Liquid Cartridge Market to Exceed $16 Billion Next Year
The market for cartridges utilized to purify liquids will grow to over $16
billion next year. This is the new forecast in Cartridge Filters: World Markets,
an online report by the McIlvaine Company. (www.mcilvainecompany.com)
($ Millions)
Industry 2013
Chemical 715
Commercial - Point of Entry 913
Commercial - Point of Use 2,554
Electronics 502
Food 552
Healthcare 1,330
Metals 196
Oil & Gas 333
Other Industries 663
Pharmaceutical 2,201
Power 244
Residential - Point of Entry 826
Residential - Point of Use 4,132
Wastewater 273
Water 772
Total 16,206
This forecast does not include cartridges used in mobile devices such as
automobiles. It does not include cartridges used with compressed gas or
hydraulic fluids. No air purification applications are included.
Cartridges come in a variety of sizes, materials and performance parameters.
Membrane cartridges can remove sub-micron materials. Carbon black cartridges are
efficient in removing contaminants affecting taste. Metal cartridges are capable
of operating at high temperatures.
The largest single user segment is the home owner. Cartridges may filter out
sediment at the point of entry, under the sink, in the ice making system, or at
the top of the pitcher. The poor quality of drinking water in many countries of
the world has resulted in substantial investment by home owners to insure water
safety. The pool and spa market is substantial.
The pharmaceutical industry uses disposable cartridges for process separation.
This allows switching from one product to another without cross contamination
worries. In the power industry, cartridges are less popular than filters which
are continuously cleaned. In the electronics industry, cartridges are used as
pre-filters for reverse osmosis systems.
Due to the pharmaceutical activity in the U.S. and Germany, these two countries
are among the leading purchasers of cartridges. However, China is a much bigger
purchaser than Germany in all applications outside of the pharmaceutical
segment. As a result, it’s projected $1.5 billion in cartridge purchases in 2013
are more than twice that projected for Germany.
For more information on Cartridge Filters: World Market, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com//brochures/water.html#nO24
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Investment in Fossil and Nuclear Plants Will Exceed $736 Billion in 2013
Fossil and nuclear power plants will invest $736 billion on new equipment and
repair parts in 2013. Sixty-five percent of the investment will be in coal-fired
power plants. This is the latest finding in Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation:
World Analysis & Forecast, published by the McIlvaine Company. (wwwmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com)
2013 Fossil-fired and Nuclear Power Generation Market
Technology Units Coal-fired Nuclear Gas Turbine
Existing New Existing New Existing New
Capacity GW 2228 128 439 16 1000 67
Total Investment $
Billions 223 256 88 64 45 60
Combined New and Existing $ Billions 479 152 105
Despite the virtual moratorium on new coal-fired power plants in the U.S., the
rest of the world will spend $256 billion on new coal-fired power plants in
2013. This contrasts with only $60 billion for gas turbine systems. Repair parts
and upgrades of existing coal-fired power plants will generate revenues greater
than the combined new power plant and repair investments by nuclear and gas
turbine combined.
The future competition among these three major fuels will be shaped by a number
of factors. The greatest variable is the quantity of shale gas which can be
economically produced. The U.S. has potentially enough shale gas to meet present
requirements for thirty years. China has even greater reserves but they are
located deeper and will be more expensive to extract. Furthermore, the Chinese
shale gas industry is in its infancy. Even with its most ambitious plan, China’s
gas production would only be eight percent of that in the U.S. in 2020.
The efforts to reduce greenhouse gases will virtually eliminate new coal-fired
power plants as an option in certain countries but the large investment in these
power plants by other countries will result in coal-fired power continuing to be
the most popular option.
Nuclear generation growth will also be highly regionalized. Some countries will
not only avoid building new nuclear power plants but will phase out existing
ones. Other countries will be big investors in nuclear power. Nevertheless, this
fuel option will continue to remain in third place far behind coal.
For more information on Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis &
Forecast, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#n043
Ten Top Growth Markets in Air, Water and Energy
For suppliers of products and services for the air, water and energy industries
there are some substantial double-digit growth opportunities. Ten of these have
been identified as the most promising by the McIlvaine Company These are ranked
based on potential market size.
# 1 Shale Gas
There is a very large continuing investment in extraction of gas from shale in
the U.S. The requirement for hydraulic fracturing two miles underground greatly
increases the investment in flow control and treatment products: the U.S. now
has access to reserves which could make it a net exporter or at least self
sufficient for 30 years. The big unknown is the potential in China and the rest
of the world.
Shale Gas Reserves (Trillion m3)
U.S. Total 25
Marcellus U.S. 13
Argentina 22
Europe 18
China 36
U.S. Total Natural Gas Consumption in 2011 0.8
U.S. 2011 Electric Power Consumption with Gas 0.2
China has bigger reserves but they are deeper. There is also a lack of water in
the areas where it will be required. Nevertheless, China plans 60 billion m3 of
capacity by 2020.
#2 Vessel Air and Water Treatment
$70 billion will be required to supply 70,000 ships with treatment systems to
ensure that ballast water discharges be free of live invasive species. Large
investments will also be needed to reduce sulfur and NOx emissions from the ship
stacks.
#3 Water Reuse
Power plants and other large water users will accelerate the treatment and use
of wastewater. The co-location of municipal wastewater treatment plants and
either combined cycle gas turbine or coal-fired power plants will be a popular
option. Industrial facilities will increasingly opt to treat and reuse
wastewater rather than discharge it. The investment in treatment systems and
chemicals for this purpose will be substantial.
#4 NOx Control
Coal-fired power plant operators in China are embarked on a huge program to
install DeNOx systems using selective catalytic reduction. In Europe and the
U.S., regulations requiring NOx reduction on trucks and other vehicles will
ensure double-digit growth in this segment. Suppliers of urea and ammonia will
benefit from both the stationary and mobile activity.
#5 Aquaculture
The new generation involving recirculating tanks and efficient filtration is
changing the approach to fish farming. The continuing depletion of wild fish
populations is also a driving factor.
#6 Efficiency Improvements in Fossil Plants
The average age of coal-fired power plants in the U.S. is forty years. The
efforts to prevent new power plant construction in the U.S. and Europe are
forcing operators of existing power plants to modernize. One of the biggest
needs is to replace outdated instrumentation and controls and to make the power
plants much more efficient.
#7 Remediation
The remediation of soil and groundwater is becoming a big business in developing
countries. It will generate $36 billion in revenue this year.
#8 Fine Particulate Reductions
Small particles are increasingly identified as the most harmful contaminants in
air. The resultant legislation will continue to bolster both the mobile and
stack gas markets for reduction technology. Fabric filters will replace
electrostatic precipitators in many cement and power plants.
#9 Management of Solid Waste
Waste-to-energy through combustion of solid wastes or generation of biogas will
replace landfill as a disposal method in developing countries. The U.S. is one
of the few developed countries which tolerate landfills as a solution.
#10 Renewables
The short-term outlook for wind and solar has been negatively impacted by the
shale gas discoveries and production. Cut throat pricing and oversupply have
battered the solar cell manufacturers. Nevertheless, the “renewables” market
will weather the storm and again become healthy.
Information on the above opportunities is contained in a number of McIlvaine
market research reports. For more information, click on: www.mcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
U.S. Industrial Air Emitters to Spend $1 Billion/yr for Air Pollution Control
Over the Next Five Years on More than 2000 Specific Projects
Operators of industrial boilers, kilns, pulp mills, mines and incinerators are
facing huge investments to meet recently passed national regulations and
imminent additional regulations by the individual states. The expenditure will
exceed $1 billion/yr over the next five years as thousands of projects ranging
from $100,000 to $25 million will be undertaken. These projects are identified
in the McIlvaine report, U.S. Industrial Emitters. This database covers over
40,000 industrial sources in the U.S.
Three major national rules have been promulgated. They deal with air toxics and
affect the cement industry, operators of industrial and commercial boilers, and
operators of solid and liquid waste incinerators. There will be extensive
investment in fabric filters to capture the toxic metals. In many cases,
activated carbon or other chemicals will also be needed to capture mercury.
Removal of hydrogen chloride will also be necessary and will generate markets
for wet scrubbers. Organics such as the kerogens in limestone used in the cement
industry also generate organic toxics and will create a market for thermal
treatment technologies.
Several thousand plants will be installing new air pollution control systems but
nearly 6,000 plants will be making investments in monitoring and control of
process and combustion operations. Mercury and PM mass monitors are very
expensive but will only be required for 1000 plants. However monitors for CO,
and O2 will be required at many plants.
It is likely that rules will be promulgated by individual states which will
force the addition of NOx, SOx and particulate matter reduction equipment. This
is in addition to that required by the national standards. The states are
required to take whatever actions are necessary to bring the ambient air quality
to a level specified in federal regulations already promulgated. It will be more
cost effective and politically acceptable to require larger industrial
facilities to cut their emissions by fifty percent then it will be to impose
limitations on lawn mowers, grills and the like.
Even though many areas are in attainment with ambient standards, they are upwind
of areas which are in non-attainment. These attainment areas will be subject to
lawsuits by the downwind areas. The end result is that equipment will be
required at many locations and not just within the non-attainment areas.
The discovery of large quantities of shale gas and the resultant low price of
natural gas will ensure the stability and even modest growth in the U.S.
industrial base. As a result, the vast majority of plants will make the
necessary expenditures to remain in business.
For more information on U.S. Industrial Emitters, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=93extsup1.asp
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
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