WELCOME
Weekly selected highlights in flow control, treatment and combustion from the
many McIlvaine publications.
Forty Percent of Flow and Treat Products for Desalination will be Purchased by
Just Forty Companies Next Year
Desalination is growing faster than the total potable water market.
Next year purchases of flow and treat products will exceed $7.7 billion
of which over $3 billion will be purchased by just 40 companies.
This includes large system suppliers, independent operating companies and
plant owners. Due to the increased
usage of remote monitoring the purchasing decisions will be made by relatively
few individuals who are utilizing data analytics and making choices based on
good cost of ownership information.
Desalination Purchases - World -
2018 - $ millions |
||
Products |
All Purchases |
Top 40 Owners and EPCs |
Pumps |
1400 |
560 |
Membranes |
1000 |
400 |
Valves |
1300 |
520 |
Macrofiltration |
200 |
80 |
Cartridges |
200 |
80 |
Guide |
900 |
360 |
Control |
1900 |
760 |
Measure |
800 |
320 |
Total |
7700 |
3080 |
This opportunity will be analyzed in a McIlvaine free webinar to be held on
December 6. The specific
opportunity for each product is analyzed in a series of McIlvaine market reports
which also identify the top 40 purchasers
The purchase of GE Water by Suez creates a player with desalination sales close
to that of the leader, Veolia and the second largest participant, Doosan.
The largest owner is Taqa of the UAE with close to 2.5 million m3/day
of desalination capacity. It is
expanding beyond the UAE
to other countries in the Mid-East, Africa and Asia.
However, it is contracting with major EPCs to operate its plants.
So much of the purchasing decision making remains with the large
EPC/operators.
Most of the new desalination systems are incorporating reverse osmosis instead
of distillation technology. Remote
monitoring and control assures that the proper treatment chemical additions are
made to minimize membrane fouling.
Energy efficiency is also optimized through control of the primary and energy
recovery pumps.
To register for the webinar click on
Free Market Webinars
Detailed product forecasts for desalination are provided in the following
N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
N026 Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M
(including instrumentation and automation)
N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market
N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets
N005 Sedimentation and Centrifugation World Markets
Gas Turbine Operators will spend $2.9 billion for Valves Next Year
Operators of gas turbines will spend $2.9 billion in 2018 for valves. Fifty-five
percent of the total will be for new plants while 25 percent will be
replacements and 20 percent will be upgrades of existing plants.
Some of the upgrades will just be valves added for better control and
remote monitoring. Others will be
added due to conversion of open cycle to combined cycle operation.
4000 MW of open cycle gas turbines will be converted to combined cycle operation
on an average annual basis in the next three years.
Most of this will be in the Middle East and the U.S where most of the
units are still not in combined cycle mode. The open cycle mode emits almost as
much CO2 as does a coal fired boiler.
Conversions are being made primarily to achieve extra electricity
production but greenhouse gas reduction per unit of energy produced is also a
consideration.
Gas Turbine Open Cycle Capacity Percent by Region
Region |
Percent
Open Cycle |
North America |
36 |
South America |
40 |
Europe |
4 |
CIS |
16 |
Africa |
53 |
Middle East |
40 |
Asia |
9 |
TOTAL |
26 |
It is a challenge to operate an HRSG on a fast cycling basis.
More robust automation and control provides part of the fast start HRSG
solution. There have been
significant attemperator problems caused by frequent cycling.
One of the problems is leaking valves.
The solution is new valve designs and remote monitoring of valve leakage.
McIlvaine is analyzing valve designs for HRSGS and has solicited assistance from
the HRSG Users Group which is holding their annual conference in Houston from
February 12-14.
https://hrsgusers.org/conference
The acceleration of remote monitoring of valves and the evaluation of total cost
of ownership is covered in
N031
Industrial IOT and Remote O&M.
The specific valve forecast for each of 12 valve types for gas turbines is
provided in each of 80 countries in
N028
Industrial Valves: World Market.
The technical issues relative to HRSGs and other gas turbine processes are
continually analyzed in
59D
Gas Turbine and Reciprocating Engine Decisions.
Profiles of the 50 largest purchasers of gas turbine valves are included along
with project tracking in
59EI Gas Turbine and Reciprocating Engine Supplier Program
Municipal Wastewater Treatment and Power Plant Environmental Technology
Interconnection will expand Wisdom
Wisdom gained in reducing pollutants from power plants can be used to improve
municipal wastewater plant performance and vice versa. IIoT promises to
interconnect things. Suez, operating a number of treatment plants from a center
in France, can be making adjustments to blowers in a plant in Chile to reduce
energy consumption and improve nutrient removal. MHPS operating power plants
from a center in the Philippines can make adjustments to blowers to improve FGD
oxidation in a plant in India.
Data analytics with the help of subject matter experts (SME) can provide
guidance to minimize down time and maintenance costs.
However, if the voluminous analytics are made available and utilized in
decision systems accessed by disparate plants and industries and if there is
sufficient interconnection among SMEs then the decisions will be empowered by
the Industrial Internet of Wisdom (IIoW).
The SMEs who focus on a system can them become subject matter
ultra-experts (SMUES).
The interconnection among industries is important.
Take power plants and wastewater plants as an example.
·
*Municipal
wastewater plants could provide the water for use as cooling and process water
for power plants
·
*Municipal sewage sludge can replace some of the solid fuels used in power
plants
·
*Co-location of power plants and municipal wastewater plants would allow for
waste heat from the power plants to be used for accelerated nutrient removal and
sludge drying in the wastewater
plants
·
*New methods for mercury removal are equally applicable to
municipal sludge incinerators and coal fired boilers
·
*Improvements in liquid, gas and free flowing solids analyzers have
applicability to both industries
·
*Automation and control system improvements for combustion, scrubbing and liquid
solid separation in one industry can be used in the other
McIlvaine has complied Decision Guides on coal fired power:
44I
Coal Fired Power Plant Decisions
You can view a recorded presentation on IIoT and Remote O&M for municipal
wastewater at:
https://youtu.be/AWB-vZIj5gkWe
For more information on IIoT and Remote O&M click on
N031
Industrial IOT and Remote O&M
We are presently analyzing aeration blower options for nutrient removal at
municipal wastewater plants and seeking to identify subject matter experts.
We welcome any suggestions.
Bob McIlvaine can answer any questions and can be contacted at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
or 847-784-0012 ext. 112