Desalination Market Webinar Thursday 7/14/16 at 9:00 a.m.
We will conduct a webinar on desalination markets next week. The perspective
will be proactive with the ambitious belief that it is possible to shape the
future rather than be its victim. McIlvaine is heavily involved in combustion,
distillation, membrane technology, water use and treatment. Further perspective
is gained from the knowledge of regulations. For example, coal-fired power and
coal to chemicals plants in China have to use desalinated water if they are near
coasts and have to install zero liquid discharge (ZLD) systems.
The rapid development of membranes for improved desalination economics needs to
be addressed in making any forecasts. Evoqua believes that alternatives and
variations to RO will be more cost effective. Since cost will be the driver, the
technology developments will be very important in determining the market.
All this seemingly unrelated knowledge allows us to recommend initiatives to
maximize the beneficial application of desalination. Let’s take one example
which we will explore on Thursday. Forward Osmosis. McIlvaine is creating a
decision guide on Forward Osmosis (FO) (see next article). One of the most
promising uses of FO is in power plant wastewater ZLD. FO appears to be ideal
for Chinese power plants who are both desalinating their cooling and other water
requirements and meeting ZLD. The problem with FO is that you need to use a
solute with higher salt content than the wastewater. The brine from SWRO
desalination can be used as the solute. The advantages are that the energy
consumption for ZLD is substantially reduced. At the same time, the water
content of the brine is increased. One of the criticisms of desalination is the
return of concentrated brine to the sea.
The major options for desalination are thermal or membrane. Alternatives are use
of fresh water which in many cases means transport from other locations. In
others, it means lowering the water table. There is also the cost consideration.
San Diego opted for desalination rather than importing Colorado River water
despite the high capital cost. The decision was based on long-term costs and
availability of the fresh water source. The question is should the decision be
based on cost over 20 years or 40 years or some other time span? These options
necessitate questions such as what is the value of a ton of water in an arid
area vs. an area with plentiful water? What is the negative value to downstream
Colorado River residents vs. the benefits to San Diego residents?
More CO2 will be generated by desalination than by transport of fresh water. So
you have to ask what is the value of a ton of CO2 vs. a ton of water in an arid
region? McIlvaine has developed a metric to measure the harm and good of every
option. The tribal value assessment allows one to gain perspective on issues
such as consideration of Colorado downstream residents interest. The present
value assessment provides perspective on the length of time to be used in the
comparison of desalination vs. fresh water. These three metrics will be briefly
discussed.
The webinar will also address the long-term water needs by region and will
provide general forecasts for the investment in desalination with some
segmentation by thermal and membrane methods. Click here to Register for the
Webinars
Forward Osmosis Decision Guide in Preparation
The value of forward osmosis technology is being hotly debated as the interest
grows and new opportunities are uncovered. Unlike other membrane technologies,
forward osmosis is very seldom a stand-alone process. It can be used to convert
tomato juice to tomato paste but then you have a diluted salt solution with
which to contend. The energy savings comes from the creation of a higher
salinity draw solution. One approach is to create draw solutions from which
fresh water can be easily extracted. This requires energy. Choosing the best
draw solution to minimize the separation energy is the key to the success of
this approach.
Another approach involves using a draw solution which benefits from the
additional water. The perfect example is seawater RO brine. Water can be
extracted from high strength wastewaters to dilute the salinity of the brine
being returned to the ocean. This makes the brine return more environmentally
acceptable. Liquid fertilizers provide another interesting option under the
category of Fertigation.
A third approach is to utilize FO in a more complex series of treatment steps.
For example, if it can reduce the size and cost of an evaporator, the economics
could be attractive.
FO has been utilized or pilot tested in many different applications in power,
oil and gas, food, mining and other industries. Due to the complimentary aspect
of the technology there are many different uses to investigate. In order to help
the industry stay abreast of these developments, McIlvaine is creating a Forward
Osmosis Decision Guide. This effort should be complimentary to the extensive
efforts undertaken by the international Forward Osmosis Association and others.
In fact, links to the ongoing work by various groups is provided in the decision
guide.
The Forward Osmosis Decision Guide is displayed on a stand-alone website for
which a password is required. At this point in time it is free to all
prospective users. Ultimately, it will be free to FO system operators and would
be owners but others will pay a fee.
The guide is segmented into:
Overview-applications—systems—membranes—solutes—suppliers.
Each power point is displayed with an area for questions and comments. Users are
encouraged to send back their comments/questions to a particular slide. These
comments will then be posted on that power point (organized version of a blog).
Users are also encouraged to supply power points which will be considered for
inclusion but with some editing.
For more information and to receive your password click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=1137
Gas Turbine Plant Operators Will Spend $1.7 Billion for Water Treatment
Chemicals Next Year
The market for water treatment chemicals for gas turbine plants is growing at
rates considerably greater than GDP. This is the conclusion in the continuously
updated N026 Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market published by
the McIlvaine Company. Sales in the Americas will top $670 million in 2017.
Sales in EMEA will be $50 million less than in the Americas. Asia is still
primarily relying on coal. As a result, 2017 treatment chemical sales will be
$385 million.
The use of water treatment chemicals is primarily in the steam cycle loop.
However, in hot try climates, fogging nozzles are used to add mass to the intake
air. This water must be ultrapure to avoid damage to the turbines. The use of
fogging nozzles is widespread in some countries within EMEA. This large region
has areas where treatment chemicals markets will grow robustly and others where
growth will be low.
The energy mix for power generation in Europe varies greatly, from France with
76 percent nuclear power, to Norway with 97 percent hydropower, to Poland with
80 percent coal-fired generation. The drivers affecting future energy mixes are
very complex and often contradictory. Global warming and air pollution concerns
are driving power generation away from coal. The Fukushima disaster in March
2011 is driving some countries (such as Germany) away from nuclear power. High
gas prices have led to an overcapacity of gas-fired generation in Western
Europe. The only clear winner appears to be renewable energy.
Countries in the CIS region rely on a diverse mix of fuels for power generation.
For example, Belarus relies almost exclusively on natural gas, Kazakhstan
heavily on coal (81 percent) and Ukraine largely on nuclear power (45 percent).
In reality, however, Russia is the dominant force in the CIS. With huge natural
gas reserves, Russia uses natural gas to generate roughly half of its
electricity. Until very recently, however, gas-fired power plants in Russia have
been conventional steam plants rather than open-cycle or combined-cycle gas
turbines. The country previously emphasized standardization in power plant
design and foreign OEMs encountered difficulties introducing new technologies
due to Russia’s strict codes and standards.
Russia began to liberalize and privatize its power market around 2008. One goal
of the privatization program was to boost the installation of new, more
efficient power generation facilities so that more gas could be freed up for the
international market. Liberalization efforts have created a trend away from
highly standardized power generation toward more optimized and tailored combined
cycle solutions. Russia had only 3 GW of combined cycle capacity at the end of
2008, but added another 13 GW over the following five years (2009-2013).
Continuing growth is expected.
Africa’s power sector is split into two distinct regions; northern African
nations rely almost exclusively on oil and natural gas, whereas South Africa
relies on coal for over 90 percent of its power generation.
• Gas-fired power generation has more than doubled in the last five years in
Algeria, from 5,189 MW in 2008 to 10,521 MW in 2013. Algeria’s public utility,
Sonelgaz, is pursuing a large-scale investment program to add an additional
12,000 MW of gas-fired generating capacity by 2019.
• Nigeria’s National Integrated Power Project (NIPP) was initiated in 2004 to
build ten gas-fired power plants by 2010 (actually completed in 2012), totaling
4,250 MW. Nigeria introduced another major power sector reform package in May
2010 to double power production from 24,000 GWh to 54,000 GWh by 2017.
The Middle East relies primarily on oil and gas for power generation, largely
because the region has ready access to significant oil and gas resources. A
sharply rising demand for power in the region is being driven by population
growth, a rapidly expanding industrial sector, the high demand for air
conditioning during the summer months, and heavily subsidized electricity rates.
The market for treatment chemicals in power and other industries is analyzed in
in N026 Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
New projects and existing plants are identified in 59EI Gas Turbine and Combined
Cycle Supplier Program
Municipal Wastewater Treatment Plants will spend $1.3 billion for Odor Control
Scrubbers Next Year
Municipal wastewater plants invest heavily in odor control scrubbers. Worldwide
purchases next year will exceed $1.3 billion. The largest regional purchaser
will be East Asia followed by NAFTA.
In East Asia the biggest expenditures will be for odor control at new plants. In
Western Europe and NAFTA, the biggest expenses will be to upgrade and repair
odor control systems at existing plants. Here are some examples from recent
McIlvaine North American Wastewater Treatment plant updates.
• In Bangor, Auburn-based T Buck Construction will begin a $2.3 million project
to replace the Bangor Wastewater Treatment Plant’s biofilter media system and
repair the tower that contains the system. The projected lifespan of the
biofilter is about 12 years, but most layers in the Bangor tower have been
working nearly around the clock for 23 years. Only the top layer has been
replaced — twice in the past two decades. That top layer suffers the most wear
and tear because it’s exposed to the sun and elements.
• Ludington, Michigan is purchasing a vapor phase odor control system as a
result of odor complaints from neighbors.
• Short Elliot Hendrickson is engineering the odor control project for the Osage
Pre-treatment facility in Mitchell County. Odor control equipment has been
installed and should be operational as of July 5, 2016.
• The Fresno-Clovis plant in Fresno, California just issued bids for an odor
control upgrade.
• Norwalk, Connecticut has a $4.5 million capital budget to solve the odor
control problems from its South Smith Street plant. ARCADIS is working on the
project.
For more information on N008 Scrubber/Adsorber/Biofilter World Markets
For more information on 62EI North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment
Facilities and People Database
India Flow Control and Treatment Revenues will reach $12 billion in 2017
Flow control and treatment revenues in India will grow by more than 8 percent
this year and reach $12 billion in 2017. The Indian economy is now the world’s
9th largest. GDP growth is forecast to exceed 7 percent.
In the air segment, revenues of $2.7 billion will be achieved in 2017. The
leading product will be fabric filters which are used in air pollution control
in many industries. Most of the revenues of $801 million for electrostatic
precipitators will be generated in the power industry. However, the power sector
will spend little on flue gas desulfurization (FGD) and NOx reduction.
Industrial valve and pump revenues will be widely spread across industries such
as power, refining, municipal water and wastewater, chemicals, food, mining and
pharmaceuticals.
Liquid treatment revenues will reach $2.6 billion in 2017 with each of the four
segments sharing the market fairly equally. The big change over the last few
years has been the increased market share for cross-flow membranes.
For more information on the Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei
For more information on the individual reports, click on:
N022 Air Filtration and Purification World Market
N019 Pumps World Market
N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market
N018 Electrostatic Precipitator World Market
N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets
N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market
N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market
N027 FGD Market and Strategies
N008 Scrubber/Adsorber/Biofilter World Markets
N035 NOx Control World Market
N007 Thermal Catalytic World Air Pollution Markets
N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market
N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets
N020 RO, UF, MF World Market
N005 Sedimentation and Centrifugation World Markets
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1279 – July 1, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – US
• Three Webinars to assist PacificCorp in selection of NOx reduction Technology
• EthosEnergy uses Innovative Solution to complete Coal-Fired Plant Repairs in
North Dakota
• Groundwater at Plant Yates contaminated
COAL – WORLD
• Joint Venture SEPCO and Power Development Board of Bangladesh sign MoU for
Coal-fired Power Plant in Maheshkhali, Bangladesh
• Egat reaffirms Coal-fired Power Plants for Thailand
• Supporting renewables with Coal-fired Power Plants
• GE agrees with Harbin to establish Coal-fired Power Station for $8 Billion in
Egypt
The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every
plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.
HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
DATE HOT TOPIC HOUR AND DECISION GUIDE SCHEDULE
The opportunity to interact on important issues
July 14, 2016
9:00 am CDT
Markets Desalination
Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve, compressor and chemicals
options; power/desalination combinations.
Click here for more information
July 14, 2016
11:00 am CDT NOx Control for PacifiCorp: Overview and Summary of Low NOx Options
Discussion of options for PacifiCorp to comply with new NOx removal requirements
for four 350 MW coal fired generators operating in Utah. The first webinar will
consider the range of both in-furnace and back end options.
Click here for more information
July 19, 2016
11:00 am CDT NOx Control for PacifiCorp: Combustion Modifications and Neural
Networks
Discussion of options for PacifiCorp to comply with new NOx removal requirements
for four 350 MW coal fired generators operating in Utah. This second webinar
will consider the range of both in-furnace options to reduce NOx to between
0.15- 0.22 lbs./MMBtu.
Click here for more information
August 2, 2016
11:00 am CDT NOx Control for PacifiCorp: Back end NOx Control
Discussion of options for PacifiCorp to comply with new NOx removal requirements
for four 350 MW coal fired generators operating in Utah. This third webinar will
consider the range of options such as peroxide, ozone, and catalysis to reduce
emissions to 0.06 lbs./MMBtu.
Click here for more information
August 25, 2016
10:00 am CDT
Markets Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and
treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in
the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.
TBA
Markets Food - Analysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage
with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.
TBA
Markets Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers
in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for
reuse.
TBA
Markets Mobile Emissions -Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels, oils,
and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of RDE and failure of NOx traps
and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on clean diesel.
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Details on Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90-minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The
session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
General overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the
issues and options relative to specific applications. Coal-fired power, cement,
steel, and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable Decision
System. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of
the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at
no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance
and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the
slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and
continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision
services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial
focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**
Pollutant
Industry Fabric Filter
(1ABC) Scrubber
(2ABC) Precipitator
(4ABC) FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) Air Pollution
Monitoring
(9ABC) Gas
Turbine
Decisions
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 Coal X X
Sewage X X
WTE X X
Cement X X
Steel X X
*Included in custom system
** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market
reports. Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC
Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point presentations. Click here for details
Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00
for non-subscribers)
• Chronological
Order Now!
Free Sponsored Webinars
• Albemarle - Cement MACT
• AMC Power
• Aquatech
• GE - Mercury Capture
• Honeywell
• NVISTA
• Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer
• Neundorfer
• Pavilion
• Sick Maihak - Cement MACT
• Tekran Instruments - Cement MACT
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com