Hope to See You in the Next Two Weeks at the Chicago Conferences
Bob McIlvaine will be attending both WEFTEC and Filtration 2017 and would look
forward to talking with you. You
can reach him at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
or office: 847 784 0012 ext. 112 cell: 847 226 2391
The WEFTEC conference starts on September 30 and will end on October 4. The
exhibition in McCormick Place runs from October 2-4.
Bob will be meeting with exhibitors to discuss the markets for flow and
treat products and services for each of the large operators and OEMS (as
explained below).
Filtration 2017 will be held at Navy Pier in Chicago where 1500 attendees will
be able to view 140 exhibitor stands in addition to a number of cutting edge
presentations. Tuesday, October 10
will be devoted to presentations. There will be a session on IIoT where Herve
Buisson, Vice President of Veolia Water will cover some of the water industry's
IIoT initiatives and probe the ways that the industry can create smarter
filters.
·
Frank Stamatatos, President of SecureAire Inc will address IIoT and
Explore the relationship between the Internet, Filtration Technologies, and
their application in critical environments.
·
Review the current Internet application categories and how they fit in with
Filtration.
·
Describe SecureAire's method for applying the IoT in controlling IAQ in critical
environments.
·
Offer provocative thoughts on the future of the Filtration Industry with IoT.
The key note speaker at the Tuesday luncheon, Philip Whitaker, president, and
CEO of AAF Flanders, will provide insights on why there has been an upswing of
M&A activity involving filtration-related companies and what performance metrics
should current filtration companies focus on to enhance their value.
The exhibition will be open both Wednesday, October 11 and Thursday, October 12.
Flow and Treat Purchases by U.S. Municipal Wastewater Treatment Plant Operators
will
exceed $13 billion this Year
U.S. municipal wastewater treatment plant operators are anticipated to spend
$13.2 billion for flow and treat products and services next year. The majority
of these purchases will be made by just 50 operators and 30
engineering/consulting firms.
Chicago MSD operates seven wastewater reclamation plants.
It is also expanding its scope by encouraging nearby food processors to
send waste to the plant for conversion to biogas. This will increase its sludge
processing, compressor and air pollution control purchases. The Chicago
Metropolitan Sanitary District includes seven reclamation plants.
Los Angeles Sanitation's operations are approximately half the size of
those in Chicago.
2018 Municipal Wastewater
Purchases
U.S. $ millions |
|||
|
U.S. |
Los Angeles |
Chicago MSD |
Guide |
1100 |
11 |
22 |
Control |
1800 |
18 |
36 |
Measure |
900 |
9 |
18 |
Valves |
1000 |
10 |
20 |
Macrofiltration (belt presses,
sand filters) |
500 |
5 |
10 |
Pumps |
2000 |
20 |
40 |
Treatment Chemicals |
1400 |
14 |
28 |
Sedimentation and Centrifugation |
900 |
9 |
18 |
Variable Speed Drives and Motors |
1000 |
10 |
20 |
Turbines, Fans, and Compressors |
2200 |
22 |
44 |
RO/UF/MF Cross Flow Membrane
Systems |
250 |
3 |
6 |
Air Pollution Control |
200 |
2 |
4 |
Total
|
13,250 |
133 |
266 |
McIlvaine is forecasting flow and treat product and service expenditures for 550
operating companies and 400 OEMS, EPCs and process sub system companies
worldwide. The wastewater purchases
in many countries are concentrated among just a few operators.
Suez operates more than half the plants in Chile and serves 20 million
people with wastewater treatment in China.
In the U.S. the engineering/consulting firms play a big role.
The merger of CH2M and Jacobs creates an entity which is both designing
and operating wastewater treatment plants.
The estimated flow and treat decisions influenced by this company are in
excess of $600 million/yr.
There is a metamorphosis in the way purchases will be made in the near future.
Process management system suppliers are providing monitoring and control of
every valve, pump, and filter from remote monitoring centers.
Suez is monitoring hundreds of plants from its European base.
The equivalent of millions of total lowest cost of ownership analyses are
continually generated. This
development will profoundly change the route to market as explained in
N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M.
Profiles of the 100 largest operators and EPCs worldwide are included in
62EI North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People
Database
which is being expanded to include the major worldwide purchasers.
Detailed forecasts for each of the 550 major purchasers are shown in the
relevant market reports listed at
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets
DSUA Conference delivered Unique and Valuable Information Last Week
Bob McIlvaine was the keynote speaker last week at the Dry Scrubber Users
Association conference in Philadelphia where he made predictions about the
future of coal and analyzed the potential for IIoT and Remote O&M for dry
scrubber system operators.
The McIlvaine focus has been to create new digital alternatives to face to face
communications. When the corporate expert is viewing continuous analysis of
performance of every valve and every pump in all the scrubber systems in the
fleet, he already has much more information than can be delivered by the local
sales representative or that he can gather by walking the floor at Power-Gen.
In the utopian world, cloud-based systems provide the data analytics and make
decisions to minimize the total cost of ownership (TCO) with only minor
contributions from subject matter experts. The problem with this concept is that
it does not create an environment for innovation.
As was demonstrated many times by discussions at the Dry Scrubber Users
Conference, personal interaction among 150 very knowledgeable people is a very
valuable way to improve the TCO of scrubber systems.
The latest annual meeting in Philadelphia last week was "Navigating the Future."
Two plant tours (Logan and Carneys Point) were conducted on the first day
followed by two days of presentations and discussions. Presentations by the
operators of these two plants and others were interspersed with supplier
coverage of relevant case histories and products.
Both the importance of personal interaction and the power of IIoT and Remote
Monitoring were provided with presentations by Logan, Carney and Primex.
Here are the services being offered by Primex which supplement and utilize the
OSI software in place at both plants.
Performance Assurance services:
Weekly:
Monitor, Diagnose and Communicate Scrubber Performance Issues
·
Remote monitoring of critical process parameters.
·
Identify and prioritize urgent issues potentially affecting safety or
reliability.
·
Diagnose, communicate and facilitate troubleshooting with onsite O&M personnel.
Monthly:
Interpret Key Performance Indicators and Recommend Related Actions
·
Compile and interpret key FGD performance indicators including stoichiometric
ratio and automatic process control stability.
·
Identify correlations and factors affecting safety, reliability or efficiency.
·
Interpret changes and recommend related actions to improve performance.
Quarterly:
Facilitate Scrubber Optimization Team Building and Goal-setting
·
Benchmark and compare efficiency with similar plants.
·
Interpret long term performance trends and correlations.
·
Identify improvement opportunities and recommend goals.
·
Facilitate action planning and scheduling.
This program empowers IIoT with weekly, monthly, and quarterly IIoW (Wisdom).
Many demonstrations of innovation were provided at the conference. Here are
some.
Innovations
·
Flow splitter for atomizers
·
Humidity analyzer for high particulate conditions
·
Wash cycle for Fujikin control valves
·
Better metal coating selection
·
Bag design to better resist corrosion
·
New additives for mercury capture
·
Bag design to remove more SO2 and mercury
The attendees spent a good deal of time exploring ways to improve operations
which we would characterize as
Wisdom Potential
·
Reduce calcium-to-sulfur ratio and save lime and reduce ask disposal cost
·
Reduce corrosion
·
Reduce material buildup
·
Dislodge accumulated particulate
·
Offset loss of experienced personnel with remote connection for semi-retired
niche experts.
Broadening the DSUA Reach
In the future, there will be more dry scrubber systems installed in the rest of
the world than in the U.S. Also, there is a great deal of wisdom to be garnered
from operators of systems in other countries. McIlvaine is making a proposal to
DSUA to offer additional services which will attract an international membership
and will also provide opportunities for monthly communications.
Dr. Jianchun Wang (Joe) gave a presentation on Thursday which underscores the
value of the international initiative. Joe works for Longking, which by
McIlvaine calculations, has installed more dry scrubbing systems than any other
supplier. It has supplied 60 percent of the dry scrubbers for power plants in
China. Our calculations would be that there is a total of over 800,000 MW of
scrubbers of which 40,000 MW are dry systems. This brings the Longking total to
24,000 MW. In addition, Longking
has installed many dry systems in other industries. Longking is also a leader in
China and the world in other air pollution control technologies. Their position
in China is as follows:
·
No. 4 in FGD
·
No. 8 in SCR
·
No. 3 in Fabric Filter
·
No. 1 in Hybrid ESP & FF (including 1,000 MW installations)
·
No. 1 in Wet ESP
Longking has been a licensor of the Lurgi CFB scrubber technology. Harald Sauer
was one of the main engineers behind the original Lurgi CFB activity. He
continues to consult with Longking.
Joe's speech covered the use of wastewater from an EDV scrubber at Sinopec as
the slurry liquid for the dry scrubber. China is mandating zero liquid
discharge. So this installation provides two advantages:
·
Eliminates a wastewater problem
·
Reduces lime consumption due to the sodium in the wastewater
The Dry Scrubber and other users' groups are a unique source of subject matter
expertise. The value presently only derived by attending the conference can be
shared to the benefit of all. The challenge is to find the best way for this
sharing to take place.
Bob McIlvaine can answer questions and can be reached at:
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
847-784-0012 ext. 112