WELCOME
Weekly selected highlights in flow
control, treatment and combustion from the many McIlvaine publications.
·
India APC Opportunity
· Effect of Interference on the
Combust, Flow, and Treat Markets
· Sucking CO2 Out of the Air Means
There is No Tipping Point
· Biomass Ready Coal Fired Plants and
Massive Tree Planting will be the Compromise Climate Change Solution
· Utility Tracking System has Details
on All Coal Fired Operators Around the World
·
The Future of
Biopharmaceuticals will Depend on Perceived Value vs Cost
India APC
Opportunity
The next FGD
newsletter will include the analysis of participant companies in
SOx-NOx India. It is partially
displayed below. Also displayed are
the headlines to the September FGD newsletter. This news letter is part of 44I
Coal Fired Power Plant Decisions.
This service
also includes the Fabric Filter
Newsletter, Electrostatic Precipitator Newsletter, and IIoT and Remote
O&M newsletter.
It includes an intelligence system with
webinars, case histories and papers. There is no cost to this service
for power plant owners. The cost for others is $1600/yr for one
subscriber and $120/yr for additional subscribers from the same company.
We are in
discussions with Mission Energy relative to future webinars and will be
focused on ways to assist India in making its air. water and solid waste decisions.
FGD and
DeNOx
NEWSLETTER
September
2019
No.
497
TECHNOLOGY
- Wet Lime Systems Have a
Number of Benefits Compared to Limestone Systems
- India Needs Additional
High-Quality Hydrated Lime Production
- Circulating Fluid Bed
Scrubber Could Be the Best Choice for Many Indian Power Plants
- Enhanced Hydrated Lime
(EHLS) Has a Number of Advantages
- Improving the FGD Absorber
and ESP Performance at Iskenderun Power Plant
- Valves for Spray Tower Type
FGD System
- High Priority on Valve
Specifications for Indian Limestone FGD Systems
- The Shower Versus the
Bubble Bath Principle for FGD
- Indian Power Lobby Presses
for Further Delay in Pollution Standards
- Determining True Cost for
Dry Scrubbing through Coal Fired Power Plant Decisions
- Upgrading Limestone
Scrubber System
- Summary of Air Emissions
from the First Year Operation of Jea’s Northside Generating Station
- Upgrade FGD Systems with An
Absorber Tray Says B&W
COMMERCIAL
- Carmeuse Exporting Lime to
India from Oman
- Chiyoda and Larsen &
Toubro are Offering the Chiyoda FGD Systems to Indian Power Plants
- Thermax and MET Pursuing
South Asian Market with Wet and Dry FGD Technology
- TSGenco Moving Forward with
Air Pollution Control Upgrades at Four Units Totaling 1800 MW
- Yokogawa Process
Optimization Reduces Yearly Costs in Limestone FGD System in Japanese
Power Plant
- Analysis of Indian FGD
Suppliers
- Doosan Is Active in India
and Around the World in the Full Range of APC Equipment
·
Indure
Is A Large Indian EPC Company with APC Licenses
- BHEL Is the Leading
Supplier of Power Plants and FGD Systems in India
- ISGEC Has Licenses from
Multiple International APC Suppliers
- GE Is the Second Largest
FGD Supplier in India
- Hamon Indian Subsidiary
Selling Cooling Towers, Chimneys and Air Pollution Control Equipment
in India
- Rieco Offers A Limestone
FGD System with A Venturi Scrubber for Particulate removal
- Andritz Offers Wet and Dry
FGD Systems in India
- Larsen and Toubro Designs
Plants, Air Pollution Control Systems and manufactures Components Such
as Valves
- Circulating Fluid Bed
Scrubber Could Be the Best Choice for Many Indian Power Plants
- Adage Automation Supplies
127 CEMS For Reliance Industries
- Bids Close for DSI for 4 x
210 MW of DSI Systems at Punjab State Power Roopnagar In September
2019
- Tata Power March 2019 Bid
Request For 1x67.5-MW DSI FGD System
- Valmet Uses the Condensing
Scrubber Technology to Recover Heat
- JGC Supplying Dry Scrubbers
and NOx Control
- Mississippi Lime Completes
Acquisition of Southern Lime
- Fortum Has Combustion
Modification Order from Hindalco
- BHEL Has 13 Orders for
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) System to Reduce NOx
- BHEL Has Order for FGD
Systems at the 4x250-MW Nabinagar Project of BRBCL
- ECOMAK Supplies
Precipitator Upgrades and the Venturi Option Could Be Combined With
FGD
- United Conveyor Has Dadri
Order For DSI
- Envea Pursuing FGD CEMS
Market in India
- Johnsen Chemicals Has A
Combustion Catalyst That Lowers Pollutants
- EPP
Provides FRP Scrubber Vessels
- Uniphos
Provides Particulate and Gas CEMS
- LeBracs
Supplies Rubber Lining for Vessels and Ducts
- Carmeuse
Exporting Lime to India from Oman
- Sorbacal® SPS
Used in CDS and DSI Systems
- Lhoist
Announced Possible Price Increases of 11 percent Last December
- Lhoist
Market Share in Asia
CONFERENCES
- Leveraging
DSUA Expertise to Assist Indian Utilities Participating in SOx-NOx
Conference
Analysis of
SOx-NOx India Participating Companies
We have been
reporting on SOx-NOx India in the months leading up to the event last
month. This included a webinar with S. Dalvi of Mission Energy as a
featured speaker. The conference was quite successful in providing insights
needed for the very ambitious air pollution control program which is being
undertaken.
We reported
earlier on the speakers and exhibitors. Now we are reporting on the
attendees. There were one or more
attendees from each of the companies described below. They include end
users, suppliers, governmental agencies, and consultants. The combined
knowledge is invaluable. It will be
12 months before the next conference, but the information exchange can be
expanded into an ongoing program to serve as bridge.
We are working
with Mission Energy to schedule regular webinars. We are also offering 44I Coal Fired Power Plant Decisions free of charge to Indian utilities and
industrial power generators. The papers from the previous conferences plus
the Decisions service will provide the basis for high level webinars.
The decisions
on wet limestone FGD have already been made by many plants. But there still
are component decisions such as controls, oxidation blowers for the sulfite
recycle system, belts for the gravity filter systems, and certain critical
valves and pumps. It has been found that even coupling decisions can be
important.
For 80,000 MW
of projects for which designs have not been finalized there are many
important issues to resolve. These
include:
· Consideration
of natural oxidation lime systems with chemical fixing of sludge for use in
landfills. The capital cost is only 60% of the limestone forced oxidation
gypsum system. This may make sense
for older plants.
· Determining
whether wet systems, dry sorbent injection, spray dryer absorber,
circulating fluid bed absorbers or even a salable product such as ammonium
sulfate or sulfuric acid is the best choice.
· Determining
how much particulate will be removed in the scrubber. The use of a rod deck
as the first stage in the absorption tower can reduce particulate emissions
by 50%. Consideration of the compromise climate change solution Sucking
CO2 Out of the Air Means There is No Tipping Point, Biomass
Ready Coal Fired Plants and Massive Tree Planting will be the Compromise
Climate Change Solution. A number of small older coal-fired plants are operated
by attendees such as the cement and textile companies described below. The
long-term program would be to plant lots of trees to suck out CO2
and when they reach end of life, use them for fuel. One of the attendees, Valmet is helping
companies convert from 100% coal to combination fuels. So, there are lots of
options to explore in webinars.
ADAGE AUTOMATION - we covered their stand display of
automaton and CEMs previously.
ASHLAND is an international supplier of
resins for FGD and covered in 66
articles in the Alert and many more in the FGD newsletter.
BHARAT LIME ASSOCIATION was formed
solely…To promote,
particularly in India, the advancement of the knowledge of limestone,
dolomite stone, lime and calcined dolomite-related products among its
existing and prospective members and also bring into contact those engaged
in these pursuits, with a view to developing a synergy among them
particularly the industry, the professionals, the academia and R & D
Institutions.
To receive,
edit, publish and distribute papers, periodicals or journals, books and
hold Conferences, Meetings, Symposia, Colloquia, Workshops on relevant
themes and subjects and to set up Libraries as and where convenient and
also to exchange journal and other publications with similar materials
published elsewhere and to establish interrelationship in mutual interest
with similar bodies in different parts of the world. The association is
linked to the National Lime
Association in the U.S. and to the international and British
associations as well.
BHARATI CEMENT is a division of Vicat in India. It
functions in 3 verticals - Cement, Aggregates and Polymers with a
team of over 850 professionals and operations spread across 7 states in
India
BOKARO POWER SUPPLY COMPANY PVT. LTD. (BPSCL) established in 2001 is
a Joint Venture Company of Steel
Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL) and Damodar Valley Corporation (DVC) and is
engaged in power and steam generation and supplies power and steam (at
various pressures) to SAIL’s Bokaro Steel Plant (BSL) located at
Bokaro for meeting the process requirement of BSL.
The BPSCL
Power Plant is located on the premises of the Bokaro Steel
Plant (BSL) and has an aggregate installed capacity to generate
302 MW of power besides 660 Ton per Hour (TPH) of steam.
The Plant has
9 boilers (5 boilers each of 220 TPH, 3 boilers each of 260 TPH capacity
and 1 boiler of 300 TPH) and 7 turbine generators (one 12 MW back Pressure
Turbine Generator (TG), 2 TGs each of 55 MW capacity, 3 TGs each of 60 MW
capacity and one 36 MW back Pressure Turbine Generator).
CARMEUSE lime and limestone activities have
been covered in many of the 2000 previous Utility E-Alert issues. Also, their activities as Dravo Lime,
including natural oxidation and chemical fixing using high magnesium lime,
have been reported.
CHEMICAL
PROCESS EQUIPMENT supplies FRP
tanks, piping and other FRP products used in power and FGD
CHEMTRON PROCESS EQUIPMENTS provides wastewater and water
treatment systems.
CHEMTRON
SCIENCE LABORATORIES supplies
calibration gases.
CHATTISGARTH
STATE POWER is a major
operator of coal-fired power plants. There are 133 articles about them in
previous Utility E-Alerts, including an order placed with BHEL for an FGD system
appearing in the September 13, 2019 Alert.
CHRISTIAN
PFEIFFER makes FGD ball mills. They gave a
presentation at 2018 SOx-NOx http://soxnox2018.missionenergy.org/presentations/Christian%20Pfeiffer.pdf
COAL PREPARATION SOCIETY OF INDIA’s main objective is to promote washing of domestic coal
with high ash content to improve its heat value, improve its combustion
with reduced emissions and make it environmentally acceptable and
sustainable fuel for economic development and long-term energy security.
COUNCIL ON ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT, AND WATER is an India-based but globally engaged
research think-tank, which analyses and advises on critical questions
concerning energy, environment and water. It publishes analyses such as https://www.ceew.in/publications/clean-energy-investment-trends-2019
CPCB has its head office in New Delhi, with seven
zonal offices and five laboratories. The board conducts environmental
assessments and research. It is responsible for maintaining national
standards under a variety of environmental laws, It has responsibilities to
conduct monitoring of water and air quality and maintains monitoring data.
The agency also works with industries and all levels of government in a
wide variety of voluntary pollution prevention programs and energy
conservation efforts. It advises the central government to prevent and
control water and air pollution.
DESEIN INDURE with its headquarters in New Delhi, India, is
a leading engineering consultancy organization with over 38,000 MW of
experience in setting up coal/lignite-fired power plants as well as gas
based simple and combined cycle power plants with unit sizes ranging up to
800 MW, which is the largest size single unit of supercritical technology
currently under implementation in India. In 1987, DESEIN set up a
separate division to provide environmental engineering solutions to
mitigate pollution arising out of new projects. Since then, a group of
specialists in this field has undertaken field studies to determine the
impact and suggest remedial measures for setting up of more than 80 large
power projects with a cumulative capacity of around 62,000 MW of power in
India.
ECOMAK provides dry and semi dry FGD systems plus venturi
scrubbers and fabric filters.
ENGINEERS INDIA LIMITED (EIL) is an engineering consultancy, and engineering, procurement
and construction (EPC) company in the power, hydrocarbons and
petrochemicals industry. The company's segments are Consultancy &
Engineering Projects, and Turnkey Projects. Its services include technologies,
pre-Front End Engineering Design (FEED) and FEED, project management,
procurement services, construction services and specialized services.
ENVIRONNEMENT supplies CEMS and instrumentation with many articles about
them in the Alert and Monitoring newsletter (now IIoT and Remote O&M).
EPP COMPOSITES supplies FRP
vessels and piping and has a new partnership with Plasticon.
GE-BH supplies valves for coal-fired power
plants.
HINDALCO is the world's largest aluminum rolling company and is
also a leading producer of copper. Along with its global subsidiary Novelis Inc., Hindalco has a
presence in 12 countries. The company operates across the value chainfrom
bauxite mining to alumina refining, aluminum smelting and rolling and
extrusions. It operates coal-fired power plants including 6 x 150 MW at one
location.
HINDUSTAN ZINC has 474 MW of coal-fired boiler capacity.
HITACHI ZOSEN supplies air pollution control equipment,
including dry scrubbers and NOx control.
HORIBA is an international supplier of CEMs and air and water
instrumentation. There are a number of articles about this company in the
Alert and Monitoring newsletters.
IMAGICO is a
Mumbai-based company that manufactures high quality colorants and pigment
dispersions for paints, printing inks, paper, textiles and various other
products.
INDIAN FARMERS FERTILIZERS - Indian Farmers Fertilizer Cooperative Limited (IFFCO) is
one of India's biggest cooperative societies which is wholly-owned by Indian Cooperatives. It
operates coal-fired boilers.
INDUS ENERGY CONSULTANTS was incorporated in December 2017, by a team from
the power and steel industry
with over 20+ years of individual experience. It operates in the field of
Electrical Transmission & Distribution, Power Generation and Structural
Steel Fabrication.
INEOS has just acquired Ashland
Composites. It is one of the
world’s largest chemical companies and the 50th largest
business in the world, employing around 20,000 people across 171 sites in
24 countries. It is a privately-owned company with sales in 2018 of $60
billion and EBITDA of $7 billion.
ISGEC is a multi-product, multi-location
public company, which has been providing engineering solutions
to customers across 91 countries for the past 85 years. There are multiple
partners for air pollution control equipment.
ENVIROTHERM GMBH, GERMANY for Electrostatic Precipitators (ESP) up to 1000 MWe
(Tumbling Hammer Design) Indigenous Top Rapped Compact Design for Industrial Range
Boilers/ Other Applications Experience: More than 150+ ESP Installations, with biggest
unit of 180 MW.
FUEL TECH INC., USA - For reduction of Particulate Matter emissions by use of
Electrostatic Precipitators performance improvement technologies
(especially Flue Gas Conditioning). For NOx reduction
processes by use of urea or ammonia (SCR and SNCR).
BABCOCK POWER ENVIRONMENTAL INC., USA - For Wet Limestone-based Flue Gas Desulfurization Systems of
more than 100 MWe Unit Size.
ISGEC REDECAM ENVIRO SOLUTIONS PVT. LTD. - For Bag Filters
and Hybrid Filters for all industrial applications; for ESP's for Ferrous,
Non-ferrous and Cement Industry for Dry DeSOx solutions (Dry Sorbent
Injection & Circulating Dry Scrubber) for Industrial Applications.
SUMITOMO SHI FW - ISGEC is the partner for CFB
boilers and CFB dry scrubbers. A
joint ISGEC/ SHI FW webinar was held in India in June. Presenters
were Robert Giglio | Senior Vice President of Strategic Planning
and Business Development | Sumitomo SHI FW,
Asif Hussain | Senior
VP of Strategic Business Development | Sumitomo SHI FW, Greg Szulc |
Commercial Manager | Sumitomo SHI FW and Niranjan Shastry | Senior Vice
President | ISGEC Heavy Engineering Limited.
JK
CEMENT is the second largest manufacturer of white cement
in India, with an annual capacity of 600,000 tons. It is also the second
largest producer of wall putty in the country with an annual installed
capacity of 700,000 tons. JK Cement was the first company to install a
captive power plant in the year 1987 at Bamania, Rajasthan. J.K Cement is
also the first cement company to install a waste heat recovery power plant
to take care of the need of green power. Today at its different locations,
the company has captive power generation capacity of over 140.7 MWs which
include 23.2 MW of waste heat recovery power plants.
JGC is a designer of power plant systems with a
recent order in the Philippines. It also offers a dry scrubber system which
has been successfully employed in Japan.
JIANGAN ENVIRONMENTAL supplies SO2
scrubber systems using ammonia to produce ammonium sulfate. It has many
installations in China
JOHNSEN CHEMICALS was established in 2008 and has since
been working on the development of a catalyst for solid fuel. The product
has been tested on several markets with good results. The results show that
the catalyst contributes to a reduction of harmful emissions while also
making the combustion process more effective with a lower consumption of
fuel. Sootaway is a combustion catalyst
for solid fuel. The active ingredient is a manganese complex. The catalyst
works on all types of solid fuels.
KOCH-GLITCH provides mist eliminators for FGD systems.
There are many articles about their experiences in the Utility E-Alert and
discussions of their separation ability vs. particle size in the FGD &
DeNOx newsletter.
LEBRACS RUBBER LININGS is a rubber lining manufacturer supply tank
linings.
LOGIC LADDER provides
energy and environment intelligence technology including CEMS software that
makes data simple to acquire, understand and act upon.
LUEHR
FILTER is teamed with Ecomak
supplying APC equipment and is widely
covered in the Fabric Filter newsletter.
MAGO
THERMAL provides biomass capable boilers, venturi scrubbers,
sieve trays, dry scrubbers, and double alkali systems.
MAHARASHTRA STATE POWER GENERATION (Mahagenco) has the highest overall generation
capacity and the highest thermal installed capacity among all the state
power generation utilities in India. In terms of installed capacity, it is
the second highest generation company after NTPC. having generation capacity of 13,602 MW comprising
10,170 MW thermal, 2,580 MW hydel, 672 MW gas turbine and 180 MWp solar. It
was established by the government of Maharashtra under the central
electricity act-2003 with the principal objective of engaging in the
business of generation of electricity,
MAXIMA FRP PRODUCT supplies FRP for scrubbers, blowers,
tanks and chimneys.
MECS
INDIA is part of Dupont
Clean Technologies, which furnishes Dynawave scrubbers and also
complete systems to make sulfuric acid from SO2. It also supplies ozone generation systems
in combination with the Dynawave to absorb NO2 resulting from
the reaction of NOx and ozone.
McIlvaine recently analyzed this potential for one power plant,
which only needed modest NOx removal and found that this was
much more economical than adding SCR.
MELCO INDIA supplies
bottom ash and flyash transportation systems as well as slurry pump repair
parts.
THE MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT, FOREST
AND CLIMATE CHANGE (MoEF&CC) is the nodal agency in the
administrative structure of the Central Government for the
planning, promotion, co-ordination and overseeing the
implementation of India's environmental and forestry policies and
programs. The climate change program McIlvaine outlined to make future
coal plants biomass capable and to plant millions of trees, is a
combination which this agency already has within its scope
NTPC is the largest power generator in India
and one of the largest in the world. There are hundreds of articles about
its activities in the Alert and various McIlvaine newsletters. There is
detailed reporting of each proposed FGD project and the status of those
underway.
OPG
POWER GENERATION is a developer and operator of power
plants in India with 414 MW of thermal capacity.
ORIENT
CEMENT began cement production in the year
1982 at Devapur in Adilabad District, Telangana. In 1997, a split-grinding
unit was added at Nashirabad in Jalgaon, Maharashtra. In 2015, Orient
Cement started commercial production at its integrated cement plant located
at Chittapur, Gulbarga, Karnataka. With a total capacity of 8 MTPA, they serve
Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and parts of Madhya
Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh. It has a 50 MW
coal-fired power plant with ESPs.
PLASTICON is a major supplier of FRP tanks,
lining, etc. and has a joint venture with EPP in India. There are many articles on Plasticon in
the FGD & DeNOx newsletter.
RELIANCE
INDUSTRIES - The company is the sole distributor
of electricity to consumers in the suburbs of Mumbai. But in 2017 they
sold the Mumbai operation to Adani
Power. It also runs power generation, transmission and distribution
businesses in other parts of Maharashtra, Goa and Andhra Pradesh.
With its subsidiaries, it is developing 13 medium and large-sized power
projects with a combined planned installed capacity of 33,480 MW.
RIECO INDUSTRIES
supplies wet FGD systems, fabric filters and other APC equipment.
RSWM is a large textile manufacturer with coal-fired power
generation.
SMARTLUTH provides power plant management software.
STEAM EQUIPMENTS
provides air and water analysis systems.
SWAN ENVIRONMENTAL
is a major international supplier of air and water instruments. There are many articles on their power
plant activities in Monitoring (now IIoT newsletter).
TALEC ENGINEERING solves
APC problems. NTPC Ltd. was experiencing flow issues on the
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) reactor due to ash buildup. In a pilot
project overseen by YARA
Environmental Technologies, the SCR was installed on a trial basis
with the intent to reduce NOx (nitrogen oxide) emissions. Talec
Engineering Pvt. Ltd. was brought in to consult and install equipment which
included a Martin air cannon.
https://static.martineng.com/www.martineng.in/Talec%20NTPC_PSP%20.01D%20(1)%20(1)%20(1).pdf
TELANGA STATE POWER GENERATION has
increased its installed power generation capacity to 16,506 MW from 7,778
MW in 2014 when the State was formed making it into one of the fastest
growing sectors in the country. The Telangana government is now gearing up
to increase the total capacity to 28,400 MW over the next 4-5 years.
TETHYS INSTRUMENTS is a manufacturer of gas and
water on-line analyzers for environmental and process applications.
THE RAMCO CEMENTS
LTD, manufactures Portland Cement
in eight state-of-the art production facilities that includes
Integrated Cement plants and Grinding units with a current total production
capacity of 16.45 MTPA (out of
which Satellite Grinding units capacity alone is 4 MTPA). The
company is the fifth largest cement producer in the country. Coal-fired
generators have been supplied by Thermax. https://www.thermaxglobal.com/thermax-power-generation-solution/thermax-power-plants/power-plant-projects-and-solutions/
SINGARENI COLLIERIES COMPANY
LIMITED (SCCL) is
a government coal mining company jointly owned by the Government of
Telangana and the Government of India on a 51:49 equity basis. The
Singareni coal reserves stretch across 350 km of the Pranahita – Godavari
Valley of Telangana with proven geological reserves aggregating to whopping
8,791 million tons. SCCL is currently operating 18 opencast and 30
underground mines in 4 districts of Telangana with a manpower around
48,942.
TATA POWER
Presently, thermal power accounts for
around 70 percent of Tata
Power’s portfolio. But the current energy mix is part of the
company’s long-term legacy before 2013 when renewable energy was pricier
compared with competitive coal-fired power.
“The company’s plan, ‘Strategic Intent 2025’ calls for up to 70
percent of new capacity additions to come from solar, wind and hydro
through to 2025. This represents a significant departure from the accepted
wisdom of just a few years ago that a major expansion of coal-fired power
would be required to serve India’s growing electricity demand”, said Simon
Nicholas, energy finance analyst at IEEFA.
The majority of Tata Power’s thermal capacity is
now centered on its 4,150 MW Mundra coal-fired power plant - one of the
biggest power plants in India - which experienced losses reaching $191
million for the first three-quarters of FY 2019. See detailed analysis in
the July 19 Utility E Alert
Thermax
Limited has concluded an
order of INR 471 crore from an Indian government power company to set up
two flue gas desulfurization (FGD) systems at their thermal power plant in
the state of Jharkhand.
As a part of
the customer’s drive to meet the mandates for regulating SOx emissions from
coal fired power plants, they plan to install two units of FGD systems of
500 MW capacity each at their plant.
“Since its
inception, Thermax has been one of the key contributors to the nation’s
pollution abatement journey by providing sustainable solutions. This
prestigious order reinforces our capabilities in supporting power plants to
meet the stringent emission laws laid by the government in line with its
commitment to the environment,” says M.S. Unnikrishnan, MD & CEO,
Thermax Limited. See details in
July 19 Alert.
TORRENT POWER - Torrent has thermal power generation capacity of
3,092 MW with a unique mix of coal and gas-based power plants that use the
latest power generation technologies to ensure high thermal efficiency. It
also operates in the renewable energy segment with 610.5 MW operational
plants and 851.3 MW plants under-construction, taking the total renewable
generation capacity to 1461.8 MW.
ULTRATECH CEMENT LTD. is the largest manufacturer of
grey cement, Ready Mix Concrete (RMC) and white cement in India. It is also
one of the leading cement producers globally. The company has a
consolidated capacity* of 102.75 Million Tonnes Per Annum (MTPA) of grey
cement. UltraTech Cement has 20 integrated plants, 1 clinkerization plant,
26 grinding units and 7 bulk terminals. Its operations span across India,
UAE, Bahrain, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. UltraTech Cement is also India's
largest exporter of cement reaching out to meet the demand in countries
around the Indian Ocean and the Middle East. 4 x 25 MW coal-fired plants are described
at http://www.holtecnet.com/holtecdocs/Brochures/cpp-whr-list.pdf
UNIPHOS ENVIROTRONIC PVT. LTD is the only Indian manufacturer of chemical detector
tubes, electrochemical gas sensors and pellistors for combustible gases.
The company also supplies Continuous Emission Monitoring System (CEMS),
Ambient Air Quality Monitoring System (AAQMS), Water Quality
Analyzers, and Oil Quality
Analyzers.
UNITED CONVEYOR makes flyash handling
equipment and also direct sorbent
injection systems which are being supplied to the Dadri power plant and
will be the first large scale power plant application of DSI in India. Hundreds of articles on United
Conveyor appear in the Alert, FGD & DeNOx, Precipitator, Fabric Filter
and other McIlvaine newsletters.
VALMET can help convert older Indian coal-fired
boilers to a combination of biomass and coal. (see introduction) In
Finland, Valmet
delivered a CFB boiler with 100-percent coal-firing capacity and a design
fuel mixture that also includes wood-based biomass (0–75 percent),
agro-based biomass (0–15 percent), peat (0–95 percent) and solid recycled
fuel (0–5 percent).
The target is to run the plant 70 percent on biomass. In order to
run purely on biomass, the plant would have to make an additional
investment. Valmet’s delivery also included flue gas cleaning systems and a
wide range automation solutions, for example, for monitoring emissions and
managing energy consumption.
VASTHI INSTRUMENTS manufactures the following instruments: Gas Analyzer, Gas Detectors, Dew Point
Meter, Dew Point Analyzer, Online Dew Point Meter, Portable Dew Point
Meter, Particulate Monitors, Stack Gas Analyzers, and have been supplying
instruments to customers worldwide.
VIRGINIA
MINING RESOURCES (VMR) is incorporated in the United States.
It provides mining services and
expertise in coal mining in the U.S. The company is currently actively
pursuing expansion of its mining footprint internationally with focus in
India. VMR’s India operations are initially concentrating on coal and
iron ore mining. This includes management of mine operations through
planning, design and development in long-term contractual basis
through the Mine Development Operation (MDO) and Public Private Partnership
(PPP) concepts in the public and private sector.
W.L GORE supplies mercury and SO2 capture
polymeric absorbers. It also
supplies Gore-Tex media and bags for particulate capture. There are hundreds of articles and
recorded webinars in the McIlvaine publications on Gore technology. Mark
DeGarboewski was a speaker at SOx-NOx and Jeff Kolde was an attendee.
We will be
working with Mission Energy, the attendees and suppliers to move forward
with a program to maintain the momentum achieved at the conference. More
information on the decisions service with the 4 newsletters, intelligence
system and webinars is available at 44I
Coal Fired Power Plant Decisions.
If you have
suggestions relative to webinars for
India you can contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com, Direct 847 784 0013 and cell 847 226
239l
Effect of Interference on the Combust,
Flow, and Treat Markets
The combust,
flow, and treat (CFT) products and services markets will exceed $400
billion next year. The market has typically been segmented by McIlvaine on
geographical end use. However, this analysis is based on where the profits
are generated. India and Italy are major exporters of valves. Africa will
enjoy a rapidly increasing market but China will be one of the main
beneficiaries in terms of CFT products and services. It is building complete
power plants and mines and, in many cases, taking part ownership of them.
The market in
2030 is likely to rise to just under $600 billion if there is a lack of
government interference. However if
there is interference in the markets the revenues could only rise to $535
billion.
Interference
is a label which applies to tariffs, military destruction of refineries and
greenhouse gas legislation as well as similar factors not experienced
previously. The world has enjoyed a policy based on the principle that a
rising tide floats all ships. Even though the U.S. and Europe are
experiencing shrinkage in terms of percentage of world consumption within
their borders they have managed to export or produce goods in Asian
countries and take advantage of the growing prosperity in that region.
Region
|
2020
|
2025
|
2030
|
|
Free
$ mil
|
%
|
Inter-
ference
$ mil
|
%
|
Free
$ mil
|
%
|
Inter-ference
$ mil
|
%
|
Free
$ mil
|
%
|
Inter-ference
$ mil
|
%
|
Asia
|
176
|
43
|
174
|
43
|
234
|
48
|
232
|
50
|
303
|
51
|
305
|
57
|
EMEA
|
100
|
24
|
100
|
24
|
117
|
24
|
107
|
23
|
119
|
20
|
102
|
19
|
Americas
|
134
|
33
|
136
|
33
|
137
|
28
|
126
|
27
|
173
|
29
|
128
|
24
|
Total
|
410
|
|
410
|
|
488
|
|
465
|
|
595
|
|
535
|
|
The U.S. and
the U.K are embarked on policies which will reduce the total market and
ultimately decrease their percentage share of a smaller pie. If the U.S. continues aggressive tariff
implementation it might see a slight increase in CFT revenues next year but
by 2030 it will encounter a smaller market and a smaller market share for
its CFT companies.
The U.S. is in
an enviable position due to hydraulic fracturing and its leading position
as an oil and gas producer. However,
China is aggressively pursuing fracturing and coal to syngas and liquids.
It is also pursuing fracturing in the Middle East and Argentina. Sinopec is already the world’s largest
CFT product consumer and a major supplier as well. By 2030 it is likely
that low cost oil and gas will be produced by fracturing in several
countries.
In a free
environment the role of governments and even geography become secondary
whereas the role of multinational corporations becomes paramount. This includes CFT purchasers such as Shell, BASF, Pfizer, and Arcelor
Mittal. It includes suppliers such
as GEA, GE, Xylem, Doosan, Shenhua Guodian and MHPS. The international suppliers can deal with
the international purchasers. Since
many international suppliers are in Europe and the U.S. these locations
benefit from the free environment. Government imposed restrictions will
reduce the market and role of these major companies and decrease the
prosperity of the countries in which they are home based.
The actions to
fight climate change are another variable.
Under an extreme scenario CO2 reduction could be prioritized
regardless of consequences. In a compromise plan such as proposed by
McIlvaine there would not be a negative impact on the economy and the CFT
market.
The
interference variables need to be considered in all the CFT market
forecasting. All the long range forecasts appearing in the specific McIlvaine
market reports are updated continually to reflect these variables. http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets
Bob McIlvaine
can answer your questions at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
direct 847 784 0013 cell 847 226 2391
Sucking CO2
Out of the Air Means There is No Tipping Point
There is the
widely held belief that we could reach some tipping point after which we
are helpless to combat the greenhouse gas problem. However, as reported by McIlvaine last
week, there is a way to suck the CO2 out
of the air. So this does not make us helpless. There is a cost
associated with the removal effort but it will be far less than drastic
preventive measures such as eliminating all fossil fuels.
The UK is
leading the way with a program to burn biomass in its largest coal fired
boiler. If the resultant CO2 is sequestered, the net effect would be to
achieve two thirds of the entire CO2 reduction goals for the nation.
The analysis
last week shows the conclusion of researchers that tree planting would be a
cost effective way to capture most of the excess CO2 generated in the past
200 years. However, the problem is that in 2050 many of the trees will
start dying and we will reach an equilibrium. The CO2 capture from newly
planted trees will equal the amount emitted by decomposing trees. However if all the coal fired boilers
built in the future are biomass capable and can sequester their CO2 then
the tree planting program remains effective.
The present
CO2 level is 410 ppm. In the next 30
years new coal plants in India and other initiatives are likely to have the
impact of increasing CO2 by 1 ppm per year.
But a massive tree planting program could have the effect of
reducing CO2 by more than 1 ppm per year. The net effect would be a 390 ppm
CO2 level in 2050.
Initiative
|
2020-2050
ppm CO2
|
2050-2080
ppm CO2
|
Existing
|
410
|
390
|
New Coal and
Other
|
30
|
20
|
Tree
Planting
|
-50
|
0
|
Biomass
Combustion and Sequestration
|
0
|
-30
|
CO2 level in
the atmosphere at end of period
|
390
|
380
|
After 2050
solar and wind will be more cost effective particularly if energy storage
methods advance. The need for new coal fired plants will cease but there
will be other sources with the potential to add 20 ppm to the atmosphere in
the 2050-2080 time frame.
In 2050 there
will be a very large quantity of fuel contained in elderly trees. They can
be harvested and burned as fuel. They do not emit CO2 to the atmosphere due
to sequestration. New trees which replace the old trees will continue to
remove CO2. So this initiative would
more than offset man made sources and the CO2 level could drop to 380 ppm
in 2080.
CO2
sequestration has been commercially practiced for decades. One use has been
enhanced oil recovery. CO2 is being
piped long distances in many areas. Presently it is economic only if it has
a use such as recovering oil. The UK believes that new carbon capture
technologies will drive down the cost over the coming years. But whether it
is inexpensive or expensive the situation is manageable in 2050 due to the
ability to suck out the CO2. This control provides flexibility. McIlvaine
Company knows that predictions regarding environmental impacts are seldom
precisely accurate. So flexibility is very important.
Robert
McIlvaine has been involved in air pollution control since the original
Clean Air Act. He testified before senate sub committees relative to the
mitigation of acid rain through installing scrubbers at power plants. The
big concern was destruction of forests and buildings. Little was understood
about the potential for SO2 to react with basic chemicals in the atmosphere
and create fine particles which damage the lungs. It was later found that
sulfur has a positive effect on the soil and that some of the isolated
areas of tree destruction were not likely to be duplicated with increased
SO2. However, it is now clear that the sulfate aerosols were a major
problem and more than justified the SO2 reduction.
Dioxin
emissions from waste incinerators are another example of incomplete
knowledge. This concern caused the U.S. to discourage waste to energy
plants in the 1970s and 1980s. The rest of the world discovered that waste
to energy rather than landfilling was much better for the environment. So in most areas of the world you have to
combust rather than landfill waste but do so with removal of the air
pollutants.
The greenhouse
gas effect may be worse or better than the average scientist now believes.
But it is nearly assured that the impact will be different than
anticipated. This is why a flexible policy is so desirable.
Biomass Ready Coal Fired Plants and Massive Tree Planting will be the
Compromise Climate Change Solution
Coal provided
26 percent of the additional power generation last year and 38 percent of
all generation. There are 500,000 MW of new coal fired generation in the
planning stage. This is more than was ever installed in the Americas and
Europe. So any programs to reduce coal fired generation on these two
continents to zero would eliminate less than is being added elsewhere in the
world.
The
intergovernmental panel on climate change has a solution. One trillion
trees can be planted. They will store an
estimated 205 gigatons of carbon, or about two-thirds of the carbon that
humans have added to the atmosphere since the 1800s.
The
problem with this approach is that 30 years from now in 2050 there will be
lots of trees dying and emitting CO2. However at that time the biomass can
be harvested and burned in power generators. If the 500,000 MW of new coal
fired capacity which is built is designed to be biomass ready it can be
converted making each of the generators carbon neutral. If this CO2 is then
sequestered these generators would be as the UK describes it “sucking the
CO2 out of the air. They would be the only generator type which actually
reduces CO2.
What are the costs? The continuation of the coal fired power
program would net a savings of $7.2 trillion over 30 years. The tree planting program would cost $700 billion resulting in a $6.5
trillion saving over the 30 years. For the period 2050-2080 the coal plants
would be converted to burn biomass and sequester CO2. This would raise costs of electricity
generation and make this approach relatively costly.
Activity
|
2020-2050
|
2050-80
|
Tree Planting
|
-$700
billion
|
-$700
billion
|
Saving with coal vs more expensive
generation options
|
$7.2
trillion
|
|
Net savings
|
$6.5
trillion
|
|
Biomass combustion and
sequestration
|
|
0
|
Net cost differential
|
$6.5
trillion
|
-$700
billion
|
In 2050 these
biomass ready coal plants would have already served their purpose as coal
generators. Their conversion to biomass would insure that the forestation
approach is sustaining in terms of CO2 minimization. However if there are
major improvements in the cost of
wind and solar, the plants could be retired.
Another option
is to convert these plants to biomass combustion at an earlier date. There
is optimism that the cost of sequestration can be greatly reduced through programs underway
at Drax and other locations. If some
of the most pessimistic forecasters are right and climate change becomes a
crisis then the biomass generation and sequestration becomes the only route
to solve the problem since it reduces
CO2.
The details on
this approach are continually evaluated in the 42EI
Utility Tracking System.
Bob McIlvaine can answer your questions at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
cell 847 226 2391
Utility Tracking System has Details on
All Coal Fired Operators Around the World
Less than 1000
industrial and utility power companies have more than 500 MW of coal
fired capacity either planned or installed. These owners will be
buying components and systems for 500,000 MW of new coal fired generators
and replacement and upgrade components for 2.2 million MW of existing capacity.
These companies will purchase more combust, flow and treat products than
owners of nuclear, solar, gas turbine, and wind generators combined. These
plants are moving toward centralized purchasing based on lowest total
cost of ownership. Therefore sales programs directed to each of
the 1000 companies will be highly productive and cost effective. The
Utility E Alert 41F
Utility E-Alert reports on
the projects and technology on a weekly basis. This is part of the
Utility Tracking System 42EI
Utility Tracking System with
details on each plant.
Here is an
example of those coal fired plant operators with planned additions between
6000-7000 MW.
Company
|
Planned MW
|
Installed
MW
|
NLC
India
|
6,700
|
3,990
|
TANGEDCO
|
6,640
|
4,320
|
J-POWER
|
6,356
|
8,482
|
Eskom
|
6,352
|
41,129
|
UPRVUNL
|
6,270
|
5,474
|
GCM
Resources
|
6,000
|
0
|
The tracking
system also provides forecasts of coal fired capacity by country through
2024.
Coal Fired Capacity- MW
|
Country
|
2018
|
2019
|
2020
|
2021
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
Romania
|
5,305
|
5,305
|
5,305
|
5,305
|
5,305
|
5,305
|
6,000
|
Slovakia
|
881
|
881
|
881
|
881
|
881
|
881
|
881
|
Bosnia &
Herzegovina
|
2,073
|
2,073
|
2,073
|
2,073
|
2,073
|
3,000
|
4,000
|
Serbia
|
4,405
|
4,405
|
4,405
|
4,405
|
4,405
|
5,000
|
5,000
|
North Macedonia
|
800
|
800
|
800
|
800
|
800
|
800
|
1,200
|
Slovenia
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
1,069
|
Croatia
|
210
|
210
|
210
|
210
|
210
|
210
|
210
|
For more
information on the tracking system click on 42EI
Utility Tracking System.
Bob McIlvaine can answer your questions at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com cell 847 226 2391
The Future of Biopharmaceuticals will
Depend on Perceived Value vs Cost
The National
Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE)
in the U.K has approved several CAR-T therapies even though the cost may be
hundreds of thousands of dollars. The rationale is that the benefits will
be long lasting and result in average costs per Quality Adjusted Life Year
(QALY) gained which are within the guidelines.
NICE says it generally considers that
interventions costing the National Health Service (NHS)
less than £20,000 per QALY gained are cost
effective and those costing up to £30,000 per QALY gained might, with
certain conditions satisfied, be considered cost effective.
The biopharmaceutical industry is
making rapid progress to develop drugs to cure or mitigate diseases.
However, this progress is coming with increased costs.
Costs
increased as the healthcare industry expanded from using chemical compounds
and treating broad diseases to utilizing living cells and creating drugs
for specific individuals with CAR-T and other therapies. Even if there is
no increase in the cost reimbursement per QALY, new medicines will increase
the number of people who will benefit.
This results
in a steadily increasing cost of healthcare as a percentage of GDP. This
will require tougher decisions about
how care is allocated. The optimum program should take into account
1
A
more useful definition than QALY
2
The need to allocate health care
expenditures as part of a broader
program to maximize life quality
3
Integration
of two additional metrics
a.
Discounted
future value
b.
Tribal
factor
A more useful
definition than QALY
QALY is widely
used around the world to determine the cost/benefits of treatment. One year of perfect health
equals one QALY. One year of less than perfect health has a quality of life
(QoL, or utility value) between 0–1. Death has a utility value of 0 (a
respondent could choose to record a score below zero – worse than death –
where, for instance, they are experiencing severe distress and/or possibly
a terminal illness).
QoL has five
dimensions: mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort and
anxiety/ depression, each of which can be at one of three levels of
severity, for example: no problems, some/moderate problems and extreme
problems. A new five-level version can describe 243 unique combinations.
The problem
with QALY is that the definition of perfect is far below the aspirations of
anyone. A prisoner in solitary
confinement could be higher on the
list for a heart transplant than most individuals. The solider who falls on the grenade has
elevated one minute of life quality above decades of life quantity. The
average person would rather live to 80 and enjoy life than live to 100
without ever experiencing life’s more risky pleasures.
There is a
metric which is better than QALY and will have common acceptance. It is Quality Enhanced Life Days (QELD).
It simply quantifies the decisions people have made and are making to
improve their life quality.
The need to
allocate health care expenditures as part of a program to maximize life
quality. With all the new therapies there is a real
value in continuing to increase expenditures as a percentage of GDP. This
decision can be best made by using QELD as a common metric to decide how
expenditures are allocated. An example would be climate change vs healthcare.
There is a world wide movement for a very expensive program to reduce CO2
emissions. What share of GDP should go to fight climate change versus
medical treatment? QELD can be the
metric to best make this decision.
Integration of
Two Additional Metrics
QELD has to be
determined based on the intrinsic
value but with these additional metrics. One is the discounted future
value. A medical treatment may have immediate benefits whereas investment
in programs to decrease greenhouse gases may not have tangible benefits for
many decades. The other metric is the tribal factor. Most people prioritize
family life quality followed in descending order by friends and neighbors,
city, and finally country. The lower concern for individuals in other countries is reflected in the foreign aid budgets of
wealthy nations. It is typically far less than 1% of GDP.
McIlvaine has
provided in depth analysis of the use of QELD, discounted future value, and
the tribal factor in its consulting activities. Cardinal Health contracted
with McIlvaine to help them determine whether they should be offering
single use or reusable surgical gowns. Single use surgical gowns are
discarded and replaced adding to the world’s CO2 burden. Washing and
reusing gowns provides risks of waterborne disease.
The analysis
concluded that the quantity of CO2 emitted from manufacturing 17 million
gowns per year was miniscule as was the risk of water borne disease from
reusables. The difference for hospital patients living near the hospital
was that the washing risks would be
immediate and would affect them whereas
the greenhouse gas risks were long term and unlikely to affect them
as much as it would those living near the equator.
More
information on this study is shown at
Sustainability Universal Rating System An article on the
subject was featured in
https://www.healthcaredevelopmentmagazine.com/article/quality-enhanced-life-days-a-new-metric-for-hospital-sustainability.html.
For more information on this initiative contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
cell 847 226 2391
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