-n049
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours and Recordings
McIlvaine webinars offer the opportunity to view the latest presentations and
join discussions while sitting at your desk. Hot Topic Hours cater to the end
users as well as suppliers while the Market Updates cater to the suppliers and
investors. Since McIlvaine records and provides streaming media access to
these webinars there is a treasure trove of value only a click away. McIlvaine
webinars are free to certain McIlvaine service subscribers. There is a charge
for others. Hot Topic Hours are free to owner/operators. Sponsored
webinars provide insights to particular products and services. They are
free. Recordings can be immediately viewed from the list provided below.
DATE |
UPCOMING HOT TOPIC HOUR |
UPCOMING MARKET UPDATES |
Sept. 25, 2015 |
Pump Market Forecast Changes |
|
October 1, 2015 |
Power Plant Water Treatment
Chemicals |
|
October 2, 2015 |
Fabric Filter Market Forecast
Changes |
|
October 22, 2015 |
Precipitator Improvements |
|
November 12, 2015 |
Dry Scrubbing |
|
December 3, 2015 |
NOx Reduction |
----------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com