McIlvaine Hot Topic Hour Registration
On Thursday at 10 a.m. Central time, McIlvaine hosts a 90 minute web meeting on important energy and pollution control subjects. Power webinars are free for subscribers to either Power Plant Air Quality Decisions or Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System. The cost is $125.00 for non-subscribers.
Market Intelligence
webinars are free to McIlvaine market report.
|
2012 |
|
DATE |
SUBJECT |
|
September 27 |
Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 1 |
Power |
October 11 |
Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 2 |
Power |
October 18 |
Air Preheaters & Heat Exchangers |
Power |
October 25 |
Instrumentation for air, gas, water, liquids (forecasts, market shares, growth segments). |
Market Intelligence |
November 1 |
Cooling Towers and Cooling Water Issues |
Power |
November 8 |
FGD Scrubber Components |
Power |
November 15 |
Dampers and Expansion Joints for Coal-fired and Gas Turbine Power Plants |
Power |
November 29 |
Catalyst Selection for NOx and Other Gases |
Power |
December 6 |
Boiler Feed and Cooling Water Treatment |
Power |
December 13 |
Co-firing Sewage Sludge, Biomass and Municipal Waste |
Power |
|
2013 |
|
January 10 |
Update on Oxy-fuel Combustion |
Power |
January 17 |
Production of Fertilizer and Sulfuric Acid at Coal-fired Power Plants |
Power |
January 24 |
Gypsum Dewatering |
Power |
January 31 |
Filter media (forecasts and market drivers for media used in air, gas, liquid, fluid applications, both mobile and stationary). |
Market Intelligence |
February 7 |
Valves for Power Plants, Boilers and Water Treatment Facilities |
Power |
To register for the Hot Topic Hour, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/hot_topic_hour_registration.htm.
Here are the Headlines for the September 28, 2012 – Utility E-Alert
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1094 – September 28, 2012
Table of Contents
COAL – US
COAL – WORLD
GAS/OIL / US
GAS/OIL WORLD
BIOMASS
NUCLEAR
BUSINESS
HOT TOPIC HOUR
For more information on the Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#42ei.
World Needs to Efficiently Utilize Its Finite Coal Reserves
The world’s supply of fossil energy is finite and must be utilized in the most economically and environmentally beneficial manner. This dictates construction of coal-fired power plants where enhanced oil recovery (EOR) provides a use for CO2. In parallel gas which would otherwise be used for power generation in the EOR areas is converted to LNG and liquids and used in other regions. Also in parallel large energy consuming industries expand in EOR areas such as the U.S. and Middle East/Africa. This is the conclusion reached by the McIlvaine Company in its report, Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis & Forecast, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#n043.Coal is one of the world’s most valuable energy resources. Over the next century it will all be consumed along with the remaining gas and oil. In the twenty second century, fossil fuels will not be available and we will have to solely depend on nuclear, solar, wind, biomass and other renewable resources. In the meantime, we need to utilize the fossil resources most appropriately. Each of the fossil fuel resources has unique uses and advantages. Here are the advantages of coal:
·
Coal is the lowest cost fuel for power generation.·
Coal is the cheapest source of CO2 for enhanced oil recovery·
Clean Coal technology can deliver any cleanliness needed.·
A coal-fired boiler with 20 percent biomass and 80 percent coal with 90 percent CO2 capture is a net reducer of greenhouse gasesThe potential to utilize coal most efficiently would result in:
·
Greater gas utilization for residential heating and chemicals production·
Extend the date at which biomass becomes the only source for plastics and organic chemicals
The plan to make this happen must be global and take into account all the long-range environmental and economic consequences. There are a number of facts which are often overlooked but are important to the initiative:
·
The economic life of a coal-fired power plant need only be twenty-five years·
Enhanced oil recovery makes coal-fired generation green and economically attractive·
The cost to transport coal long distances by ship is less than to transport it short distances by rail·
Large energy consumers such as aluminum smelters will be built where energy costs are the lowest·
Energy complexes greatly increase energy efficiency and make use of the heat otherwise wasted in the visual steam plume from the cooling tower·
Gas can be economically transferred long distances if converted to LNG or liquids·
Greenhouse gases are a global problem and require a global solutionBackground
It has been estimated that there are over 847 billion tons of proven coal reserves worldwide. This means that there is enough coal to last us around 118 years at current rates of production according to the World Coal Association. In contrast, proven oil and gas reserves are equivalent to around 46 and 59 years at current production levels.
The coal demand in Asian countries is soaring. McIlvaine projects 2700 GW of coal-fired capacity in the world in 2017. This could rise at 3%/yr to 3970 GW by 2030. At this rate, the world only has a eighty year supply of coal Advanced Resources International estimates that there is the potential through enhanced oil recovery to create an additional 500 to 1000 billion barrels of oil and to store 320 billion metric tons of CO2 at the same time.. This storage would accommodate 4300 GW of coal-fired capacity for forty years.
The U.S. could store 34 billion tons of CO2. Canada and Mexico could utilize and store another 9 billion tons. This is enough to sequester all the coal-fired power CO2 generation for 25 years.
The biggest potential (125,000 billion tons) is in the Middle East and North Africa. The Asia –Pacific region would have a need for only 8 billion tons of CO2.
Proven Reserves of Oil, Coal and Gas
(Figures from World Coal Association)
World Energy Council estimates of proved recoverable reserves (hard coal and lignite) at end-2008 (Billion Metric Tons) such as the U.S. and Middle East/Africa.
Region |
Recoverable Reserves |
Share of Recoverable Reserves |
US and Canada |
243.9 |
28.3% |
Russian Federation |
157.0 |
18.2% |
China |
114.5 |
13.3% |
Europe (incl. Turkey) |
110.4 |
12.8% |
Australia |
76.4 |
8.9% |
India |
60.6 |
7.0% |
Kazakhstan |
33.6 |
3.9% |
South Africa |
30.2 |
3.5% |
All Other |
34.3 |
4.0% |
World Total |
860.9 |
100% |
For more information on: Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis & Forecast, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#n043.Desalination is a Growth Market for Flow Control and Filtration
The 2013 market for flow control and filtration equipment and consumables for desalination will exceed $5.7 billion according to the latest aggregated forecasts in McIlvaine market reports.
2013 Market for Flow Control and Filtration Equipment and Consumables in Desalination |
||
Product |
Capital Revenues ($ millions) |
Consumables and Replacement |
Cross-flow Membrane Systems and Modules |
1,900 |
1,000 |
Cartridges |
|
110 |
Macrofilters and Media |
200 |
100 |
Pumps |
600 |
300 |
Valves |
300 |
100 |
Instrumentation |
250 |
100 |
Sedimentation/Centrifugation Equipment |
90 |
20 |
Treatment Chemicals |
|
700 |
Total |
3,340 |
2,430 |
The major market has been the Middle East but other areas of the world are finding that desalination is a viable alternative. The most recent example is in San Diego where Poseidon Resources has landed a contract to build a 50 million gallon/day desalination plant. This will be the largest in the western hemisphere.
The amount of water being pumped in desalination systems is presently only about one percent of the amount being pumped for all the world’s drinking supplies. On the other hand, the high pressure pumps needed for reverse osmosis are an order of magnitude more expensive than those used for drinking water transport. Prefiltration for the reverse osmosis systems and initial purification of water which will be evaporated in thermal systems is accomplished with liquid macrofiltration and cartridges. Automatic back wash filters and sand filters are frequently used. Liquid wastes are dewatered in filter presses.
Cartridges are used to remove particles which are too small to be captured in liquid macrofiltration equipment, but too large and plentiful to be handled by cross-flow membranes. There has been a high replacement frequency on cartridges.
An alternative to liquid macrofiltration is sedimentation. Clarifiers and dissolved air flotation systems are selected for a number of systems. The desalting takes place in either thermal systems where the water is evaporated or by separation with cross-flow membranes. Reverse osmosis (RO) does the final separation. Macro or ultrafilters are often used to pre-filter and protect the RO membranes.
For more information, click on: Cartridge Filters: World Market:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com//brochures/water.html#nO24Industrial Valves: World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n028Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n006Pumps World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#N019RO, UF, MF World Market:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#no20Sedimentation/Centrifugation World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n005Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#NO26Air & Water Pollution Monitoring World Markets:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=106extsup1.asp
East Asia Liquid Macrofiltration Market to Exceed $2.6 Billion in 2013
The market for filtration equipment and media to remove particles larger than one micron from liquids will exceed $6.6 billion in 2013. East Asia will account for 39 percent of the total. This is the conclusion reached in Liquid Filtration and Media World Market published by the McIlvaine Company. (
www.mcilvainecompany.com)Liquid Filtration Revenues ($ Millions)
Bottom of Form
World Region |
2013 |
Africa |
246 |
CIS |
188 |
East Asia |
2,620 |
Eastern Europe |
182 |
Middle East |
217 |
NAFTA |
1,204 |
South & Central America |
484 |
West Asia |
540 |
Western Europe |
956 |
Total |
6,637 |
|
|
This category of filtration includes sand filters, bag filters, belt filter presses, gravity belt filters and recessed chamber filter presses. It also includes the rapidly growing automatic backwash filter segment. Macro filtration equipment is extensively used in municipal wastewater and drinking water plants. Eastern Asia has a very large program to provide drinking water and sewage treatment for its citizens.
These types of filters are also utilized in pulp and paper, chemical, refining, power, mining, iron and steel and other industries. The growth of these industries in East Asia is higher than elsewhere in the world.
There are thousands of suppliers of the filtration equipment. International suppliers are penetrating the East Asian market, but there is also a strong and growing domestic manufacturing capability. There is more international participation in media such as filter cloths, belts and bags. International media suppliers have built plants in China and other Asian countries and are using these facilities to support regional activities. Chinese media suppliers are also becoming exporters.
North America is benefiting from a surge in industrial investment and the continuing expansion of municipal facilities. The mining industry is providing growth in the South and Central America region.
For more information on: Liquid Filtration and Media World Market: click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n006.----------
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847 784 0012 ext 112
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191 Waukegan Road Suite 208 | Northfield | IL 60093
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