Track All the Coal Activity In India, China, Vietnam and Indonesia

Here are some of the headlines from our Utility E-Alert last week:

§  60 GW of New Capacity in Indonesia over the 10 Years ending 2022

§  Precipitators and some FGD Systems are installed on Indonesian Coal-fired Power Plants

§  PLN is among the Top 500 Flow Control and Treatment Purchasers

§  KEL, Chinese Firms sign Deal for 700 MW Coal-fired Power Plant

§  1,320-MW Coal-fired Power Plant underway in Karachi, Pakistan

§  Krabi Coal-fired Power Plant 'will have Little Environmental Impact'

§  Gayatri Projects JV TPCIL commissions 1320 MW Power Plant in Krishnapatnam

§  New Chinese Power Plant Projects

§  More than 1100 New Coal-fired Power Plants are in Planning or Construction

Four Asian countries will purchase more new coal-fired power plants than exist in the U.S. and Europe combined over the next 10 years.  The weekly Utility E-Alert is only 950/yr.  Check it out at:    41F Utility E-Alert

Detailed Forecasting of Valves and Pumps Increases Accuracy and Facilitates Precise Estimates of Individual Project Opportunities

The standard Pump and Valve World Market reports by McIlvaine Company include 40,000 quarterly forecasts with divisions by each country, industry and product type.  McIlvaine also offers more detailed options which provide many additional revenue forecasts per quarter. There are three advantages to the extended forecasts.

·       Strategic: detailed forecasts are more accurate and can be directly related to the products offered by the valve or pump supplier

·       Sales: detailed forecasts make it possible to assign order values to all the large projects and to prioritize them

·       Facilitates cooperation among management, sales and engineering

A good example is the LNG industry. Special pumps and valves are needed for cryogenic applications. Centrifugal pumps and butterfly valves are widely utilized.  The standard forecasts split up a $6 billion market for centrifugal pumps and a $700 million market for butterfly valves in oil and gas by country. With a system which delivers one hundred times more detail, these segments are further broken down into LNG vs. other oil and gas sectors and into cryogenic vs. non-cryogenic.  Furthermore, the forecasts are segmented by the three types of operations: liquefaction, transport and regasification.

 

Oil and Gas Pump Forecast 2015

$ Millions

 

Oil and Gas Valve Forecast 2015

$  Millions

 

All Oil and Gas Pumps

$11,000

 

 

 

All Oil and Gas Valves

$8,000

 

Centrifugal

$6,000

 

Butterfly

$700

LNG Cryogenic

$200

 

LNG

Cryogenic

$70

Liquefaction

Regas

 

Transport

$50

 

Liquefaction

Regas

$20

Transport

 

New/AM

$40/$10

 

 

New/AM

$15/$5

 

Per Ship

$1

 

Per Terminal $2

Per Tank

$0.25

 

Number of BF Valves

/Terminal 61

Per Pump

$0.12

 

Valve Price $004

In each segment the actual number of pumps and valves can be determined for a specific facility or tanker.  With the price of each valve and pump, the project order opportunity can be determined.  With this detailed forecasting it is possible to assign values to each project in the McIlvaine 71EI Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert.  Here are three examples from the September 15 issue:

Petronas Selects Axens Technologies for Malaysia’s RAPID Project

Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS), has selected Axens as a technology provider for PETRONAS’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development (RAPID) project located in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. RAPID is part of PETRONAS’ Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) development, which includes six major associated facilities namely the Pengerang Co-generation Plant, Re-gasification Terminal 2, Air Separation Unit, Raw Water Supply Project, Liquid Bulk Terminal as well as central and shared utilities and facilities.  RAPID is estimated to cost US$16 billion while the associated facilities will involve an investment of about US$11 billion. PIC is poised for its refinery start-up by early 2019.

Regasification terminal will generate a cryogenic pump opportunity of $1 million and butterfly valve opportunity of $0.5 million.  Total flow control and treatment opportunities for the project are over $200 million.

Lloyds Energy awards KBR Eurasian FLNG FEED Contract

KBR, Inc. has been awarded a near-shore floating LNG Front End Engineering Design (FEED) contract by Lloyds Energy Ltd. Under this contract, KBR will provide integrated topsides and hull engineering design services for a nominal 2.5 million TPA floating natural gas liquefaction plant (FLNG). Start-up of the project facilities is expected to take place in 2019.

This project will add about 1 percent to world LNG capacity and create a $1 million opportunity for cryogenic pumps and $400,000 opportunity for butterfly valves.

Keppel contracts 3rd Floating Liquefaction Facility Conversion Worth $684 Million

Keppel Shipyard Limited (Keppel Shipyard), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel Offshore & Marine Ltd (Keppel O&M), has signed a contract worth approximately US$684 million with Golar Gandria N.V., a subsidiary of Golar LNG Limited (Golar LNG), to perform the conversion of a Moss type Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) carrier, the GANDRIA, into a Golar Floating Liquefaction (GoFLNG) facility. Keppel Shipyard will once again engage Black & Veatch to provide design, procurement and commissioning support services for the topsides, as well as the liquefaction process utilizing its established PRICO® technology. The GANDRIA is a 126,000 cubic meter Moss LNG carrier. 

Each ship is a $900,000 opportunity for cryogenic pumps and a $300,000 opportunity for butterfly valves.

For more information on:

Pumps World Markets, click on:  
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75

N028 Industrial Valves: World Market, click on:   http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028

Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/991-71ei

Detailed Forecasting Of Air and Water Monitoring Increases Accuracy and Facilitates Precise Estimates of Individual Project Opportunities

The Air and Water Monitoring Market report by McIlvaine Company includes 40,000 quarterly forecasts with divisions by each country, industry and product type.  McIlvaine also offers more detailed options which provide many additional revenue forecasts per quarter. There are three advantages to the extended forecasts.

·       Strategic: detailed forecasts are more accurate and can be directly related to the products offered by the monitoring supplier

·       Sales: detailed forecasts make it possible to assign values to all the large projects and to prioritize them

·       Facilitates cooperation among management, sales and engineering

Air and water monitoring forecasts are segmented into a number of categories.  One is the medium.  The standard forecasts provide a split between gases and liquids.  However, further splits can be made between ambient air, stack gas, process gas and products of combustion.  Liquids can be segmented by water, oil, process liquids and slurries.

Another segmentation is by task including intermittent sampling and continuous monitoring. Segmentation by function includes sensors, sample conditioning, analysis and control.

A good example is the LNG industry.  Special monitoring devices and control systems are needed for gases and cryogenic liquids. With a system which delivers more detail, LNG revenues can be extracted from the total oil and gas forecast and control systems determined by country.  Furthermore, the forecasts can be segmented by the three types of operations: liquefaction, transport and regasification. 

Air and Water Monitoring Detailed Forecasts In Oil and Gas    

Air and Gases  Forecast 2015

$ Millions

 

Water and Liquids Forecast

$  Millions

 

All Oil and Gas

$1,000

 

 

 

All Oil and Gas

$3,000

 

Process Gases

$600

 

Process Liquids

$400

LNG Cryogenic

$70

 

LNG

Cryogenic

$150

Liquefaction

Regas

 

Transport

$15

 

Liquefaction

Regas

$30

Transport

 

New/AM

$12/$3

 

 

New/AM

$25/$5

 

Per Ship

$.05

 

Per Terminal

$0.5

Per Tank

$0.01

 

Number of Control Systems Per

Terminal 3

Per Control System

$0.01

 

Control System Price

$0.17

In each segment the actual number of measurement and control systems can be determined for a specific facility or tanker.  With the price of each control system, the project order opportunity can be determined.  With this detailed forecasting it is possible to assign values to each project in the McIlvaine 71EI Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert.  Here are three examples from the September 15 issue.

Petronas Selects Axens Technologies for Malaysia’s RAPID Project

Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS), has selected Axens as a technology provider for PETRONAS’ Refinery and Petrochemicals Integrated Development (RAPID) project located in Pengerang, Johor, Malaysia. RAPID is part of PETRONAS’ Pengerang Integrated Complex (PIC) development, which includes six major associated facilities namely the Pengerang Co-generation Plant, Re-gasification Terminal 2, Air Separation Unit, Raw Water Supply Project, Liquid Bulk Terminal as well as central and shared utilities and facilities.  RAPID is estimated to cost US$16 billion while the associated facilities will involve an investment of about US$11 billion. PIC is poised for its refinery start-up by early 2019.

Regasification terminal will generate a cryogenic liquids control and measurement opportunity of $0.5 million and $0.3 million opportunity for gas measurement. Total flow control and treatment opportunities for the project are over $200 million.

Lloyds Energy awards KBR Eurasian FLNG FEED Contract

KBR, Inc. has been awarded a near-shore floating LNG Front End Engineering Design (FEED) contract by Lloyds Energy Ltd. Under this contract, KBR will provide integrated topsides and hull engineering design services for a nominal 2.5 million TPA floating natural gas liquefaction plant (FLNG). Start-up of the project facilities is expected to take place in 2019.

This project will add about one percent to world LNG capacity and create a $1 million opportunity for cryogenic liquid measurement and control and $1.5 million opportunity for gas measurement and control systems.

Keppel contracts 3rd Floating Liquefaction Facility Conversion Worth $684 Million

Keppel Shipyard Limited (Keppel Shipyard), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel Offshore & Marine Ltd (Keppel O&M), has signed a contract worth approximately US$684 million with Golar Gandria N.V., a subsidiary of Golar LNG Limited (Golar LNG), to perform the conversion of a Moss type Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) carrier, the GANDRIA, into a Golar Floating Liquefaction (GoFLNG) facility. Keppel Shipyard will once again engage Black & Veatch to provide design, procurement and commissioning support services for the topsides, as well as the liquefaction process utilizing its established PRICO® technology. The GANDRIA is a 126,000 cubic meter Moss LNG carrier. 

Each ship is a $500,000 opportunity for gas measurement and control and a $1 million opportunity for measurement and control software but not including control valves for the cryogenic liquids.

For more information on N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/106-n031

Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/991-71ei

InterWebviews™ In Other Languages

Recording you sales presentations is important.  InterWebviews

It is important to conduct InterWebviews™ (IWV)) in other languages.  In fact the value is counter-intuitive.  The smaller the potential market in a non-English speaking country, the more important it is to have InterWebviews™.  The reason is that the IWV is the most economical way to reach a small targeted audience.  It is also a very economical way to reach large audiences with focused propositions.  But there are other alternatives which become economical as the size of the audience grows.

If a company is going to want to reach 10,000 people with a proposition, then professional presentations can be economically justified.  But for focused messages or general messages to a small targeted non-English audience, the InterWebview™ is your answer.  For less than $1,000 your local salesman, or someone selected by McIlvaine can utilize your English power point presentation and provide a spoken version as McIlvaine hosts and indexes the slides in a GoToMeeting session.  McIlvaine took an English presentation by Wahlco and used a Chinese air pollution expert to make a presentation in Mandarin.  This recording has received over 3,000 views on YouTube.

The CBI interview in Chinese was a big success.

Company

Language

Subject (Click title to view recording)

CBI

Chinese

Mercury Removal

Wahlco

Chinese

Urea to Ammonia

These recordings demonstrate the high value for companies in the initial stages of market penetration. Much of the interest was from potential partners and important government institutes.

Indonesia, Vietnam and China will purchase more coal-fired power plant equipment than Europe, Africa and Americas combined over the next ten years. They will purchase more capacity than the peak U.S. installed base of 310,000 MW.  Much of the equipment in Vietnam and Indonesia will be sold to offshore OEMs or engineered by offshore A/E firms.  However, the big purchasers such as PLN in Indonesia will be the most important decision makers.  So it is important to reach them.

Here are the number of native speakers in the three languages and the proficiency in English.

Language

Number of Native Speakers

(Millions)

Proficiency

Ranking in English

63 Countries 1-63

Proficiency

Rating

in English

 

MW Of New Coal-Fired Boilers in Next 10 Years (1000)

Mandarin (China)

1,000

41

low

200

Indonesian/Malay

    77

28

moderate

50

Vietnamese

    76

33

low

80

Many of the engineers have taken courses in English and can extract much information from a power point presentation in English.  However, the most important aspects of your proposition are likely to involve detailed classifications which are not understood. So a verbal description in the native language is the way to communicate this.  For more information click on InterWebviews and/or contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.

New Bi Weekly Alert on Oil and Gas Covers Billions of Dollars in Flow Control and Treatment Projects

Here is the current issue of  Oil, Gas, Shale, Refining E-Alert: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Oil_Gas_Shale_Refining_Alert_Sample.htm.

As you can see the Alert covers the larger projects around the world and provides the important information for sales management. The following projects each will result in millions of dollars of orders for flow control and treatment products. Each project has been rated. The opportunity size is rated from 1-10 with 1 being small and 10 being very large. The timing for flow and treatment orders has been provided by year e.g., T16 = timing of order is 2016.

 

 

 

Project Title

 

Application

Location

Opportunity Size/Order Date

Egypt plans $300 Million Refinery Expansion in Gasoline using UOP Technology

Refinery

Egypt

06

T16

Aquatech awarded Contract to Supply Thermal Desalination System for Orpic's Sohar Refinery

Refinery

Oman

03

T15

Amec Foster Wheeler to work on Vietnam’s Dung Quat Refinery Expansion

Refinery

Vietnam

07

T16

Mega-project Expansion of Petroperu’s Talara Refinery

Refinery

Peru

09

T15

New $161 Million South African Crude Blending Terminal to Start-up in 2017

Oil and gas

South Africa

 

01

T15

Jacobs receives EPCM Contract for Expansion of ExxonMobil’s Beaumont, TX Refinery

Refinery

Texas

04

T165

Technip, EGPC and ASORC Agreement for the Assiut Refinery

Refinery

Assiut

06

T16

KNPC awards Tecnicas Reunidas an Engineering Contract for Al/Zour Refinery

Refinery

Middle East

09

T17

CB&I awarded Equipment for Afipsky Oil Refinery in Russia

Refinery

Russia

02

T16

Technip, SACE and Midor Agreement for the Alexandria Refinery

Refinery

Egypt

06

T17

CB&I awarded $100 Million Contract for Louisiana Refinery

Refinery

U.S.

02

T16

Kuwait embarks $10 Billion upgrade of 2 Refineries

Refinery

Kuwait

08

T17

For more information on the N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects, click on:   http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/471-n049

McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours and Recordings

McIlvaine webinars offer the opportunity to view the latest presentations and join discussions while sitting at your desk. Hot Topic Hours cater to the end users as well as suppliers while the Market Updates cater to the suppliers and investors.  Since McIlvaine records and provides streaming media access to these webinars there is a treasure trove of value only a click away. McIlvaine webinars are free to certain McIlvaine service subscribers. There is a charge for others.  Hot Topic Hours are free to owner/operators.  Sponsored webinars provide insights to particular products and services.  They are free.  Recordings can be immediately viewed from the list provided below.

DATE

UPCOMING HOT TOPIC HOUR

UPCOMING MARKET UPDATES

Sept. 25, 2015

Pump Market Forecast Changes
The oil prices and Chinese economy will be two of the drivers evaluated as the basis for adjustments in the
2016-21 forecasts for pumps More information
Click here to register

October 1, 2015

Power Plant Water Treatment Chemicals
A decision guide for selection of chemicals to treat intake
water, cooling, ultrapure water steam and wastewater form
coal and gas turbine power plants.
Click here to register

 

October 2, 2015

Fabric Filter Market Forecast Changes
New technology such as ceramic catalytic filter elements, the Chinese economic slowdown, oil prices and other factors will be explained in terms of their impact on the 2015-21 market for fabric filters, bags, media and fibers.
Click here to register

October 22, 2015

Precipitator Improvements
Decision guide to dry, hybrid and wet electrostatic
precipitators for solid fuel combustion, refining and other
industries.  Focus will be on improvements to the electricals
and components.
Click here to register

 

November 12, 2015

Dry Scrubbing
Expansion of the dry scrubber decision guide for power plants,
incinerators, and other applications involving SDA, CFB and
DSI.
Click here to register

 

December 3, 2015

NOx Reduction
Decision guide to selection of SCR and SCR systems,
ammonia injection, reagents, catalysts for power plants
refineries, incinerators, chemical plants and other applications
Click here to register

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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5

 

Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com