912 Water Market Insights 19

Larger Water Treatment Chemical Companies Expect to Grow Faster Than the Market as a Whole

The world market for water and wastewater chemicals is projected to grow by 4 percent per year over the next three years according to the latest forecasts in the McIlvaine Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market. (www.mcilvainecompany.com)

World Revenues for Water and Wastewater Chemicals

Year	2011	2012	2013	2014
Revenues ($ Millions)	23,080	23,975	24, 962	26,016
% Increase	3.6	3.9	4.1	4.2

Some of the major suppliers are expecting higher growth rates. Calgon Carbon anticipates growth of 9 percent to 20 percent

Corporate Sales (Mil) and % Increase - Water Chemicals

Company	2012	2012 % Increase	2013	2013 % Increase	2014	2014 % Increase
AkzoNobel	21,261	4.72%	22,091	3.90%	22,940	3.84%
Ashland	8,419	29.48%	8,888	5.57%	9,281	4.42%
Calgon Carbon	592	9.43%	648	9.46%	778	20.06%
Dow Chemical	60,667	1.14%	64,129	5.71%	67,100	4.63%
GE	150,242	2.00%	157,498	4.83%	163,603	3.88%
Kemira	2,886	0.98%	2,977	3.15%	3,068	3.06%
Kurita	2,487	2.26%	2,613	5.07%	2,736	4.71%
Lonza	3,855	29.36%	4,047	4.98%	4,212	4.08%
MeadWestvaco	5,608	-7.46%	5,788	3.21%	5,939	2.61%

Ashland, Kurita and Dow are also expecting relatively high growth in 2013 and 2014.

The long-range forecasts are extracted from the information supplied by the companies or the analysts who follow those companies. The McIlvaine forecasts are in constant 2010 dollars, whereas some of the company forecasts are in inflated dollars. This accounts for some of the discrepancy. Also, these larger companies are often counting on inorganic growth through acquisitions, so there is no net revenue gain for the industry.

For more information on Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market, click on:

http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#NO26

Niche Experts and Decisive Classification Will Boost the U.S. and World Economies

Utilization of newly retired individuals as niche experts in combination with a decisive classification system will boost the world’s economy and effectively utilize the otherwise unemployed. This is the conclusion of the McIlvaine Company based upon several years of experience with the program.

In an increasingly complex world, knowledge resides in more and smaller niches. The world’s progress will be accelerated to the extent that:

a. Individuals with specific expertise are identified

b. This expertise is made available to those who need it

c. These individuals become more focused and can make an ever greater contribution

Decision making is a series of classifications. A decisive classification system provides the list of choices at each step in the series. Niche experts are identified to help make the right choice at each of these classification steps. The result is much better decision making and effective utilization of the world’s knowledge.

For the first time in history a significant portion of the unemployed are knowledgeable workers. Due to longer life spans there are large numbers of potentially productive retirees. These individuals can contribute to the development of the decisive classification systems relative to their knowledge niche and can be remunerated for the advice that they can offer.

The system is already being employed for environmental decisions. An example involves reducing nitrogen oxides (NO_x) emissions from the coal-fired boilers. The Chinese are implementing a very ambitious program and need to build on the expertise in the U.S. and Europe. Among the many steps is one to determine how to maintain the catalyst which is integral to the reduction process. There was no decisive classification. So McIlvaine assembled the catalyst manufacturers and experts and joint agreement was obtained that there are only three viable options. The definitions and translations to Chinese were then undertaken.

Parent	Descriptor	Chinese Descriptor	Definition
Catalyst Maintenance	Cleaning Catalyst	催化剂除灰	A dry process that utilizes vacuum and compressed air to mechanically remove as much of the fly ash accumulation as possible.
Catalyst Maintenance	Regeneration Catalyst	催化剂再生	"Catalyst cleaning" followed by a wet chemical process to remove decay compounds plus re-impregnation of the catalytic compound(s).
Catalyst Maintenance	Rejuvenation Catalyst	催化剂复原	"Catalyst cleaning" followed by a wet chemical process to remove some decay compounds with minimum removal of catalytic compound(s). There is no re-impregnation of the catalytic compound(s).

Anyone seeking guidance about cleaning catalyst can quickly find this classification and experts who can advise on each of the options. These appear in the McIlvaine Global Decisions Orchard (GDO).

The experts who have been working in this area include individuals from 25-80 years of age. They include experts on the Chinese problems and experts on the international solutions. So far the most valuable contribution has been by semi-retired individuals working as niche experts.

For more information on: Niche Experts, click on: Niche Expert System

For more information on the specific initiative in China, click on:

Facilitating Knowledge Sharing Between China & Other Countries

For more information on the Global Decisions Orchard, click on: Free News and Analyses

McIlvaine Hot Topic Hour Registration

On Thursday at 10 a.m. Central time, McIlvaine hosts a 90 minute web meeting on important energy and pollution control subjects. Power webinars are free for subscribers to either Power Plant Air Quality Decisions or Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System. The cost is $125.00 for non-subscribers.

Market Intelligence webinars are free to McIlvaine market report.

	2012
DATE	SUBJECT
September 27	Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 1	Power
October 11	Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 2	Power
October 18	Air Preheaters & Heat Exchangers	Power
October 25	Instrumentation for air, gas, water, liquids (forecasts, market shares, growth segments).	Market Intelligence
November 1	Cooling Towers and Cooling Water Issues	Power
November 8	FGD Scrubber Components	Power
November 15	Dampers and Expansion Joints for Coal-fired and Gas Turbine Power Plants	Power
November 29	Catalyst Selection for NO_x and Other Gases	Power

December 6	Boiler Feed and Cooling Water Treatment	Power
December 13	Co-firing Sewage Sludge, Biomass and Municipal Waste	Power
	2013
January 10	Update on Oxy-fuel Combustion	Power
January 17	Production of Fertilizer and Sulfuric Acid at Coal-fired Power Plants	Power
January 24	Gypsum Dewatering	Power
January 31	Filter media (forecasts and market drivers for media used in air, gas, liquid, fluid applications, both mobile and stationary).	Market Intelligence
February 7	Valves for Power Plants, Boilers and Water Treatment Facilities	Power

To register for the Hot Topic Hour, click on:

http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/hot_topic_hour_registration.htm.

Here are the Headlines for the September 14, 2012 – Utility E-Alert

UTILITY E-ALERT

#1092 – September 14, 2012

Table of Contents

COAL – US

Gasifier installed at Kemper County Power Plant

Court requires Reports from EPA on MATS Reconsideration

COAL – WORLD

Chile Ministers approve Two Coal-fired Power Plants – Pacifico and Patache

Concern over Environmental Impact of 1,300 MW Rampal Power Plant in Bangladesh

PT Bukit Asam and China Huadian Hongkong to build 2x620 MW Sumsel 8 in Indonesia

Bosnia’s EPBiH extends bidding for 450 MW Tuzla 7 Coal-fired Unit

Pakistan to convert Guddu, Jamshoro and Muzaffargarh Power Plants to fire Coal

M/S Ericsson Power to set up 1,320 MW Power Project at Prabhawati Nagar, Bihar, India

Ncondezi Coal looking for Partner for 1,800 MW Power Plant in Mozambique

JICA study on financing Matarbari and South-Maheskhali Coal-fired Power Plants in Bangladesh

GAS/OIL / US

Perennial Power Holdings to build 412 MW Hermiston Power Plant to support Wind Farms

Wood Group selected to build 75 MW W. A. Parish Peakign Power Plant in Texas

CA Energy Commission approves 300 MW Pio Pico Power Plant in San Diego County

GAS/OIL WORLD

Siemens receives Order from Iraq for 640 MW Power Plant Components

Cologne Utility okays New 450-600 MW Power Plant

BIOMASS

Ontario (Canada) begins Atikokan Power Plant’s Coal-to-Biomass Conversion

CO₂

Canada Sets GHG Emission Standard for New Coal-Fired Units and Units Operating Beyond 50-Year Useful Life

Analysis: US, UK and Canada Converging on GHG Emission Standard of 1000 lb CO₂e/MWh

NUCLEAR

Turkey to decide on Partner for Second Nuclear Plant in 2012

Indonesia hopes to build First Nuclear Power Plant in West Kalimantan

EDF considers reprieve on closure of Hunterston B and Hinkley Point B

Bruce Power to restore Two Reactors at Bruce Nuclear Power Plant

BUSINESS

§ Fuel Tech to supply SNCR for Three US Industrial Boilers

§ STEAG Energy Services surpasses 40,000 m³ of Regenerated Catalyst at the Kings Mountain, NC Facility

§ The Carlyle Group to acquire Cogentrix Energy Assets and Power Project Development and Acquisition Platform

§ Valve Industry Expecting Greater Growth than Predicted by McIlvaine

HOT TOPIC HOUR

On-line Boiler Monitoring improves Efficiency and reduces Pollutants – Hot Topic Hour on September 13

Upcoming Hot Topic Hours

For more information on the Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#42ei.

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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Free_Newsletter_Registration_Form.htm.

Bob McIlvaine
President
847 784 0012 ext 112

rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

www.mcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

Ph: 847-784-0012 | Fax; 847-784-0061

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