Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M Webinar on Thursday,
February 23
Join us on Thursday to discuss IIoT and Remote O&M for gas turbines and
reciprocating engines. We believe that IIoT empowered by IIoW will accelerate
progress. The IIoW is the Industrial Internet of Wisdom. Background information
such as linked below is an example of the McIlvaine contribution to IIoW.
Gas Turbine, Reciprocating
Engine IIoT and Remote O&M
This industry segment has made
the most progress in leveraging
IIoT for remote O&M services.
Turbine and component suppliers
have remote monitoring centers
operating around the clock. This
session will explain why a 2030
forecast of $30 billion is
predicted. It will answer the
question as to how established
technologies such as remote
vibration analysis will be
combined with analytics and
decision making relative to all
components in the balance of the
plant.
Background InterwebviewsT -
Kiewit |
Click here to Register for the Webinars
|
IIoT and Remote O&M Webinar February 16 analyzed the Route to Market
The webinar yesterday covered the entire market for IIoT whereas the session on
March 2 will only focus on coal-fired power plants. One of the participants
yesterday was with ADA-ES. She has decades of experience with mercury removal
and measurement. The company also has DSI system design and operation
experience. How can a company with this mix of products and services benefit in
the rapidly growing IIoT market?
There are two options: leading or
following. Leading would require major changes in the organization but following
could be very rewarding with minimum investment. Let's take an example where
MHPS would be the leader and ADA-ES would be a partner. MHPS operates a remote
monitoring center in the Philippines. This location was chosen because of the
number of English speakers who could be employed. Initially the effort is
focused on turbines and other rotating equipment.
The next step beyond monitoring the steam turbine in a coal-fired power plant in
South Korea would also be expanding the monitoring in a cloud-based system to
take into account data from all the other products and processes. This data
would also be monitored by individual suppliers. Thermo, ADA-ES and MHPS would
be viewing the CEMS data. The water quality data would be analyzed in a Nalco
remote monitoring center in the U.S. which, by the way, is already operating
24/7. The lubrication filter health data would be analyzed from the Parker
Hannifin center in the U.S. The cloud-based program supplied by OptiSoft,
Genpact, Accenture or others would also analyze the fan vibration monitoring
data with support from the Howden remote control center in Scotland. The remote
Cormetech catalyst monitoring center would be monitoring mercury oxidation
activity of the installed catalyst. Additional sensors would allow precise
determination of activated carbon consumption and the system would compare
samples on mercury in the coal from the plant laboratory using the Thermo
analyzer to determine the raw mercury quantities in the combustion gas prior to
ACI injection. Mercury analyzers downstream of the ACI would determine ACI
effectiveness.
ADA-ES would secure a contract to provide regularly scheduled review of the
operations to determine if additional efficiencies could be obtained as a result
of data analysis. Furthermore, there would be an ADA-ES expert available 24/7 in
case of an emergency level problem. ADA-ES would use the knowledge it gains from
the operation of many systems and many types of virgin and impregnated carbons
to provide additional guidance for its clients. In a small way it could
duplicate the GE gas turbine modus operandi that uses data from 40,000 turbines
to help solve new problems as they occur. ADA-ES would also have the revenue
base to pursue new mercury removal options.
In this Alert we are reporting on successful use of ionic liquids. Could this be
an improvement? In fact, McIlvaine was hired by Petronas to find a better
mercury removal method for natural gas extraction. No good alternative was
discovered. Petronas then invested in research and found that ionic liquid
impregnated pellets were quite superior to activated carbon. Clariant has now
made these commercially available.
The discussion yesterday did not involve valves or pumps, however, there will
be a separate webinar on these subjects. There are many valve companies
providing remote monitoring. Emerson and Flowserve are examples. There is the
opportunity to improve valve design as a result of lessons learned in
comprehensive monitoring. Honeywell UOP was a participant yesterday. No one is
more knowledgeable about refining and gas processing. Last year we embarked on a
quest to find the best molecular sieve switching valves. The UOP experts
confessed that they were a year or two behind on developments such as hard
coatings which could make a big difference in valve selection.
Our conclusion is that you need the expertise of the valve and hard coatings
experts and that you cannot just rely on the process experts. This same analogy
holds true for boiler systems supplied by B&W, MHPS, or Doosan. Progress on
component development needs to come from the suppliers, but they need to know
more about the processes. So valve companies who minute-by- minute are seeing
valve performance data from ultra-supercritical, sub-critical, biomass-fired,
pet coke-fired, and 40 percent ash coal-fired power plants are going to gain
this process knowledge.
The theme of the webinar yesterday was that success is going to be 1 x IIoT + 2
x IIoW. IIoW is the acronym McIlvaine coined to represent the Industrial
Internet of Wisdom. IIoW dictates interconnection of individuals within each
plant in a utility system as well as interconnecting with all the suppliers.
McIlvaine created a beta site 4S01 Berkshire Hathaway Energy Supplier and
Utility Connect. The goal would be to create sites for the 100 largest utilities
in the world. This would account for the majority of the world's generation. We
have demonstrated that organizing all the permit and product information on each
boiler creates a fast track to IIoW.
Another component is interconnection of individuals in supplier organizations.
This includes disparate product divisions, geographies and job functions. The
webinar yesterday used the BHE example as to how all these different supplier
segments can organize around each major customer.
We will be conducting the IIoT Gas Turbine webinar next week and on March 2 the
webinar on Coal-fired Boilers. We look forward to your participation.
Many Different Types of Companies have Major Opportunities in IIoT and Remote
O&M
Much of the webinar was focused on discussing the opportunities for specific
companies. Many of the companies for which there was expanded discussion were
participants in the webinar. End users such as BHE are beneficiaries; product
suppliers have a big potential. Process suppliers such as UOP and MHPS have
immediate opportunities. Some companies such as Berendsen have opportunities in
their own and customer operations (both the company and the customers operate
cleanrooms). The following table focuses on the potential collaboration
opportunities among divisions within each company.
Company |
Involvement |
ABB |
DCS, drives , inverters, substations, motors but
also remote monitoring solutions such as Goliat
offshore platform |
*+ADA ES |
Specialized consultant in air pollution mercury
control and monitoring who can provide 24-7
advice for remote monitoring centers by MHPS ,
GE and others |
Accenture (Genpact would be similar) |
Offers consulting but also cloud-based platforms
and outsourcing programs |
*Berendsen |
Can utilize IIoT and Remote O&M for its eleven
cleanroom laundries and also monitor
environmental quality and provide digitized
supply management for wipes, clothing, etc. |
*Berkshire Hathaway |
Providing detailed information on hundreds of
BHE plants including installed components, and
permits. All the IIoW documents needed to
empower IIoT described at4S01 Berkshire
Hathaway Energy Supplier and Utility Connect |
*Braden |
Monitor gas turbine inlet filters, incorporate
urea supply management from Yara, as well
as provide digitized supply management for air
inlet and emission consumables |
*Colfax |
Remote monitoring and O&M for compressors, fans,
fluid drives heat exchangers, lubrication pumps,
and process pumps |
*Emerson |
Integrated IIoT platform, Valve & Pump Connected
Service, combustion optimization, Aberdeen
remote oil platform monitoring, new Tyco valve
opportunities, Rosemount and other
instrumentation |
Evoqua |
Wide range of water treatment equipment and
worldwide service |
Flowserve |
Has the pumps, valves, Wisdom and IIoT,
collaboration with Honeywell |
*Freudenberg |
FIT Digital process management, also monitor air
filters, wastewater, lubricants, seals, and
digitized supply program to include wipes, mops,
and disinfectants |
Grundfos |
Major pump supplier with strong focus on smart
pumps at IIoT |
*Honeywell |
Full IIoT software programs plus refining niche
experts, sensors, controls, thermal treatment
systems, supply management of consumables
including gloves |
*IDEX |
Smart pumps, flow monitoring hardware, valves
and opportunity to use IIoT to improve
collaboration among many niche companies |
Kurita |
Already has remote monitoring and can supply the
treatment chemicals |
*M&C Tech |
Digitized supply program for all the consumables
needed with extractive gas analyzers |
MHPS |
Has remote monitoring center in the Philippines
and the power generation equipment, pumps, and
many other components |
Mann & Hummel |
Has an IIoT research center in Singapore and is
a major filter supplier |
*OSI Soft |
Open data infrastructure for wind turbines, oil
and gas, chemicals, and water utilities |
*Parker Hannifin |
Remote condition monitoring, hybrid actuators,
pumps, valves, fittings, Thermal controls with
remote monitoring, Clarcor GT inlet filters and
Clarcor total solutions for digitized supply
management of all filters |
*Rexnord |
IIoT smart gears, Ethernet/IP connectivity, real
time advice, translation of data into Alerts and
recommendations, bearings, valves, mechanical
seals |
'Schneider Electric |
Has lots of hardware and software but can
integrate Invensys for Wisdom |
Xylem |
Has treat, transport, and test. So it has the
hardware and instruments plus Wisdom in the
water sector |
Progress will be One-Third IIoT and Two-Thirds IIoW
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) has already accelerated the increase in
GDP and is predicted to add more than $10 trillion to world GDP by 2030. All
this will be made possible by the proliferation of cost effective sensors and
wireless transmission. Digital process management will utilize this data to
better operate industrial processes.
The focus is on changing the way we gather and utilize numbers, but not on how
we change the way we gather and utilize thoughts. However, IIoT progress will be
much faster if we adopt the Industrial Internet of Wisdom (IIoW). It can be
argued that IIoW improvements will be twice as important as IIoT improvements.
IIoW improvements such as Google are providing digital access to information but
not necessarily maximizing the ability to move from data to information to
knowledge to wisdom.
IIoT creates instantaneous opportunities. IIoW needs to adapt to achieve the
IIoT potential. Some aspects of
IIoW date back thousands of years.
Tri-annual exhibitions at European crossroads are organized on thousand year old
traditions. Peer reviewed papers need to be submitted months before publication.
These traditions must change to take advantage of instant opportunities.
Data Analytics is the IIoT mantra for creating wisdom from knowledge. There is
lots of room for improvement in the IIoW version of data analytics. Innovations
in one industry are ignored in others. Individuals in different divisions of a
company often are more competitive than collaborative.
How many gatherings provide true debate of issues?
Why is 5 to 10% of the world's niche expertise lost through retirement
every year
The potential for changing IIoW to take advantage of digital tools and IIoT is
so large that you can argue that the formula for progress is 1 x IIoT + 2 x
IIoW. So a dollar spent on
improving IIoW will be twice as valuable as one spent on improving IIoT.
But there are many more dollars being spent on IIoT improvement than on
IIoW, so large resources should be devoted to improving IIoW.
McIlvaine is pursuing this need by offering clients a combination of its
Industrial IoT and Remote O&M service
with its other product and industry focused services.
Each week McIlvaine is conducting a free webinar to probe the potential
in one industry or product. This
schedule is shown at Industrial Internet
of Things (IIoT) N031 Industrial IoT and Remote O&M. (Formerly Air and Water
Monitoring) click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article/28-energy/675-hot-topic-hour-info#weekly
Summaries of IIoW empowered IIoT for specific products and technologies are
provided at:
Ultrapure Water Market bolstered by IIoT will exceed $12 billion in 2026
$22
Billion Sedimentation and Centrifugation Market will take many Potential
Purchasing Routes
IIoT and NOx Control: The Opportunity and the Challenge
IIoT and Thermal Gas Treatment: The Opportunity and the Challenge
$5
Billion Cleanroom Market will be Increasingly Impacted by IIoT Technologies
Gas Turbine Opportunities for Valve Companies Shaped by IIoT
IIoT is Creating New Market Paths to the $100 Billion Gas Turbine Repair,
Replace and Service Market
Remote Support is a $1.6 Billion Potential Business for Precipitator Product and
Service Companies
Role of Power Plant Consulting Firms in IIoT and Remote O&M
Power plant engineering and consulting firms have both a big potential IIoT
opportunity but also the threat of a radically different environment which would
reduce revenues.
The success or failure may depend on the IIoW contribution. IIoW is the
Industrial Internet of Wisdom which will likely empower IIoT. But it is a cycle.
The invaluable information generated by the IIoT systems should lead to new
procedures and new technologies chronicled by IIoW which will lead to new IIoT
generated insights and then to even newer and better technologies.
Positive Aspects of IIoT & Remote O&M empowered by IIoW for consulting
companies:
· Substantial
revenues directly associated with IIoT and Remote O&M
·
Promotional value of niche expertise leading to larger contracts
·
Ability for U.S. or European based firms to leverage skills around the world
Negative Aspects of IIoT and Remote O&M empowered by IIoT for consulting
companies:
·
IIoT will generate more potential knowledge than can be handled by the
traditional consulting company
·
There will need to be hundreds of thousands of specialized niche experts who
provide much of the insight
·
Consulting firms tend to employ only people who generate billable hours and if
necessary will hire experts for modest input
·
In an IIoW empowered IIoT world the consultant may lose his knowledge edge to
new kinds of organizations who most efficiently utilize the niche experts
If you are going to improve operations at a power plant you can hire a
consulting engineering firm to analyze the existing operations and recommend
changes. They can then create a set of specifications and evaluate bids. The
firm can then oversee the installation and can provide follow on services.
Many of the world's largest power plant consulting firms are U.S. based. They
include broad based consultants such as AECOM, Bechtel, Black & Veatch, Burns &
McDonnell, Kiewit and Sargent & Lundy. They also include focused firms such as,
MPR and Trinity Consultants. A number of European utilities have formed
consulting groups. Laborelec. Steag and Uniper are examples.
Design firms often compete with EPC contractors. In Asia, the typical approach
is to invite turnkey bids from EPC firms. In the U.S., the most common approach
is creation of specifications for a project by an A/E firm who then overseas
bids from the EPC firms or from sub-system bidders.
Most of the large firms have operations and maintenance services. Many have
embraced IIoT and some have acquired software companies to enable them to
compete with large management consulting firms such as Accenture and Genpact.
The large consulting companies are an important source of the niche expertise
needed to advance the power industry. A utility would look to the consultant to
evaluate technology options and create bid specifications based on knowledge
assumed to be superior to that available within the utility and unavailable in
an unbiased way from the technology suppliers.
Specific Examples
Kiewit:
has substantial consulting activities to supplement its engineering and
construction businesses. McIlvaine has conducted webinars with Kiewit air and
water experts. There are links to some of these presentations in the promotional
material for the Gas Turbine IIoT Webinar on the McIlvaine Home Page. Here is an
example of how Kiewit niche expertise would work.
Brad Buecher was a chemist at a power plant before joining Kiewit. He is a world
expert on water chemistry for power plant steam cycles. Here is a scenario as to
how his services could be utilized:
·
MHPS has a remote monitoring center in the Philippines and oversees gas turbine
operations at plants in Asia. Let's assume that they expand from just monitoring
rotating parts to the full balance of plant monitoring.
·
Hach monitors water quality parameters.
·
Nalco monitors water treatment chemical use.
·
Flowserve monitors valve and pump conditions
·
All this data flows through the MHPS center and is available to Brad in the U.S.
He then uses his knowledge of flow accelerated corrosion and water chemistry to
provide periodic advice as part of a yearly contract. He is also available in an
emergency.
Kiewit has electrical, instrumentation and telecommunication activities in many
industries e.g. common platform for artificial lift pumps at the Peregrino oil
field. The Kiewit subsidiary INEIGHT has IIoT services focused on power plant
constructors but could expand into services for the power plants themselves.
AECOM:
McIlvaine has been conducting
webinars for BHE on NOx removal. AECOM has been supporting BHE with
analysis of options and has suggested using technology successfully employed in
the refining industry for NOx oxidation ahead of the scrubber. A
novel hybrid reductant may also be employed for front end SNCR. If these
combinations are successful, the AECOM project manager has the potential to take
this knowledge to the many plants in Asia who are struggling with new NOx
limits.
AECOM has complete IIoT programs for leak detection including visibility across
the operating asset fleet, automatic alerts, and IT integration with security
safety, and environmental regulations.
MPR:
has CFD analyses which will help plants removing SO2 with
direct sorbent injection. The program is designed to make trouble shooting much
more cost effective. MPR has developed expertise in wind turbine drive train
technology and could be providing remote services to wind power generators
around the world.
Black & Veatch:
tells clients that optimization is the next step after digitization and involves
human action with all that data. Further B&V says that asset management is not
about managing assets but creating value.
Trinity Consultants:
has unique expertise in analyzing the local and state environmental regulations
and permitting which apply to a given power plant.
McIlvaine has set up a beta IIoT site including all the plants operated by BHE.
4S01 Berkshire Hathaway Energy Supplier and Utility Connect
There are a number of relevant air and water permits and rulings which are
applicable to each plant. Enough of these were posted in the BHE site to
determine that:
·
A continuous posting of permits, rulings, case histories, and component
information on each plant could be cost effective.
·
The present practice where power plants use the local consultant to analyze the
local situation and then a variety of other consultants to aggregate and utilize
the data leaves much to be desired.
·
A system wide approach to information gathering for each plant will facilitate
IIoW empowered IIoT.
·
Trinity Consultants would be in a position to aggregate and interpret the
regulatory data for each U.S. power plant.
Laborelec (ENGIE)
is leveraging the knowledge of the Belgian electricity industry to offer both
laboratory services and consulting. It is providing condition monitoring for
turbines in the Middle East. It provided water chemistry solutions for an Asian
power plant with problems. It analyzed air inlet filter operations at 40 U.S.
plants for one operator. This group is showing the niche expertise to take this
from the one-on-one level to the one on industry level.
The consultant role in IIoT and Remote O&M as well as IIoW empowerment is
evolving. You can track this evolution in
N031
Industrial IOT and Remote O&M
Free Webinars on IIoT and Remote O&M
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) and remote operation and maintenance
will combine to create a market worth $1.4 trillion in 2030 according to the
latest forecasts in
N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M Market Report published by the
McIlvaine Company. A series of nine webinars will provide some of the
conclusions from the report. The presentations will be followed by a discussion
period where participants can share their views and ask questions. Each webinar
will be scheduled on a Thursday at 10:00 a.m. CDT. Participation is free.
Schedule
February 23: Gas Turbine,
Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M. This
industry segment has made the most progress in leveraging IIoT for remote O&M
services. Turbine and component suppliers have remote monitoring centers
operating around the clock. This session will explain why a 2030 forecast of $30
billion is predicted. It will answer the question as to how established
technologies such as remote vibration analysis will be combined with analytics
and decision making relative to all components in the balance of the plant.
March 2: Coal-Fired Power IIoT and Remote O&M:
This session will build on nine hours of webinars recently conducted on
optimizing NOx emissions, 42 years of data analysis in
Coal-fired Power Plant Decisions and a previous McIlvaine report
entitled Information Technology in Electricity Generation. It will
discuss the basis for an $80 billion 2030 forecast for coal-fired IIoT and
remote O&M with a focus on the potential for utilities in developing countries
to take advantage of the world's expertise through services from international
consortia.
March 9: Pump IIoT & Remote O&M.
The potential for pump suppliers to add $20 billion of annual revenue and create
new market routes for pumps valued at $25 billion will be discussed along with
the evolution from vibration and lube oil monitoring to maximizing efficiency
and minimizing maintenance costs. Based on the research in
N019 Pumps World Market
the session will discuss the various routes to market (system suppliers, third
party O&M providers, and direct to end users).
March 16: Industrial Valve IIoT & Remote O&M.
The role industrial valves will play in expanding the market to $1.4 trillion
while generating $20 billion in additional valve revenues and carving new routes
for valve sales worth $30 billion will be explained. Insights from
N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
will be leveraged to predict the evolution of smart valves, valve inventory
management programs such as being offered by GE, integration with third party
programs and the role for subject matter experts.
March 23: Oil and Gas IIoT and Remote O&M.
McIlvaine predicts this market will grow to $168 billion by 2030.
Insights from
N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects
will be used to describe the present disparate programs and the eventual
amalgamation to interactive systems using open platform software. Safety,
security, maintenance, environment, and efficiency will be considered. The
webinar will include uses in the upstream, midstream and downstream segments of
the industry.
March 30: Filtration and Separation IIoT and Remote O&M.
The basis for a $350 billion 2030 market will be provided. The broad range of
applications as delineated in many market reports "Markets" will
be analyzed. This includes thousands of applications including ones as diverse
as vibration monitoring and polymer dosage for centrifuges to filter condition
monitoring for stationary IC engines. Clarcor already provides a total
filtration solution package which includes replacing of all filters in a plant
as needed. Donaldson offers a filter program for off road engines.
April 6: Water & Wastewater IIoT and Remote O&M.
Municipal water and wastewater treatment systems are challenged by long
pipelines subject to leakage, corrosion, odors and blockages as well as by
maintaining valves and pumps in remote locations. New wireless technologies are
already enthusiastically embraced. McIlvaine will provide insights based on
several of its services:
62EI North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People
Database
and
67EI North American Public Water Plants and People
as well as on ongoing private studies on subjects such as aeration compressors.
This market is projected to reach $168 billion in 2030.
April 13: Air Pollution Control.
The basis for a $60 billion 2030 IIoT forecast will be explained. Continuous
emissions monitoring systems are now required in many industries in many
countries. Typically minute by minute emissions of each pollutant are
transmitted to owners as well as enforcement agencies. There is a huge potential
to integrate the information from these systems with combustion and other
process optimization systems to operate plants based on both total economic and
environmental cost of ownership. McIlvaine will be providing insights based on
included in
N027 FGD Market and Strategies,
N035 NOx
Control World Market,
N021
World Fabric Filter and Element Market,
N018
Electrostatic Precipitator World Market.
Remote
operation and maintenance of electrostatic precipitators is well established and
successful. This success is a model for other IIoT initiatives and will
therefore be examined in detail.
Subsequent webinars.
The following subjects will be included in future IIoT webinars:
Brief analyses of these opportunities are found at:
Recorded Interviews. Periodic recorded webinars with suppliers, consultants and
end users will be linked from this page as well as being displayed in Hot Topic
Hour recordings. Much of the future sensor input will be related to
environmental performance. This in turn is tied to the regulations. Recently we
conducted an interview with Patricia Scroggin of Burns & McDonnell. You can view
it at Meeting
the new ELG and CCR requirements- options explained by Patricia Scroggin
(Interview Dated: 1/20/2017).
To register for the webinars, click on:
Hot Topic Hour Schedule and Recordings
Detailed Forecasting of Markets, Prospects and Projects
Look into the future to improve your sales efforts.
Weekly IIoT Webinars
Free weekly discussion of IIot and Remote O&M
InterwebvewsT
Cost effective recorded presentations
Bob McIlvaine
President
Mcilvaine Company
Ph: 847-784-0012 ext. 112
www.mcilvainecompany.com