Here are some headlines from the Utility E Alert last week:
§
Nederman China receives Order for Boiler Flue Gas Cleaning Project
§
Barapukuria Coal-fired Power Plant adds Third Unit
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ABB wins Orders worth $300 Million for China Power Projects
§
China to finance Second Coal-fired Power Plant at Thar Block II
Huaneng Bayanbaolige 1,320 MW proposed Coal-fired Power Plant in Inner Mongolia
Autonomous Region, China
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Clean Power Plan is unfolding
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This Year 133 Companies will buy 55 Percent of Fabric Filters
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Seventeen Power Plant Owners have Purchased 56 Percent of all the World’s FGD
Systems
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Carbonxt and United Conveyor Corporation launch Joint Air Quality Control
Offering
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Precipitators can compete with Fabric Filters – Hot Topic Hour Thursday October
22, 2015Upcoming Hot Topic Hours
The Utility E Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is
$950/yr. but is included in the $3020 Utility Tracking System
which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and many
other features.
42EI
Utility Tracking System
State by State Forecasts Needed by Suppliers of Flow Control and Treatment
Products and Services
The market for flow control and treatment (N064
Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment and Control: World Market)
will be over $350 billion this year. The market has been segmented into 80
countries and sub regions. Some of the smaller countries account for less than
0.1 percent of the total. By contrast, California accounts for 2 percent
of the total. So international suppliers need to segment the U.S. by
region and, in many cases, by State. This is accomplished in a supplemental
report,
Analysis & Forecast by Industry & State.
The food segment provides an example. The U.S. flow control and treatment in the
food industry represents more than 22 percent of the world total.
Expensive pumps and valves are needed to meet the sanitary requirements of food
processors. Cross-flow membranes not only provide high purity water and
clean wastewater but are concentrating liquids such as juices and corn syrups.
Fabric filters are used not only for air pollution control but to capture
product in hot gas streams e.g. coffee spray driers.
The U.S. will purchase two hundred and twenty times more food flow control and
treatment products and services than Guatemala this year.
FOOD INDUSTRY(%s)
BASE YEAR 2014 |
||||||||
|
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
United States |
21.80 |
22.30 |
22.82 |
23.36 |
23.92 |
24.50 |
25.09 |
25.69 |
Canada |
1.95 |
1.98 |
2.02 |
2.06 |
2.09 |
2.13 |
2.18 |
2.22 |
Mexico |
2.39 |
2.49 |
2.61 |
2.73 |
2.87 |
3.01 |
3.17 |
3.35 |
Argentina |
0.98 |
1.01 |
1.04 |
1.07 |
1.10 |
1.13 |
1.17 |
1.20 |
Brazil |
3.11 |
3.17 |
3.23 |
3.30 |
3.36 |
3.43 |
3.51 |
3.59 |
Chile |
0.44 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.48 |
0.50 |
0.52 |
0.54 |
0.56 |
Colombia |
0.69 |
0.72 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.83 |
0.86 |
0.90 |
0.94 |
Ecuador |
0.21 |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
Guatemala |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
The state analysis segments each industry by state and aggregates it into nine
regions. California represents 10 percent of the U.S. food industry flow
control and treatment market while the Pacific states account for more than 14
percent.
FIGURE I-2B: U.S. Food
Industry - Percent of U.S.
2014 Total |
|
|
|
|
||||
STATE |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2029 |
2021 |
Alaska |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.42 |
California |
10.26 |
10.67 |
11.10 |
11.54 |
12.00 |
12.48 |
12.98 |
13.50 |
Hawaii |
0.22 |
0.23 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.28 |
0.29 |
Oregon |
1.21 |
1.26 |
1.31 |
1.36 |
1.42 |
1.47 |
1.53 |
1.59 |
Washington |
2.08 |
2.16 |
2.25 |
2.34 |
2.43 |
2.53 |
2.63 |
2.74 |
TOTAL Pacific States |
14.09 |
14.65 |
15.24 |
15.85 |
16.48 |
17.14 |
17.83 |
18.54 |
McIlvaine continues to adjust forecasts based on a number of its own reports
plus U.S. census data such as the number of employees in each facility in each
industry.
NAICS |
Alabama Food Manufacturing Facilities--- #
of employees |
25 |
50 |
200 |
300 |
500 |
3111 |
Animal Food Manufacturing |
39 |
20 |
16 |
3 |
0 |
3112 |
Grain and Oilseed Milling |
8 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
3113 |
Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing |
14 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3114 |
Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty
Food Manufacturing |
8 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
3115 |
Dairy Product Manufacturing |
8 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
3116 |
Animal Slaughtering and Processing |
79 |
34 |
9 |
16 |
20 |
3117 |
Seafood Product Preparation and Packaging |
22 |
9 |
9 |
4 |
0 |
3118 |
Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing |
74 |
61 |
9 |
4 |
0 |
3119 |
Other Food Manufacturing |
26 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
1 |
3121 |
Beverage Manufacturing |
43 |
37 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
Analysis & Forecast by Industry & State
is available as a supplement to (Air/Gas/Water/Fluid
Treatment and Control: World Market) or
to any of the other McIlvaine reports on pumps, valves, filtration, air
pollution control, etc. Customized excel spreadsheets can be provided for
specific products e.g. diaphragm pumps, ball valves, or polymers for water
treatment. For more information contact Bob McIlvaine at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
Ten Power Generators Will Purchase 50 Percent of the Mercury Reduction Products
and Services In 2016
Mercury reduction is being accomplished by the addition of activated carbon,
bromine or other chemicals. With the new air toxic rules requiring U.S.
power plants to meet levels as low as 3 µg/m3 sales of these
chemicals will be substantial. Worldwide sales for chemicals to reduce
mercury will exceed $1 billion. The electricity generator (EG)
expenditures will be over $800 million. Just ten EGs will spend an average
of $40 million each and will account for over 40 percent of world purchases.
Thirty-two EGs will account for 75 percent of the purchases by EGs and 60
percent of the total mercury reduction expenditures.
Mercury Reduction Expenditures For Major EGs |
|||||||
# of
Corp |
# of FGD MW/EG
1000 |
Total
MW
1000 |
% of
Total
Installed
Base |
% of Mercury
Expenditures
Short Term |
% of
Mercury
Expenditures
Long Term |
Examples |
|
7 |
Over 50 |
575 |
44 |
5 |
44 |
Big 5 Chinese Corp |
|
10 |
10-50 |
150 |
12 |
50 |
12 |
AEP, TVA, Duke, Enel, EON |
|
15 |
5-10 |
105 |
8 |
20 |
8 |
NRG, Xcel, Tokyo Electric, Chubu Electric |
|
20 |
3-5 |
80 |
6 |
10 |
6 |
AES, EPDC, RWE, CEZ |
|
52 |
Sub total |
910 |
70 |
85 |
70 |
|
|
350 |
0-3 |
390 |
30 |
15 |
30 |
U.S., Europe, China |
|
404 |
Total |
1,300 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
|
|
The U.S. is ahead of other countries in limiting mercury emissions from
electricity from EGs. However, over the next ten years, the Chinese are
expected to ratchet down emission limits to the same level as in the U.S.
When this occurs, just seven corporations will account for 44 percent of the
total purchases.
The concentration of purchasing among just a few corporations dictates a focused
effort. McIlvaine has introduced a program incorporating detailed
forecasting of total potential sales revenue for each major prospect, project
and supplier. This is included in
N056
Mercury Air Reduction Market.
For more information contact Bob McIlvaine at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
Tidal Energy Moving Forward
Cape Sharp Tidal, in a joint venture between Emera Inc. and OpenHydro, is taking
final steps to deploy 2MW Open-Centre marine hydrokinetic (MHK) ducted turbines
at the Fundy Ocean Research Centre for energy (FORCE) in the Bay of Fundy, Nova
Scotia.
Cape Sharp Tidal said it plans to deploy two turbines to a fully grid-connected
4 MW tidal array at FORCE and begin spinning by the end of 2015. “This project
has potential to be one of the world’s first multi-megawatt arrays of
interconnected tidal turbines, providing energy to more than 1,000 customers in
Nova Scotia“, the company said.
Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) has
selected IHI Corp. and Toshiba Corp. to research and develop an underwater
floating-type ocean current tidal energy turbine system as part of a $501
million effort for sustainable renewable energy.
The system includes power generation devices that each have two counter-rotating
turbines. Each unit is anchored to the sea floor and floats like a kite carried
and driven by the ocean current according to Toshiba.
Wave and tidal projects are among the many types of renewable energy projects
contained in McIlvaine’s Renewable Energy Projects and Update.
“Hot Topic Hour” November 12 to Focus on Latest Issues and Innovations in Dry
Scrubbing
The dry scrubbing option is being taken by many operators of power plants,
incinerators, kilns and furnaces. There many issues and innovations which
need to be addressed by decision makers. These will be summarized and
discussed in a 90 minute recorded webinar.
One of the decisions is the type of dry scrubber which is best. Originally
SDA was the main option. Now CDS is popular. DSI with the more reactive
sorbents has become an option even when higher efficiency is required. The
catalytic filter with DSI promises one stop shopping. Combinations such as
DSI and SDA are also an option.
The dry scrubber is necessarily part of a multi pollutant removal system which
addresses particulate, acid gases and toxic metals. As a result, the
evaluation of the impact of the dry scrubber on the removal pollutants such as
mercury is important. The changing regulations in the U.S. China and the EU all
need to be addressed.
Solid waste is an issue. Can the sorbent/acid/ash combination be used as
construction materials? What about leaching of toxic metals? The loss of
flyash and gypsum revenues need to be evaluated. The benefits of lower water use
and elimination of wastewater are also important.
There are many process factors. One is the sulfur content of the fuel
versus the required efficiency. Another is the temperature of the air leaving
the heat exchanger and the potential for DSI ahead of the air heater to allow
greater heat recovery.
The discussion will be at a high level. It is hoped that participants avail
themselves of the extensive analyses already in Power Plant Air Quality
Decisions. Some of these analyses are listed in
More information
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours and Recordings
McIlvaine webinars offer the opportunity to view the latest presentations and
join discussions while sitting at your desk. Hot Topic Hours cater to the end
users as well as suppliers while the Market Updates cater to the suppliers and
investors. Since McIlvaine records and provides streaming media access to
these webinars there is a treasure trove of value only a click away. McIlvaine
webinars are free to certain McIlvaine service subscribers. There is a charge
for others. Hot Topic Hours are free to owner/operators. Sponsored
webinars provide insights to particular products and services. They are
free. Recordings can be immediately viewed from the list provided below.
DATE |
UPCOMING HOT TOPIC HOUR |
UPCOMING MARKET UPDATES |
November 12, 2015 |
Dry Scrubbing |
|
December 3, 2015 |
NOx Reduction |
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com