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GDP UPDATE
June 2013
TABLE OF CONTENTS
AMERICAS
United States
Canada
Latin America
ASIA
Australia
India
Singapore
EUROPE / AFRICA / MIDDLE EAST
EUROPEAN UNION
Hungary
Portugal
United Kingdom

AMERICAS
United States
Real gross domestic product (GDP), the total output of goods and services in the U.S., increased at an annual rate of 2.4% in the first quarter of 2013, the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced.
This is the first revision for Q1 GDP and a slight decrease from original estimates of an annual growth rate 2.5%.
“With the second estimate for the first quarter, increases in private inventory investment, in exports, and in imports were less than previously estimated, but the general picture of overall economic activity is not greatly changed,” the report reads.
“The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and exports that were partly offset by negative contributions from federal government spending and state and local government spending,” the report adds.
Imports, a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, also increased according to the report.
The increase in Q1 GDP – unlike Q4’s paltry 0.4 – was driven by accelerations in private inventory investment, PCE, decreases in fed spending, and an upturn in exports that were “partly offset by an upturn in imports” and a “deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment.”
Real personal consumption expenditures increased 3.4% in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.8% in the fourth, the report notes…………Remaining text not included in this sample.

Canada
“Just as the financial crisis triggered an atypical recession, the recovery cycle is unusual,” Mr. Poloz said in prepared remarks for the House of Commons Finance Committee. “We need to see the reconstruction of Canada’s economic potential, and a return to self-sustaining, self-generating growth.”
Mr. Poloz’s remarks were broad, offering little insight on whether he will push for a shift in the central bank’s current policy stance. He called the central bank’s inflation target “sacrosanct” and echoed long-standing central bank doctrine the exchange rates should be determined by market forces.
There is a view among some market participants that Mr. Poloz could take a different view on the dollar than his predecessor, Mark Carney, whose tenure at the Bank of Canada ended on the weekend. Mr. Poloz, who was leading Canada’s export finance agency when he was selected to lead the central bank, has boasted of visiting some 70 executives in 2012. That closeness to exporters has caused some to wonder if the new central bank governor might have more sympathy for their concerns about a stronger currency.
If that’s true, it wasn’t evident. Mr. Poloz said the exchange rate has little impact on the sales because those are determined by contracts between buyer and seller. If the exchange rate changes in the meantime, “the only thing that changes is the amount of money the company gets,” in other words, profit margins, Mr. Poloz said.
The committee hearing offered the first opportunity for financial markets to assess Mr. Poloz, a surprise choice over Tiff Macklem, the No. 2 at the Bank of Canada who had built a sterling reputation as one of Canada’s most effective performers during the financial crisis. When Finance Minister Jim Flaherty introduced the new governor of the Bank of Canada last month, he offered no detailed explanation of why he had determined that Mr. Poloz was best suited for the job.
Questions from Conservative members of Parliament offered a clue. Brian Jean from Alberta and Cathy McLeod from British Columbia remarked on Mr. Poloz’s experience at Export Development Canada, which he joined in 1999 as chief economist, rising to chief executive in 2011. “I can’t think of anyone better suited for the job,” said Mr. Jean. “You’re quite a success story.”……. Remaining text not included in this sample

Latin America
Mexico’s economy will grow 2.96% this year, according to the median estimate in the central bank’s monthly survey published today, compared with the 3.35% estimated in the previous poll. Brazil economists cut their growth forecast for a third week to 2.77 percent, according to the central bank’s weekly survey of about 100 analysts.
Growth in the two economies that make up almost two thirds of Latin America’s gross domestic product slowed in the first quarter as exports weakened and domestic demand remained sluggish. Mexico’s central bank will probably cut interest rates for a second time this year, while Brazil is raising rates as inflation accelerates, said Marcelo Salomon, the co-head of Latin America economics at Barclays Plc.

ASIA

Australia
Australia's economic growth was sluggish in the March quarter, and that pace is likely to continue as the peak in mining investment looms.
Gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.6% in the first three months of the year, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said, below the market forecast of 0.8%.
The annual pace of growth was 2.5%, the first time it was below 3% since the last quarter of 2011.
There is evidence from the data that Australia's mining boom is moving into a new phase.
In recent years, a lot of mining and resource projects have been under construction, which was the main driver of economic growth.
That boom is expected to peak sometime in the next 12 months, but those new projects will start production and there will be a lift in exports.
It is also hoped there will be a lift in other sectors of the economy like home construction and retail spending, helped by the falling Australian dollar and lower interest rates.
JP Morgan chief economist Stephen Walters said the contribution from mining investment in the March quarter was fading with output in the mining state of Western Australia diving..…………… Remaining text not included in this sample

India
Global brokerage Morgan Stanley said the Indian economy has come out of the trough and will grow at 6% in the current fiscal.
Sounding bullish on the stock markets, it pegged the Sensex target at 23,000 by December.
"We are confident that the economy has come out of the furrow, though the recovery will be gradual beginning the second half, and will close the fiscal at 6%," Morgan Stanley Asia Pacific economist Chetan Ahya said.
He has based his optimism on the recovery in exports which have been rising since January, apart from the election-related spends that will help drive consumption. He also pointed to the positive vibes since September last, which could help revive investments…………... Remaining text not included in this sample
A complete analysis of GDP and monthly updates for individual countries are included as part of Air Filtration World Market. For more information on Air Filtration and Purification World Markets, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=48#n022

Many New Power Generation Projects in Asia
New power plant projects are tracked continuously and revised start-up summaries are published monthly. Here are plants starting up in 2015.

World Power Generation Projects
Startup Date / Fuel - Summary Chart
United States Summary Total for Startup Date:
Fuel Total Size (MW)
Biomass 85
Coal 600
Coal Gas 200
Gas 14587
Nuclear 1200
Petroleum Coke 400

Fuel Project Name Size (MW)
Biomass Heard County biomass power plant-Rollcast Energy, GA 50
Biomass Klamath Falls II-Klamath Generation, OR 35
Coal Trailblazer Energy Center-Tenaska, TX 600
Coal Gas Summit Power IGCC power project with carbon capture, TX 200
Gas Astoria combined cycle power plant-NRG, NY 1040
Gas Cane Run combined cycle-Kentucky Utlities, Louisville Gas & Electric, KY 660
Gas Charles County power plant-Competitive Power Ventures, MD 661
Gas Charles D. Lamb power plant-Oklahoma Municipal Power Authority, OK 103
Gas Cherokee 4 conversion to natural gas-Xcel, CO 569
Gas CPV Valley combined cycle Energy Center, NY 650
Gas Eklutna power project-Matanuska Electric Assoc., AK 180
Gas Garrison combined cycle-Calpine, DE 309
Gas Glenarm power plant-Pasadena Water & Power, CA 71
Gas Good Spring combined cycle power plant-EmberClear, PA 300
Gas Grant County PUD gas turbine power plant, WA 295
Gas Heskett expansion-Montana-Dakota Utilities Co., ND 88
Gas Liberty combined cycle-Moxie Energy, PA 825
Gas Midland combined cycle power plant-MCV, MI 640
Gas Ninemile Point 6 combined cycle plant-Entergy Louisiana, LA 550
Gas Old Bridge Clean Energy Center (combined cycle)-NRG (NJ Power Development), NJ 660
Gas Patriot power plant-Moxie Energy, PA 800
Gas Port Westward 2 peaking power plant-Portland General Electric, OR 220
Gas Sawtooth combined cycle-SW Public Power Resources Group, AZ 480
Gas Smyth County combined cycle plant-Competitive Power Ventures, VA 762
Gas Temple combined cycle expansion-Panda Power, TX 758
Gas Temple combined cycle-Panda Power Funds, TX 650
Gas Toquop power project-Sithe Global, NV 700
Gas Troutdale combined cycle and simple cycle power plant, OR 653
Gas Warren County combined cycle plant-Dominion Power, VA 1300
Gas Woodbridge power plant-CPV Shore, NJ 663
Nuclear Watts Bar 2 nuclear power plant-TVA, TN 1200
Petroleum Coke Lockwood IGCC power plant-Hunton Energy, TX 400

Worldwide Summary Totals for Startup Date:
Fuel Total Size (MW)
Biomass 438
Coal 77625
Coal Gas 1100
Gas 37478
Liquified Natural Gas 3600
Nuclear 14310
Oil 2730
Fuel Project Name Size (MW)
Biomass Ferrybridge multi-fuel power plant-SSE Generation, UK 108
Biomass Vartaverket CFB combined heat and power plant-Fortum Varme, Sweden 330
Coal Ain Sokhna supercritical power plant-Egyptian Electricity Holding Co., Egypt 1300
Coal Aksa Enerji Uretim power plant, Turkey 270
Coal Amarkantak III and IV-Lanco Infratech, India 1320
Coal Auraiya district project-Uttar Pradesh Power Corp, India 250
Coal Balingian power project-Sarawak Energy, Malaysia 600
Coal Bamitha power plant-NTPC, India 4000
Coal Barapukuria expansion (III)-CMC, Bangladesh 250
Coal Bayswater B expansion-Macquarie Generation, Australia 2000
Coal Benga power plant-Rio Tinto, Mozambique 500
Coal Bhavanapadu Phase I supercritical power plant-East Coast Power, India 1320
Coal China Gezhouba power plant, Malawi 1000
Coal Cochrane power plant-AES Gener, Chile 532
Coal Cucuta power plant-Termotasajero 2, Colombia 180
Coal Davao City CFB power plant-Aboitiz Power, Philippines 300
Coal Duyen Hai 1-EVN, Vietnam 1245
Coal Duyen Hai 3, Vietnam 1245
Coal Eastern Petroleum power plant, Indonesia 200
Coal Empee Group power project in Tamil Nadu, India 1320
Coal Fatehpur power plant-Lanco Infratech, India 2640
Coal Gecamines (copper miner) power plant, Congo 500
Coal Ghatampur-Nevyeli Lignite Corp/Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam, India 1980
Coal Ghazipur district power plant-Welspun Energy, India 1320
Coal Gulbarga district power project-Power Co. of Karnataka, India 1320
Coal Hongsa-Ratchaburi Electricity Gen. Holding, Bunpu Power, Laos 1878
Coal India Power Co. power plant, India 1320
Coal Karchana supercritical power plant-Jaiprakash Associates, India 1980
Coal Katwa power project-West Bengal Power Development Corp., India 1600
Coal Khargone power plant-NTPC, India 1320
Coal Khulna power plant-Bangladesh Power Dev. Board/Orion, Bangladesh 282
Coal Koradi 8,9,10 power project-Maharashtra State Power Generation Co./DCPL, India 1980
Coal Kospo power project in Cebu, Philippines 400
Coal Kumbakonam power project-GEMAC, India 1320
Coal Lalitpur-Bajaj Hindustan, India 1980
Coal Long Phu 1 supercritical power plant-PetroVietnam, Vietnam 1200
Coal Manjung 4 supercritical expansion-Tenaga Nasional Bhd., Malaysia 1000
Coal Manora supercritical power project-Maharashtra State Power Gen., India 1320
Coal Medupi-Eskom Project Alpha baseload supercritical project, South Africa 4800
Coal Milner supercritical expansion-Maxim Power, Canada 500
Coal Mindanao plant-San Miguel Energy Corp., Philippines 300
Coal Mombasa-Kenya Electricity Generating Co. coal-fired power project, Kenya 600
Coal Mong Duong 1 CFB power plant-Electricity of Vietnam, Vietnam 1080
Coal Nagbhid (Kanpa) power project-Maharashtra State Power Gen., India 1320
Coal Narengri power plant-North Eastern Electric Power Corp., India 500
Coal Navalakhi port power plant-Vandana Power Infratech, India 2400
Coal Nipa (Iloilo) CFB power plant-AC Energy Holdings/A Brown, Philippines 135
Coal Phu Quoc Island power plant-Vietnam National Coal & Mineral Industries Group, Vietnam 200
Coal Plomin 3 power plant, Croatia 500
Coal Punta Alcalde (Huasco) power project 1-5-Endesa Chile, Chile 758
Coal Ranchi power plant-Madhucon Projects, India 1320
Coal Raniganj power project-Himachal Power Corp. & Eastern Mineral and Trading Ag, India 660
Coal Ras Al Khaimah power plant-Utico Middle East, United Arab Emirates 270
Coal Salka village power plant-Iffco Chhattisgarh Power Ltd, India 1320
Coal Samcheok Green Power supercritical power project-Korea Southern Power Co., South Korea 2000
Coal Sasan supercritical power plant-Reliance Power, India 3960
Coal Sirkazhi power project-Gemac and SEPCO III, India 1320
Coal South Sumatra 5-PLN, Indonesia 300
Coal SRM Energy pit head power plant, India 2000
Coal Sumsel 5 power plant-PTDian Swastatika Sentosa (DDS) and PT Golden Energy Mi, Indonesia 300
Coal Talcher Super Thermal Project-National Thermal Power Corp., India 1320
Coal Talisayan barangay power plant-Conal Holdings, Philippines 100
Coal Tampakan copper and gold mining power plant-Sagittarius Mines, Philippines 400
Coal Tancoal mine power plant-TANESCO/Intra Energy Tanzania, Tanzania 200
Coal Ternate power plant-SMC Global Power Holdings, Philippines 1200
Coal Thang Long power plant, Vietnam 600
Coal Total E&P Nigeria power plant, Nigeria 420
Coal Tufanbeyli power plant-Enerjisa Enerji Uretim/Verbund, Turkey 450
Coal Van Phong economic zone power plant-Sumitomo/Bach Dang-Hanoi Co., Vietnam 1320
Coal Vijayanagar super critical power plant-JSW Energy, India 600
Coal Vindhyachal IV supercritical power plant-NTPC, India 1000
Coal Zambia power plant-Maamba Collieries, Zambia 300
Coal Gas Eston Grange IGCC power plant-Progressive Energy, UK 850
Coal Gas Genesee IGCC power plant-Epcor, Canada 150
Coal Gas NTPC IGCC Power Plant, India 100
Gas Al Zour North power and desalination plant, Kuwait 1500
Gas Anbar combined cycle power plant, Iraq 1500
Gas Ashuganj combined cycle-Bangladesh Power Dev. Board, Bangladesh 382
Gas Azito expansion-Globeleq Generation, Ivory Coast 139
Gas Bibiyana 1,2 combined cycle power plant-Energy Holding International, Bangladesh 682
Gas Bouchain FlexEfficiency 50 power plant-EdF, France 510
Gas Braemar 2 power plant-ERM Power, Australia 550
Gas Cengiz Enerji combined cycle power project in Samsun region, Turkey 600
Gas CEZ/Mol Nyrt. combined cycle power plant, Hungary 860
Gas Dadu combined cycle, Pakistan 1000
Gas Damhead Creek combined cycle expansion-Scottish Power, UK 800
Gas Delimara combined cycle expansion-Malta Resources Authority, Malta 200
Gas Dervish combined CCGT, wind, solar power plant-MetCap Energy, Turkey 530
Gas Dongara (Centauri 1) gas turbine plant-Eneabba Gas, Australia 168
Gas Duqm IPP power and desalination plant, Oman 1000
Gas Gateway Energy Centre combined cycle (Intergen), UK 900
Gas Gdansk power plant-PGE SA, Poland 800
Gas Greenfield South power plant-Eastern Power, Canada 300
Gas Imara power plant, Iraq 500
Gas Incheon combined cycle expansion-Posco Power, South Korea 1252
Gas Israel Chemicals cogen plant, Israel 250
Gas Jebel Ali Q (Hassyan)-Dubai Electricity & Water Authority, United Arab Emirates 1500
Gas Juan Manuel Valdez Guiria power plant-Petroleos de Venezuela, Venezuela 700
Gas Kpone simple cycle power plant-Volta River Authority, Ghana 220
Gas Latur supercritical power plant-Mahagenco, India 1320
Gas Leichhardt power plant--APA Group/AGL Energy, Australia 60
Gas Navoi combined cycle expansion, Uzbekistan 450
Gas North Bangkok 2 combined cycle expansion-EGAT, Thailand 850
Gas Port Talbot (Abernedd) combined cycle-Scottish & Southern Energy, UK 450
Gas Pragati III combined cycle-Pragati Power Corp, India 1500
Gas Queen Elizabeth combined cycle addition-SaskPower, Canada 200
Gas Riyadh (12) expansion-Saudi Electricity Co., Saudi Arabia 1300
Gas Rojana Industrial Park combined cycle power plant-Gulf JP, Thailand 1600
Gas Ropar power plant-Punjab State Electricity Board/GAIL, India 1000
Gas Sagardighi expansion (formerly Katwa), India 1000
Gas Samra Phase III combined cycle addition-Samra Electric Power, Jordan 143
Gas Shahjibazar combined cycle power plant, Bangladesh 300
Gas Shepard-Enmax combined cycle power plant, Canada 800
Gas Shihjibazar combined cycle, Bangladesh 300
Gas Sitentu combined cycle power plant-Groot Property Group, Namibia 900
Gas Stalowa Wola combined cycle-PGNiG/ Tauron cogen plant, Poland 450
Gas Stargate Point Comfort power plant-Sargas Texas, TX 250
Gas Suez power plant (boiler)-East Delta Electricity Production Co., Egypt 650
Gas Sundance 7 combined cycle-TransAlta, Canada 800
Gas Szeged combined cycle-Advanced Power, Hungary 880
Gas Tihama expansion-GDF Suez/International Power, Saudi Arabia 532
Gas Vuelta de Obligado combined cycle, Argentina 800
Gas Willington Power Plant new cc and peaking units-RWE npower, UK 2400
Gas Wustermark combined cycle power plant, Germany 1200
Gas Yangon power plant, Myanmar 500
Liquified Natural Gas Hsinta 6 combined cycle-TaiPower, Taiwan 720
Liquified Natural Gas Tunghsiao 1-4 combined cycle-TaiPower, Taiwan 2880
Nuclear Changjiang nuclear power plant-China National Nuclear Corp., China 1300
Nuclear Haiyang nuclear power plant-Shandong Nuclear Power, China 2200
Nuclear Jiyang -China Nuclear Industrial Group/Anhui Wenergy Co., China 4000
Nuclear Kakrapar 3,4 nuclear power plant-Nuclear Power Corp. of India, India 1400
Nuclear Ningde 3,4-CGNPC, China 2160
Nuclear Xianning (Dafan) 3-CGNPC, China 1250
Nuclear Xuancheng -Datang Group, India 2000
Oil Fawley peaking addition-RWE Power, UK 300
Oil Narva oil shale CFB power plants-Eesti Energia, Estonia 600
Oil O Mon 2 power plant-Can Tho Thermal Power Co., Vietnam 330
Oil Ras Azzour (Al-Khair) desalination/combined cycle, Saudi Arabia 1500
New power generation projects are tracked in two publications. Fossil and Nuclear Power Generation includes both market forecasts and project data. World Power Generation Projects has just the project data.
For more information, click on: Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis & Forecast
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=72#n043

World Power Generation Projects: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#40a

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847 784 0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
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